SHModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.9%
Next 1 month
+3.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.2% median,
59% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.50 +4.3% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$47M/day volume
42% volatility
+29% 1-year
-13% from ATH
52-week range · 74% of the way up · -10% from the high
$31.33$49.70
Congressional trades in SHOO Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 2 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Nov 8, 2018.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, before open, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.75.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+18.2%
Biggest drop
-9.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 0.33 | 0.44 | +34.3% | +3.7% | +10.2% | +11.2% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +20.1% | +1.6% | +6.2% | +2.2% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.4% | -3.9% | -4.1% | -3.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.5% | +7.7% | +13.6% | +18.3% |
| 2025-07-30 | miss | 0.24 | 0.20 | -17.0% | -12.3% | -9.3% | -1.8% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +31.7% | +5.1% | +16.3% | +30.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.3% | +0.2% | -8.0% | -23.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.8% | +3.9% | +3.1% | -0.6% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.3% | +0.7% | +2.0% | -5.1% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.55 | 0.65 | +17.3% | -0.3% | -2.4% | +0.9% |
| 2024-02-28 | beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.8% | -2.1% | -0.8% | -3.7% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.0% | -3.8% | -0.1% | +7.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.6% | +1.3% | +3.4% | +6.5% |
| 2023-05-09 | beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +2.2% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -1.7% |
| 2023-02-23 | miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -1.1% | +0.0% | +6.3% | +8.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.4% | -3.7% | -0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2022-07-27 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +4.0% | +3.5% | -3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2022-04-27 | beat | 0.51 | 0.92 | +80.6% | +3.2% | +1.3% | +0.5% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +20.4% | -4.4% | +3.8% | +1.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +5.6% | +3.8% | +8.5% | +11.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.48 | +56.2% | +2.2% | +0.9% | -4.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 0.18 | 0.33 | +87.0% | -5.0% | -5.8% | -0.1% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.27 | +26.8% | -2.3% | -0.7% | -8.1% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.22 | 0.39 | +75.3% | +0.5% | +9.5% | +8.5% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.27 | -0.19 | +29.0% | +3.8% | +2.8% | -0.9% |
| 2020-05-28 | miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -7.8% | +5.1% | -4.0% | +5.2% |
| 2020-02-27 | beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.8% | -9.8% | -6.0% | -8.5% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +14.5% | +11.4% | +14.0% | +19.2% |
| 2019-07-30 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +8.6% | +3.5% | +1.7% | -9.4% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 0.37 | 0.42 | +15.0% | +4.8% | +3.0% | +7.0% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.8% | +1.9% | +3.6% | -0.9% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.5% | +3.5% | +9.9% | +10.0% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +3.2% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +3.7% |
| 2018-04-20 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.8% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +4.3% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.8% | -2.5% | -0.3% | +3.6% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.4% | -3.4% | -8.9% | -11.8% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +14.3% | +2.8% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2017-04-21 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +8.8% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +2.4% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +0.4% | -0.4% | -0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +5.4% | +10.8% | +5.4% | +10.9% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.7% | -3.2% | -6.0% | -5.1% |
| 2016-04-22 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +1.5% | -0.1% | -0.5% | -4.4% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.5% | -3.9% | +2.3% | +2.2% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +3.3% | -1.8% | +3.9% | +3.5% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +1.6% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -5.7% |
| 2015-04-24 | beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +12.6% | +5.9% | +8.3% | +2.5% |
| 2015-02-24 | miss | 0.23 | 0.23 | -2.3% | +8.6% | +7.1% | +6.3% |
| 2014-10-30 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.9% | -0.8% | +1.1% | +6.4% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -2.0% | -7.9% | -6.7% | -2.3% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +0.2% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -7.6% |
| 2014-02-25 | miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -0.7% | -1.7% | +2.1% | +4.6% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +0.3% | -0.1% | +4.2% | +4.1% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.1% | +0.9% | +3.3% | +5.7% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.3% | +0.9% | +3.1% | +3.6% |
| 2013-02-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +2.9% | -6.8% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.3% | +0.7% | +4.8% | -3.7% |
| 2012-07-26 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +7.3% | +11.4% | +18.2% | +18.8% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +0.4% | -3.0% | -1.4% | -8.1% |
| 2012-02-21 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +2.7% | +1.6% | -2.4% | -0.1% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +7.8% | -7.2% | +0.5% | -2.8% |
Not investment advice.
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