SNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+2.5%
Next 1 month
+2.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +6.6% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 68
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.78 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.0%
$40M/day volume
52% volatility
+5% 1-year
-53% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -45% from the high
$12.80$25.59
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.49.
1-day std dev
8.1%
Finished up
64%
Biggest pop
+21.7%
Biggest drop
-21.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 42 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | -0.44 | -0.55 | -26.0% | -9.3% | +4.4% | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | -0.59 | -0.48 | +18.8% | -2.8% | -10.8% | +0.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -0.58 | -0.78 | -34.9% | -3.2% | +5.0% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.71 | -0.70 | +1.5% | -1.2% | +11.6% | +28.9% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -1.01 | -0.83 | +17.5% | +19.6% | +21.1% | +25.0% |
| 2025-05-05 | beat | -1.27 | -0.98 | +23.0% | -4.2% | -21.6% | -24.9% |
| 2025-03-03 | miss | -0.23 | -1.10 | -380.6% | +2.6% | -1.0% | -19.9% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | -1.06 | -0.98 | +7.6% | +9.7% | +8.4% | -15.5% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -0.91 | -0.80 | +12.2% | -5.1% | -4.4% | -8.9% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | -0.99 | -0.85 | +13.8% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-02-27 | miss | -0.97 | -1.00 | -3.4% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.80 | -0.73 | +8.2% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -8.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | -0.75 | -0.64 | +15.2% | +0.7% | -2.9% | -8.9% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -0.61 | -0.59 | +3.0% | +6.9% | +6.6% | +4.0% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -0.63 | -0.62 | +2.1% | -3.3% | -1.9% | -6.5% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -0.63 | -0.58 | +7.6% | +5.1% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | -0.62 | -0.62 | +0.8% | -7.9% | -1.2% | +1.9% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | -0.68 | -0.63 | +8.0% | +5.5% | +0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2022-03-01 | beat | 0.46 | 1.81 | +295.2% | +5.5% | +0.3% | +7.8% |
| 2021-11-15 | beat | -0.57 | -0.40 | +29.4% | -3.7% | +2.3% | -4.5% |
| 2021-08-09 | beat | -0.73 | -0.44 | +39.5% | +4.5% | +5.2% | +9.9% |
| 2021-05-11 | beat | -0.64 | -0.54 | +15.3% | -0.2% | +11.7% | +10.7% |
| 2021-03-08 | beat | -0.51 | -0.44 | +13.2% | +1.1% | +1.6% | -1.1% |
| 2020-11-02 | miss | -0.43 | -0.46 | -6.8% | -6.3% | +10.9% | +15.6% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | -0.44 | -0.42 | +4.8% | -0.9% | +5.6% | +5.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.53 | -0.56 | -6.7% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +16.5% |
| 2020-03-03 | miss | -0.43 | -0.44 | -1.3% | +2.5% | +21.7% | +27.2% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.48 | -0.41 | +13.9% | -23.1% | +0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | -0.47 | -0.47 | +0.8% | -11.6% | +6.3% | +5.2% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | -0.55 | -0.53 | +4.2% | +1.9% | +6.1% | +4.2% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -0.64 | -0.70 | -9.4% | -16.3% | -14.0% | -18.3% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | -0.76 | -0.68 | +10.2% | +9.3% | +7.6% | +7.0% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.89 | -0.74 | +16.9% | +0.0% | +11.1% | +8.3% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.95 | -0.79 | +17.1% | +16.2% | +12.1% | +7.8% |
| 2018-03-05 | miss | -0.77 | -0.80 | -3.7% | -5.1% | -2.2% | +6.2% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.82 | -0.68 | +16.6% | -0.3% | -7.2% | -19.9% |
| 2017-08-10 | beat | -0.82 | -0.70 | +14.8% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | -0.71 | -0.71 | +0.6% | +0.3% | -3.5% | +17.5% |
| 2017-03-02 | beat | -0.74 | -0.59 | +19.8% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +10.1% |
| 2016-11-10 | miss | -0.82 | -0.84 | -2.8% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| 2016-08-09 | beat | -0.54 | -0.47 | +12.2% | -0.3% | +6.9% | +5.5% |
| 2016-05-16 | miss | -0.48 | -0.73 | -52.2% | -1.4% | -3.2% | +10.9% |
Not investment advice.
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