STModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
+0.3%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.3% median,
39% of the last 33 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 99
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.23 +0.7% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$13M/day volume
55% volatility
-7% 1-year
-84% from ATH
52-week range · 48% of the way up · -30% from the high
$15.59$35.87
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.17.
1-day std dev
12.7%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+28.7%
Biggest drop
-24.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +9.7% | -5.2% | -0.3% | -9.2% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | 0.08 | 0.29 | +266.8% | +21.7% | +8.9% | +11.5% |
| 2026-03-03 | miss | 0.17 | 0.01 | -95.2% | -6.6% | +1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | 0.28 | 0.47 | +68.3% | +0.4% | +5.5% | +3.1% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | -0.56 | -0.13 | +77.0% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +6.2% |
| 2025-05-07 | miss | -0.60 | -1.00 | -66.9% | -5.9% | +0.5% | -5.9% |
| 2025-02-11 | miss | — | -0.51 | -10170.0% | -33.7% | -24.7% | -23.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +30.0% | +6.2% | -1.7% | +6.7% |
| 2024-08-07 | beat | 0.25 | 0.39 | +59.5% | +12.0% | +11.0% | +0.2% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.06 | 0.11 | +76.8% | -3.5% | -12.1% | -7.5% |
| 2024-02-26 | miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -19.2% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.30 | +68.8% | -10.4% | -16.9% | -24.5% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.30 | 0.40 | +33.8% | -14.0% | -9.6% | -15.7% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +104.5% | -1.6% | -7.8% | -8.2% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +2.4% | -9.1% | -9.2% | -16.1% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.21 | 0.37 | +77.4% | -11.2% | -15.3% | -10.6% |
| 2022-08-10 | beat | 0.23 | 0.42 | +80.4% | +8.8% | +16.7% | +14.9% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.15 | 0.29 | +93.3% | +10.7% | -3.1% | -15.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +16.3% | -1.0% | +18.4% | +25.5% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +26.0% | -0.7% | -2.7% | -6.0% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.09 | 0.27 | +205.7% | +4.4% | +20.4% | +5.9% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.03 | 0.20 | +500.1% | +2.6% | +6.2% | -14.8% |
| 2021-02-24 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +43.6% | -2.9% | -7.5% | -21.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +73.1% | -1.3% | -1.4% | +13.1% |
| 2020-08-05 | miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -11.8% | -6.6% | -9.6% | -22.9% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +53.9% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -6.6% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.0% | +8.9% | +7.9% | +10.6% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +44.0% | +6.0% | +17.4% | +29.3% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +44.8% | +14.3% | +18.7% | +11.6% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +68.8% | -0.6% | -11.8% | -14.6% |
| 2019-02-21 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +200.0% | -2.4% | -1.2% | +10.5% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | -0.03 | 0.07 | +333.3% | +13.4% | +6.1% | +24.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +800.0% | +17.6% | +21.5% | +24.1% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.04 | 0.04 | +200.0% | +1.8% | +26.3% | +45.1% |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.0% | -1.3% | -7.6% | -1.9% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +100.0% | +2.6% | +13.2% | +13.2% |
| 2017-08-02 | miss | — | -0.01 | -100.0% | +3.8% | +0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2017-05-03 | — | -0.04 | — | +1.9% | -1.5% | -8.3% | |
| 2017-03-02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | +7.6% | +2.2% | -4.7% | |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -100.0% | -11.2% | +7.1% | +26.2% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +42.9% | +13.1% | +24.3% | +24.6% |
| 2016-05-11 | miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -160.0% | -8.2% | -24.1% | -28.4% |
| 2016-03-02 | beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +150.0% | +5.1% | +14.7% | +11.4% |
| 2015-10-28 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | +6.4% | +2.2% | +2.8% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | -0.02 | — | +100.0% | +1.6% | +1.9% | -8.7% |
| 2015-04-29 | beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +160.0% | +5.3% | -4.3% | -6.6% |
| 2015-02-25 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +25.0% | -5.1% | +9.1% | -1.8% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | -17.1% | -13.3% | -18.9% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -50.0% | -4.5% | -15.6% | -16.6% |
| 2014-04-28 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +50.0% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -15.0% |
| 2014-02-26 | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | -4.8% | +1.0% | +6.5% | |
| 2013-10-30 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +23.1% | -0.1% | +1.7% | -4.7% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +42.9% | +3.3% | +18.1% | +10.1% |
| 2013-05-01 | beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +128.6% | +12.2% | +28.7% | +36.8% |
| 2013-02-27 | miss | 0.03 | 0.01 | -66.7% | -6.9% | -7.1% | -2.1% |
| 2012-10-31 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +60.0% | -6.8% | -18.0% | -18.0% |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | +0.0% | +26.3% | +28.6% | |
| 2012-05-02 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +33.3% | -1.5% | -5.8% | -4.4% |
| 2012-03-06 | beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +13.6% | -1.4% | -4.0% | -3.9% |
| 2011-10-24 | miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | -1.3% | -12.7% | -12.5% |
Posted about STAA
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