SPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.0%
Next 1 month
+2.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.9% median,
76% of the last 25 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.56 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$199M/day volume
10% volatility
+14% 1-year
-0% from ATH
52-week range · 100% of the way up · -0% from the high
$54.45$64.64
Congressional trades in SPYV Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 0 sells · $15K–$50K disclosed · latest filing May 15, 2023.
| BUY | $15K–$50K |
Not investment advice.
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