SPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.0% median,
52% of the last 46 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.48%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.65 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$25M/day volume
34% volatility
+45% 1-year
52-week range · 63% of the way up · -18% from the high
$51.41$99.06
Congressional trades in SPB Full tracker →
2 members · 1 buys / 2 sells · $31K–$115K disclosed · latest filing Jul 24, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-13 (Friday, before open, in 15 days) · EPS est. 0.94.
1-day std dev
7.5%
Finished up
59%
Biggest pop
+18.0%
Biggest drop
-19.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | beat | 1.46 | 2.79 | +91.6% | +9.3% | +2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.06 | 1.25 | +17.5% | -1.4% | -7.5% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.76 | 1.40 | +84.7% | +6.7% | +10.2% | +10.8% |
| 2025-11-13 | beat | 0.91 | 2.61 | +186.2% | +10.9% | +9.7% | +2.0% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.2% | +3.5% | +7.4% | +10.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | miss | 1.38 | 0.68 | -50.7% | -5.8% | +3.6% | +4.3% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 0.92 | 1.02 | +11.1% | -5.0% | -7.7% | -5.2% |
| 2024-11-15 | miss | 1.07 | 0.97 | -9.2% | -3.1% | -6.0% | -3.6% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 1.22 | 1.10 | -9.8% | +1.3% | +10.6% | +11.3% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.62 | 1.62 | +161.6% | +5.9% | +11.9% | +10.4% |
| 2024-02-08 | beat | 0.48 | 0.78 | +61.4% | +2.0% | +7.7% | +7.5% |
| 2023-11-17 | beat | 0.99 | 1.36 | +36.9% | -1.7% | -11.8% | -13.4% |
| 2023-08-11 | beat | 0.51 | 0.75 | +46.8% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +5.8% |
| 2023-05-12 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +22.4% | -1.7% | -0.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-10 | beat | -0.39 | -0.32 | +17.2% | -1.7% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2022-11-18 | beat | 0.34 | 0.48 | +42.6% | +0.3% | -4.0% | -1.6% |
| 2022-08-12 | miss | 1.42 | 0.54 | -62.1% | -8.5% | -0.9% | -3.6% |
| 2022-05-06 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.4% | +4.1% | +3.9% | +9.5% |
| 2022-02-04 | miss | 0.22 | -0.06 | -127.9% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +5.5% |
| 2021-11-12 | beat | 0.80 | 1.11 | +39.1% | +1.5% | +9.2% | +11.7% |
| 2021-08-06 | miss | 1.58 | 1.57 | -0.7% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -4.3% |
| 2021-05-07 | beat | 0.99 | 1.76 | +77.7% | -0.9% | +3.4% | +0.8% |
| 2021-02-05 | beat | 0.77 | 2.13 | +177.7% | +3.5% | +2.5% | +3.4% |
| 2020-11-13 | beat | 1.25 | 1.72 | +37.4% | +7.8% | +3.2% | +2.5% |
| 2020-07-31 | beat | 0.91 | 1.36 | +50.1% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +9.9% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.37 | 0.91 | +148.6% | +9.6% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2020-01-30 | miss | 0.32 | 0.20 | -38.0% | -3.2% | -2.0% | -4.3% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | 1.13 | 1.13 | +0.4% | +7.8% | +18.0% | +21.8% |
| 2019-08-07 | miss | 1.25 | 0.86 | -31.3% | +0.8% | +4.2% | +1.0% |
| 2019-05-08 | miss | 0.37 | 0.26 | -29.3% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| 2019-02-07 | miss | 0.46 | -0.20 | -143.4% | -5.9% | -17.7% | -7.2% |
| 2018-11-19 | miss | 1.08 | 0.79 | -27.1% | -20.0% | -19.0% | -16.2% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 1.60 | 1.76 | +10.3% | +3.5% | +13.1% | +15.4% |
| 2014-11-21 | miss | 1.74 | -0.23 | -113.5% | +1.5% | -2.2% | +4.6% |
| 2014-08-08 | beat | 1.36 | 1.90 | +39.5% | +0.7% | +3.0% | +4.6% |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | 0.87 | -2.87 | -430.9% | -6.5% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2014-02-06 | miss | 0.81 | -0.35 | -143.1% | -2.0% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2013-11-21 | miss | 1.30 | -8.36 | -742.0% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +2.7% |
| 2013-08-09 | beat | 0.68 | 1.82 | +166.8% | +0.6% | +5.4% | +2.6% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.31 | — | -98.6% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| 2013-02-08 | miss | 0.37 | 0.02 | -95.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
Not investment advice.
Continue with Google