SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+0.5%

Next 1 week

+1.9%

Next 1 month

+2.9%

Seasonality

Bullish window historically

Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.2% median, 58% of the last 19 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Overbought — RSI(2) at 87

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.12%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.13 +3.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%

$158.8B market cap (#152 US) $33M/day volume 29% volatility +50% 1-year -11% from ATH

52-week range · 75% of the way up · -11% from the high

$15.94$27.62

Congressional trades in SMFG Full tracker →

5 members · 4 buys / 7 sells · $200K–$525K disclosed · latest filing Jul 21, 2026.

BUY	AA Alan Armstrong · traded Mar 30, 2026	$15K–$50K
SELL	DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jul 10, 2023	$50K–$100K
BUY	DG Daniel Goldman · traded Mar 31, 2023	$1K–$15K
SELL	SC Shelley M Capito · traded Dec 28, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	SC Shelley M Capito · traded Dec 28, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	GG Greg Gianforte · traded Nov 13, 2020	$15K–$50K
SELL	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded May 12, 2015	$15K–$50K
SELL	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded May 27, 2015	$50K–$100K
BUY	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded Feb 4, 2015	$1K–$15K
BUY	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded Jan 26, 2015	$50K–$100K
SELL	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded Jan 27, 2015	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-13 (Friday, after close, in 16 days) · EPS est. 0.40.

1-day std dev

3.6%

Finished up

65%

Biggest pop

+5.5%

Biggest drop

-11.0%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 20 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-07-31	beat	0.44	0.50	+13.4%	-1.2%	+0.4%	-0.2%
2026-05-13	beat	0.11	0.19	+75.3%	+1.3%	+1.0%	+3.3%
2026-01-30	beat	0.40	0.47	+15.6%	-0.7%	-1.4%	+8.2%
2025-11-14	beat	0.40	0.56	+40.4%	+3.1%	+5.5%	+2.7%
2025-07-31	beat	0.35	0.39	+11.8%	-0.8%	-1.4%	+1.6%
2025-05-14	miss	0.07	0.05	-31.6%	+1.6%	+0.1%	+2.0%
2025-01-29	beat	0.12	0.41	+234.1%	-1.3%	-0.3%	-1.8%
2024-11-14	beat	0.10	0.12	+12.3%	+2.6%	+2.9%	+1.2%
2024-08-02	beat	0.30	0.39	+30.3%	-10.0%	-11.0%	-13.4%
2024-05-15	beat	0.13	0.17	+25.4%	+3.9%	+3.9%	+5.9%
2024-02-01	beat	0.25	0.27	+10.3%	+1.3%	+1.3%	-1.5%
2023-12-05	beat	0.21	0.28	+33.9%	-0.4%	-1.6%	+2.7%
2023-07-31	miss	0.24	0.22	-7.8%	-0.5%	-1.4%	-2.8%
2023-05-15	miss	0.09	0.05	-50.4%	+1.9%	+2.6%	-2.7%
2023-01-30	beat	0.19	0.27	+38.6%	+0.9%	+0.1%	-5.5%
2022-11-14	beat	0.17	0.29	+65.3%	+1.8%	+4.7%	+6.2%
2022-07-29	beat	0.17	0.28	+58.1%	+1.6%	+4.2%	-0.5%
2022-06-22	beat	0.07	0.09	+24.3%	-1.0%	-0.8%	-0.5%
2022-02-02	beat	0.17	0.21	+24.3%	+0.4%	+2.2%	+4.1%
2021-11-12	beat	0.21	0.32	+57.0%	+2.1%	+4.3%	-0.3%