SOModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+6.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.7% median,
79% of the last 24 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 57
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.68 +7.0% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$4.6B/day volume
47% volatility
+69% 1-year
-22% from ATH
52-week range · 64% of the way up · -22% from the high
$260.44$655.95
Congressional trades in SOXX Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 0 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing May 15, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Not investment advice.
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