SVModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+1.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.1% median,
53% of the last 30 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.54 +1.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$17M/day volume
58% volatility
-42% 1-year
52-week range · 12% of the way up · -47% from the high
$5.65$12.15
Congressional trades in SVC Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 3 sells · $19K–$110K disclosed · latest filing Mar 15, 2023.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. -0.31.
1-day std dev
7.0%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+35.6%
Biggest drop
-13.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.14 | -0.17 | -22.3% | +1.0% | +7.2% | +3.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -1.95 | -2.08 | -6.6% | -3.8% | -2.5% | +7.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | -1.50 | -1.29 | +13.7% | +6.3% | +7.2% | +4.5% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | -1.20 | -1.23 | -2.7% | -9.6% | -6.0% | -19.7% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | -0.95 | -0.53 | +44.4% | +1.8% | -10.5% | -7.6% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | -2.45 | -2.38 | +2.9% | -7.2% | -2.9% | +5.8% |
| 2025-02-26 | miss | -1.95 | -2.30 | -17.9% | -1.1% | +9.0% | +7.9% |
| 2024-11-06 | miss | -1.20 | -1.40 | -16.7% | -8.8% | -4.5% | -15.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | -0.45 | -2.25 | -400.0% | +0.6% | -6.8% | -15.1% |
| 2024-05-07 | miss | -2.05 | -2.40 | -17.1% | -1.0% | -6.3% | -4.3% |
| 2024-02-28 | miss | -1.10 | -1.30 | -18.2% | +1.2% | -11.0% | -16.1% |
| 2023-11-06 | -0.15 | -0.15 | — | +0.5% | -2.6% | -5.1% | |
| 2023-08-07 | miss | -0.10 | -0.35 | -250.0% | -1.1% | +4.5% | +0.1% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -1.45 | 0.80 | +155.2% | +3.6% | -5.5% | -9.1% |
| 2023-02-28 | beat | -1.00 | -0.95 | +5.0% | +0.4% | -1.6% | +2.6% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | -0.70 | 0.25 | +135.7% | +2.8% | -1.1% | +7.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | -1.50 | 0.35 | +123.3% | +4.0% | +9.7% | +22.2% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | -2.70 | -3.65 | -35.2% | -6.1% | -13.8% | -25.5% |
| 2022-02-24 | miss | -2.70 | -6.05 | -124.1% | -3.9% | -5.0% | -14.8% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | -3.05 | -1.80 | +41.0% | +3.0% | +9.3% | -1.9% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | -4.90 | -2.75 | +43.9% | +4.5% | +6.1% | +0.9% |
| 2021-05-07 | miss | -4.20 | -5.95 | -41.7% | -0.1% | -6.7% | -8.1% |
| 2021-02-26 | miss | -3.20 | -4.20 | -31.2% | +0.7% | -2.6% | -1.4% |
| 2020-11-09 | miss | -2.00 | -3.10 | -55.0% | +17.0% | +35.6% | +38.5% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | -3.15 | -1.15 | +63.5% | -0.3% | +9.0% | +15.1% |
| 2020-05-11 | miss | -0.25 | -1.00 | -300.0% | -1.7% | -9.4% | -10.9% |
| 2020-02-28 | miss | 1.50 | -0.45 | -130.0% | +0.1% | -3.0% | -11.1% |
| 2019-11-08 | beat | 1.00 | 1.20 | +20.0% | -0.3% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2019-08-09 | miss | 1.50 | 0.25 | -83.3% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +1.9% |
| 2019-05-10 | beat | 5.50 | 6.85 | +24.6% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2019-02-27 | miss | 0.05 | -3.30 | -6700.0% | +1.1% | -1.7% | -1.8% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.40 | 3.55 | +787.5% | +2.5% | -0.7% | +1.7% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.30 | 1.90 | +534.8% | +2.4% | -2.1% | -2.9% |
| 2017-11-08 | beat | 1.65 | 2.35 | +42.7% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +2.1% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | 1.90 | 1.85 | -2.6% | -2.1% | -5.0% | -4.6% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | 1.40 | 0.80 | -42.9% | -0.1% | -4.0% | -8.8% |
| 2017-03-01 | beat | 1.25 | 1.75 | +40.0% | +2.6% | +0.7% | -4.7% |
| 2016-11-09 | miss | 2.60 | 2.27 | -12.5% | -2.9% | -0.7% | +5.8% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | 1.40 | 1.57 | +12.2% | +0.8% | +1.4% | -1.4% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | 1.00 | 0.41 | -58.8% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +7.1% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | 2.10 | 1.88 | -10.6% | -0.5% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | 1.95 | 2.62 | +34.4% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +7.3% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 1.40 | 1.22 | -12.9% | -0.4% | +0.7% | +3.3% |
| 2015-02-27 | beat | 1.40 | 1.71 | +22.5% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 1.35 | 1.47 | +9.0% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2014-08-11 | miss | 1.75 | 1.63 | -6.9% | +0.7% | +0.4% | +3.6% |
| 2014-02-25 | beat | 0.75 | 0.95 | +27.2% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +3.0% |
| 2013-11-05 | miss | 0.98 | 0.84 | -13.9% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -6.1% |
| 2013-08-06 | beat | 1.02 | 1.48 | +44.0% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | 0.88 | 0.79 | -9.2% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +2.1% |
| 2013-03-01 | miss | 1.27 | 1.15 | -9.8% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -1.3% |
| 2012-11-06 | miss | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.3% | -0.9% | -2.0% | -4.9% |
| 2012-08-07 | miss | 1.70 | 1.11 | -34.6% | -0.9% | -3.9% | -5.6% |
| 2012-05-07 | miss | 1.55 | 1.36 | -12.0% | +0.0% | -4.3% | -8.2% |
| 2012-02-29 | miss | 2.05 | 1.66 | -19.2% | -0.2% | -1.4% | -0.4% |
| 2011-11-07 | miss | 1.95 | 1.65 | -15.4% | -0.4% | -2.8% | -9.9% |
| 2011-08-09 | beat | 2.03 | 2.12 | +4.4% | +0.5% | +12.9% | +18.5% |
| 2011-05-09 | beat | 1.78 | 1.85 | +4.2% | +1.2% | +2.9% | +4.4% |
| 2011-02-18 | beat | 1.78 | 1.90 | +7.0% | +0.5% | -3.6% | -9.8% |
| 2010-11-08 | beat | 1.60 | 1.75 | +9.4% | +0.5% | +0.2% | -7.3% |
Not investment advice.
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