SIModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+1.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Dec 1): +2.3% median,
64% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 61
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.14 -0.3% · Seasonal tilt +1.4%
$52M/day volume
24% volatility
+32% 1-year
-10% from ATH
52-week range · 91% of the way up · -2% from the high
$72.78$101.25
Congressional trades in SIGI Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-28 (Thursday, after close, in 88 days) · EPS est. 2.74.
1-day std dev
5.3%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+8.7%
Biggest drop
-18.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 1.93 | 2.37 | +22.9% | +0.6% | +0.7% | +9.0% |
| 2026-07-23 | beat | 1.67 | 1.95 | +16.9% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2026-04-22 | miss | 1.82 | 1.69 | -7.1% | +2.7% | +8.7% | +8.1% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 2.18 | 2.57 | +17.7% | +0.6% | +0.0% | +7.2% |
| 2025-10-22 | miss | 1.99 | 1.75 | -11.9% | -2.8% | -5.7% | -6.4% |
| 2025-07-23 | miss | 1.52 | 1.31 | -13.6% | -8.2% | -17.0% | -13.8% |
| 2025-04-23 | miss | 1.86 | 1.76 | -5.4% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -4.4% |
| 2025-01-29 | miss | 1.99 | 1.62 | -18.6% | -5.8% | -12.6% | -8.9% |
| 2024-10-21 | miss | 1.64 | 1.40 | -14.8% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -7.1% |
| 2024-07-18 | miss | 1.47 | -1.10 | -174.8% | -8.9% | -18.2% | -9.2% |
| 2024-05-01 | miss | 1.87 | 1.33 | -28.9% | -5.3% | -6.4% | -3.7% |
| 2024-01-31 | miss | 1.95 | 1.94 | -0.3% | -4.3% | -7.7% | -7.3% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 1.60 | 1.51 | -5.9% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2023-08-02 | 0.99 | 0.99 | — | -3.0% | -2.4% | -3.9% | |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 1.58 | 1.44 | -9.1% | -2.8% | +2.7% | +2.3% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.1% | -0.1% | +6.5% | +5.5% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 1.17 | 0.99 | -15.6% | -4.9% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 1.23 | 1.17 | -4.9% | -3.0% | +0.0% | +6.3% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | 1.46 | 0.89 | -38.9% | -5.3% | -6.4% | -10.3% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 1.43 | 1.56 | +8.9% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -3.3% |
| 2021-10-27 | beat | 1.03 | 1.18 | +14.7% | +0.1% | -1.2% | +1.6% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 1.26 | 1.85 | +46.4% | +1.6% | +2.1% | +3.0% |
| 2021-04-28 | beat | 1.03 | 1.70 | +65.7% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +2.1% |
| 2021-01-28 | beat | 1.20 | 1.84 | +52.9% | +1.5% | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.97 | 1.06 | +9.8% | -0.7% | +2.0% | +4.1% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.9% | -2.3% | -4.9% | -5.1% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 1.02 | 0.84 | -17.8% | -4.1% | -7.5% | -12.2% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 1.10 | 1.37 | +24.8% | +4.1% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2019-10-30 | miss | 1.07 | 0.97 | -9.5% | -4.2% | -3.7% | -4.7% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 1.06 | 1.16 | +9.3% | +2.4% | +4.0% | +6.8% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.94 | 0.90 | -4.1% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.93 | 1.20 | +29.0% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.91 | 0.99 | +9.2% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +4.3% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.88 | 1.01 | +15.3% | +2.3% | +5.3% | +3.4% |
| 2018-05-02 | miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -4.6% | -0.4% | -4.3% | -3.9% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +8.0% | +0.3% | +1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +10.2% | +3.2% | +5.7% | +7.8% |
| 2017-07-26 | miss | 0.73 | 0.68 | -7.2% | -3.4% | -1.8% | +0.5% |
| 2017-04-26 | beat | 0.68 | 0.86 | +26.5% | +2.5% | +8.4% | +4.1% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +11.1% | -4.3% | +4.4% | +3.5% |
| 2016-10-26 | miss | 0.71 | 0.62 | -12.7% | -1.8% | -7.9% | -10.4% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.7% | +1.1% | +1.1% | -2.7% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.58 | 0.66 | +13.1% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +18.2% | +5.2% | +5.9% | +6.7% |
| 2015-10-28 | beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +20.0% | +1.6% | -2.3% | -3.4% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.9% | -0.3% | +3.8% | +4.9% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +5.9% | +1.0% | -2.6% | -1.0% |
| 2015-01-29 | beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +9.9% | +0.0% | -4.2% | +3.0% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.51 | 0.76 | +49.8% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +8.2% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -5.6% | -0.8% | -1.7% | +1.8% |
| 2014-04-23 | miss | 0.33 | 0.23 | -30.3% | +0.3% | +0.8% | +3.8% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.9% | -2.0% | -3.7% | -9.8% |
| 2013-10-30 | miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -4.1% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -1.7% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +19.3% | +1.4% | +3.9% | +1.1% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 0.38 | 0.36 | -5.7% | -15.6% | -1.8% | -3.7% |
| 2013-01-31 | beat | -0.17 | -0.04 | +76.3% | +0.4% | +7.2% | +4.6% |
| 2012-10-24 | miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -1.1% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -8.8% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +24.7% | +1.0% | -3.7% | -2.2% |
| 2012-04-25 | miss | 0.37 | 0.28 | -24.1% | -5.6% | -2.1% | -0.6% |
| 2012-02-02 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +7.2% | +4.4% | +3.4% | -0.5% |
Not investment advice.
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