SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.8%
Next 1 month
+1.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.0% median,
53% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 90
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.54 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$4M/day volume
30% volatility
-5% 1-year
-33% from ATH
52-week range · 31% of the way up · -18% from the high
$34.27$46.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, before open, in 2 days) · EPS est. 1.41.
1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+22.1%
Biggest drop
-18.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 1.39 | 1.40 | +0.5% | +0.5% | +6.0% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 0.76 | 0.82 | +7.9% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +6.6% |
| 2026-02-26 | beat | 0.49 | 0.56 | +13.5% | -0.2% | -8.5% | -12.4% |
| 2025-10-31 | beat | 1.14 | 1.36 | +19.8% | +3.0% | -4.9% | -2.0% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 0.95 | 1.29 | +35.8% | +9.7% | +10.6% | +22.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.44 | 0.81 | +84.1% | +11.9% | +11.2% | +15.2% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +8.1% | -3.0% | -5.5% | -7.8% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 1.11 | 1.28 | +15.3% | +10.9% | +19.0% | +23.4% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.78 | 0.98 | +26.4% | +3.5% | +0.8% | -8.4% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.45 | +21.6% | +0.5% | +2.1% | +1.2% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | 0.63 | 0.37 | -41.0% | -9.8% | -15.2% | -20.8% |
| 2023-10-27 | beat | 0.98 | 1.11 | +12.9% | -3.6% | +4.0% | +12.5% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 0.99 | 0.84 | -14.7% | -5.0% | -5.5% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +5.2% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +2.0% |
| 2023-02-22 | beat | 0.56 | 0.69 | +23.2% | +1.5% | +2.2% | -0.8% |
| 2022-10-28 | beat | 0.97 | 1.05 | +8.6% | +1.6% | +4.3% | -0.7% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 1.18 | 0.93 | -21.4% | -4.1% | -14.3% | -18.8% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.71 | 0.92 | +29.6% | -0.9% | -4.0% | -7.4% |
| 2022-02-22 | beat | 0.67 | 0.90 | +35.0% | +2.2% | -3.6% | -9.3% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.10 | 1.32 | +20.0% | +2.2% | -0.5% | +5.9% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.66 | 1.26 | +90.0% | -1.2% | -1.2% | +4.8% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.54 | 0.97 | +80.7% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +3.2% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 0.68 | 1.08 | +58.0% | +5.0% | -3.6% | +1.0% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 1.01 | 1.59 | +57.4% | +0.9% | -0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | 0.20 | 0.52 | +164.4% | +2.1% | +12.5% | +20.3% |
| 2020-04-29 | miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -6.5% | +2.3% | -1.3% | -12.9% |
| 2020-02-19 | beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +6.6% | +1.8% | +3.5% | -8.7% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.92 | 1.02 | +10.9% | +1.4% | +4.2% | +4.1% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.1% | +7.1% | +2.9% | -2.9% |
| 2019-04-30 | miss | 0.60 | 0.57 | -5.0% | -0.6% | -3.5% | -6.3% |
| 2019-02-14 | miss | 0.61 | 0.52 | -14.8% | -6.9% | -6.1% | -1.7% |
| 2018-10-26 | beat | 0.83 | 0.83 | +0.4% | +6.7% | +14.7% | +26.3% |
| 2018-07-26 | miss | 0.79 | 0.74 | -6.7% | -2.8% | -5.5% | +0.5% |
| 2018-05-03 | miss | 0.70 | 0.46 | -34.3% | -4.7% | -0.6% | -4.4% |
| 2018-02-20 | beat | 0.38 | 0.54 | +42.1% | +0.7% | +6.1% | -0.7% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.86 | 0.74 | -13.6% | -2.5% | -4.8% | -7.2% |
| 2017-07-31 | miss | 0.96 | 0.81 | -15.9% | -0.7% | -4.6% | -13.5% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +16.2% | +1.6% | +3.4% | +0.3% |
| 2017-02-16 | miss | 0.49 | 0.42 | -14.9% | +0.5% | -1.6% | -3.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.1% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.73 | 0.88 | +21.1% | +2.1% | +4.1% | +2.7% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +15.1% | +3.5% | +7.2% | +6.9% |
| 2016-02-26 | miss | 0.56 | 0.35 | -37.8% | -1.4% | -18.3% | -15.9% |
| 2015-10-29 | miss | 0.80 | 0.80 | -0.3% | -0.2% | +1.1% | +10.0% |
| 2015-07-30 | miss | 0.81 | 0.59 | -27.5% | -2.0% | +6.7% | +7.4% |
| 2015-04-30 | miss | 0.58 | 0.40 | -31.0% | -3.1% | -6.5% | -9.7% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.3% | +0.4% | +8.6% | +4.8% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.81 | 0.74 | -8.9% | -3.3% | -4.7% | -2.0% |
| 2014-07-30 | miss | 0.81 | 0.76 | -5.8% | -0.7% | -6.2% | -9.4% |
| 2014-05-01 | beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +9.7% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2014-02-24 | beat | 0.33 | 0.42 | +27.3% | +12.3% | +13.5% | +7.7% |
| 2013-10-31 | beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.1% | +0.5% | +4.3% | -4.5% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.7% | -6.2% | -5.4% | -9.4% |
| 2013-05-03 | beat | 0.32 | 0.42 | +30.4% | +3.6% | +1.1% | +4.9% |
| 2013-03-04 | beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +35.5% | +2.2% | +4.7% | +10.3% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +13.2% | +4.0% | +9.1% | +13.8% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +13.5% | +3.8% | +22.1% | +23.5% |
| 2012-05-03 | miss | 0.32 | 0.23 | -27.6% | -0.4% | -9.9% | -12.6% |
| 2012-03-06 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.9% | -2.0% | -15.8% | -16.4% |
| 2011-11-01 | beat | 0.48 | 0.59 | +22.4% | -3.5% | +0.8% | +24.4% |
Not investment advice.
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