SKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.6%
Next 1 month
+3.7%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.1% median,
62% of the last 39 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 62
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.30 +3.4% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$24M/day volume
37% volatility
-6% 1-year
-30% from ATH
52-week range · 44% of the way up · -19% from the high
$77.89$117.72
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 3.07.
1-day std dev
8.9%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+22.4%
Biggest drop
-22.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | miss | 2.55 | 2.54 | -0.3% | +3.9% | +7.7% | +11.1% |
| 2026-04-23 | beat | 2.17 | 2.50 | +15.4% | -5.2% | -7.2% | -9.9% |
| 2026-01-29 | miss | 2.24 | 2.21 | -1.1% | -5.3% | -4.9% | +4.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 2.56 | 2.81 | +9.9% | +4.6% | +5.6% | +3.7% |
| 2025-07-24 | beat | 2.40 | 2.91 | +21.5% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2025-04-24 | beat | 2.05 | 2.42 | +18.2% | -4.1% | -1.3% | +5.3% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 1.81 | 2.34 | +29.5% | +4.5% | +3.6% | +0.0% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 1.95 | 2.16 | +10.6% | +4.4% | +6.4% | +18.6% |
| 2024-07-25 | beat | 1.75 | 1.82 | +4.0% | +0.7% | -9.2% | -15.0% |
| 2024-04-25 | beat | 1.19 | 1.45 | +22.2% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.42 | +140.0% | +1.6% | +8.2% | +9.7% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.55 | +31.7% | +1.7% | +11.6% | +17.5% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | -0.26 | 0.35 | +235.9% | +3.2% | +12.3% | +6.1% |
| 2023-04-27 | beat | -0.50 | -0.45 | +9.6% | +2.4% | +17.6% | +16.6% |
| 2023-02-02 | miss | 0.08 | -0.93 | -1234.2% | -14.6% | -15.3% | -13.2% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.75 | 0.96 | +27.4% | +0.3% | -5.8% | -6.6% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.44 | 1.07 | +146.0% | +6.6% | +7.2% | +8.3% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | -0.01 | 0.35 | +4475.0% | -1.8% | +0.0% | -7.6% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | -0.02 | 0.09 | +639.9% | -10.2% | -22.4% | -15.7% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.23 | 1.45 | +18.4% | -1.4% | -6.5% | +7.2% |
| 2021-07-29 | beat | 0.33 | 1.22 | +273.5% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -1.1% |
| 2021-04-29 | beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.5% | +0.4% | -2.5% | -2.7% |
| 2021-02-04 | miss | -0.83 | -0.93 | -12.1% | -2.1% | -3.0% | +2.3% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | -0.19 | 0.66 | +442.2% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +6.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | -0.21 | -0.51 | -146.9% | -2.7% | -7.3% | +4.3% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 0.91 | 0.59 | -35.1% | +10.6% | +22.4% | -0.1% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 1.41 | 1.43 | +1.1% | -1.2% | -10.3% | -7.2% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 1.74 | 1.79 | +2.9% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +6.7% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 1.59 | 1.71 | +7.6% | +4.3% | +0.1% | -4.8% |
| 2019-04-25 | beat | 1.15 | 1.33 | +15.6% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +5.7% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 1.07 | 1.28 | +19.4% | +3.6% | +1.7% | +5.6% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 1.40 | 1.57 | +11.8% | +12.6% | +11.8% | +12.6% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.21 | 1.43 | +18.0% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +3.0% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.86 | 1.03 | +20.4% | +4.1% | +8.1% | +6.2% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.71 | 0.81 | +13.5% | +2.6% | -4.2% | -5.4% |
| 2017-10-25 | beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +2.9% | +3.9% | +6.6% | +8.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.85 | 0.95 | +11.8% | +11.1% | +5.3% | +3.2% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +24.9% | +6.2% | +6.7% | +4.3% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.9% | +0.8% | -6.2% | -1.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.4% | +3.4% | +0.5% | +1.0% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +14.7% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -3.5% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.25 | 0.52 | +106.4% | +7.9% | +16.9% | +15.1% |
| 2016-02-04 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +10.3% | +8.5% | -2.5% | +2.1% |
| 2015-10-27 | beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.0% | +0.0% | -3.4% | -0.4% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.26 | 0.61 | +131.1% | +16.7% | +18.4% | +22.2% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -0.07 | 0.18 | +370.0% | +3.7% | +18.1% | +18.8% |
| 2015-02-12 | beat | 0.13 | 0.31 | +140.9% | -5.1% | -7.1% | +8.3% |
| 2014-10-29 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +25.9% | +3.0% | -1.2% | +31.7% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +4.3% | -1.8% | -8.2% | -7.3% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | -0.44 | -0.44 | +0.9% | -6.1% | -1.2% | -4.8% |
| 2014-02-13 | beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +18.3% | -0.4% | +3.7% | +2.9% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.2% | +0.9% | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.7% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -6.3% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +84.6% | -0.4% | -5.8% | -4.7% |
| 2013-02-14 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +17.8% | +0.2% | -3.7% | +4.7% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.31 | 0.40 | +28.3% | -5.8% | -3.1% | -3.5% |
| 2012-08-08 | beat | 0.14 | 0.33 | +140.7% | +15.8% | +22.1% | +21.7% |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | -0.15 | -0.01 | +93.5% | +18.6% | +2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | -0.35 | -0.33 | +5.6% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -10.3% |
| 2011-11-02 | miss | 0.12 | 0.04 | -63.4% | -8.3% | -13.5% | -12.0% |
Not investment advice.
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