SMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.8%
Next 1 week
+2.5%
Next 1 month
+7.1%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.9% median,
53% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.27%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.19 +8.3% · Seasonal tilt -1.2%
$570M/day volume
79% volatility
+108% 1-year
-27% from ATH
52-week range · 61% of the way up · -27% from the high
$60.28$201.99
Congressional trades in SMTC Full tracker →
2 members · 4 buys / 4 sells · $8K–$120K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-23 (Monday, after close, in 25 days) · EPS est. 1.13.
1-day std dev
8.7%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+21.1%
Biggest drop
-27.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +15.6% | +2.7% | +10.4% | +5.0% |
| 2026-05-26 | beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +12.5% | +4.8% | -4.4% | -0.6% |
| 2026-03-16 | beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.0% | -6.5% | -11.0% | -12.4% |
| 2025-11-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +7.9% | -1.9% | +2.5% | +4.9% |
| 2025-08-25 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.2% | +7.0% | +15.1% | +13.6% |
| 2025-05-27 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.5% | -1.7% | -4.6% | -1.1% |
| 2025-03-13 | beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +25.6% | +13.9% | +21.1% | +21.1% |
| 2024-11-25 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +11.7% | +18.8% | +18.1% | +29.3% |
| 2024-08-27 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +15.8% | +6.1% | +11.2% | +10.5% |
| 2024-06-05 | beat | — | 0.06 | +3196.7% | +14.6% | -1.8% | -23.2% |
| 2024-03-28 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -34.7% | +3.7% | +6.8% | +23.2% |
| 2023-12-06 | beat | -0.15 | 0.02 | +113.3% | +10.8% | +16.3% | +37.0% |
| 2023-09-13 | beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +404.1% | +5.8% | +10.1% | +10.3% |
| 2023-06-07 | beat | -0.08 | 0.02 | +125.6% | +19.8% | +4.9% | +0.8% |
| 2023-03-29 | beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +1.1% | -23.2% | -21.4% | -33.4% |
| 2022-11-30 | beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.9% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2022-08-31 | beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.0% | -24.2% | -27.1% | -24.6% |
| 2022-06-01 | beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.3% | -6.5% | +0.0% | -6.7% |
| 2022-03-16 | beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.0% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +6.0% |
| 2021-12-01 | beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.5% | +1.5% | +2.9% | +0.9% |
| 2021-09-01 | beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +5.0% | +7.1% | +10.9% | +4.5% |
| 2021-06-02 | beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.7% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +7.2% |
| 2021-03-17 | beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.1% | +0.3% | -5.8% | -10.8% |
| 2020-12-02 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.7% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +2.6% |
| 2020-08-26 | beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +3.4% | -8.9% | -5.3% | -8.2% |
| 2020-05-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.2% | +13.5% | +2.4% | +7.6% |
| 2020-03-11 | beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +12.8% | +1.1% | -4.8% | -0.8% |
| 2019-12-04 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | +3.9% |
| 2019-08-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +7.0% | +1.8% | -2.4% | +4.1% |
| 2019-05-29 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.3% | +0.8% | -7.1% | -5.1% |
| 2019-03-13 | beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.1% | -5.8% | -6.3% | +0.1% |
| 2018-11-28 | beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +3.4% | +1.3% | +7.6% | -2.8% |
| 2018-08-29 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +2.4% | +5.6% | +13.9% | +13.7% |
| 2018-05-30 | beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.1% | +0.4% | +6.8% | +10.6% |
| 2018-03-14 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.4% | +10.5% | +10.9% | +16.8% |
| 2017-11-29 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +9.0% | -6.2% | -6.8% | -8.2% |
| 2017-08-30 | beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +3.7% | -7.8% | -3.7% | -8.1% |
| 2017-05-31 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.9% | -4.5% | -4.1% | -2.1% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.3% | +8.0% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2016-11-30 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.8% | +6.9% | +3.6% | +15.8% |
| 2016-08-31 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +4.7% | +0.4% | +3.3% | -1.8% |
| 2016-06-01 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +6.5% | +0.7% | -0.9% | +0.4% |
| 2016-03-02 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +8.2% | +13.8% | +8.6% | +5.0% |
| 2015-11-18 | miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -19.4% | -6.2% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2015-08-19 | beat | 0.24 | 0.24 | +1.6% | -3.5% | +0.5% | +5.5% |
| 2015-05-27 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -3.6% | -9.8% | -12.8% | -11.5% |
| 2015-03-04 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.2% | -4.2% | -10.2% | -4.3% |
| 2014-11-19 | beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +4.9% | -4.4% | +0.7% | +4.9% |
| 2014-08-20 | beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +8.2% | +4.3% | +4.8% | +6.9% |
| 2014-05-21 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +7.5% | +10.1% | +5.0% | +11.8% |
| 2014-03-05 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.5% | +3.0% | +2.5% | -1.6% |
| 2013-11-18 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.3% | +4.3% | -5.9% | -5.1% |
| 2013-08-21 | beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.8% | -5.5% | +1.5% | +1.3% |
| 2013-05-22 | miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -1.0% | -0.9% | -2.0% | +0.5% |
| 2013-03-06 | beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +12.9% | +9.4% | +7.5% | +8.4% |
| 2012-11-28 | beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +23.8% | +14.0% | +11.8% | +12.2% |
| 2012-08-22 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.4% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -1.5% |
| 2012-05-24 | miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -12.4% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -2.3% |
| 2012-03-07 | beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.6% | -3.6% | -3.8% | +1.0% |
| 2011-11-30 | beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +14.8% | +7.3% | +3.0% | -0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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