SXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+3.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.2% median,
63% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 82
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.74 +4.5% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$41M/day volume
40% volatility
+2% 1-year
-32% from ATH
52-week range · 22% of the way up · -32% from the high
$215.62$363.89
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 2.34.
1-day std dev
6.5%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+22.8%
Biggest drop
-17.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 2.35 | 2.45 | +4.1% | +6.5% | +3.2% | +18.4% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 2.21 | 2.21 | -0.1% | -1.7% | -8.9% | -4.2% |
| 2026-01-29 | beat | 1.99 | 2.08 | +4.7% | -2.4% | -2.5% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.91 | 1.99 | +4.4% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -0.6% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 2.10 | 2.28 | +8.7% | +2.6% | +10.0% | +13.9% |
| 2025-05-01 | beat | 1.92 | 1.95 | +1.5% | +2.2% | +9.8% | +6.2% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 1.67 | 1.91 | +14.4% | -1.5% | -2.1% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-29 | beat | 1.65 | 1.71 | +4.0% | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.72 | 1.76 | +2.4% | -3.3% | -1.3% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 1.67 | 1.75 | +5.0% | -0.7% | -1.2% | +0.8% |
| 2024-02-01 | beat | 1.72 | 1.78 | +3.3% | -2.8% | -1.0% | +2.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 1.70 | 1.74 | +2.2% | -1.3% | -5.3% | -5.7% |
| 2023-08-03 | beat | 1.69 | 1.76 | +4.3% | -0.4% | +6.0% | +11.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 1.57 | 1.65 | +5.1% | +4.6% | +7.9% | +15.2% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 1.66 | 1.74 | +4.8% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-11-03 | beat | 1.57 | 1.60 | +2.2% | -2.6% | +1.0% | +5.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 1.45 | 1.54 | +6.0% | -3.0% | -1.9% | +0.8% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 1.48 | 1.54 | +3.9% | +3.0% | +0.8% | -3.8% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 1.37 | 1.45 | +6.2% | -3.7% | +1.7% | +7.7% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 1.28 | 1.34 | +4.5% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| 2021-08-12 | beat | 1.31 | 1.40 | +6.7% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 1.06 | 1.19 | +12.0% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| 2021-02-04 | beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +5.3% | -4.1% | -0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2020-10-29 | beat | 0.72 | 0.96 | +33.3% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +11.1% |
| 2020-08-24 | beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +25.6% | +4.4% | -4.2% | -1.4% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.90 | 0.96 | +7.1% | +4.5% | +5.7% | -2.0% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +2.0% | -1.6% | -6.8% | -5.0% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +2.9% | +2.5% | -0.1% | -4.1% |
| 2019-08-26 | beat | 1.14 | 1.16 | +2.2% | +10.8% | +22.8% | +12.5% |
| 2019-04-29 | miss | 1.08 | 0.65 | -39.8% | -4.7% | -12.6% | -7.3% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | 1.14 | 0.98 | -14.2% | -7.5% | -6.8% | -7.3% |
| 2018-10-29 | miss | 1.43 | 1.21 | -15.2% | -3.2% | -17.6% | -15.5% |
| 2018-08-28 | beat | 1.56 | 1.60 | +2.6% | -5.5% | -8.8% | -3.2% |
| 2018-05-01 | miss | 1.21 | 1.11 | -7.9% | -1.3% | -4.8% | -1.4% |
| 2018-01-30 | beat | 1.03 | 1.12 | +8.7% | -0.7% | +1.6% | -4.2% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 1.18 | 1.35 | +14.1% | +4.3% | +3.2% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-28 | beat | 1.39 | 1.40 | +0.7% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +3.0% |
| 2017-05-02 | miss | 1.10 | 0.98 | -10.6% | -3.2% | -0.5% | -4.8% |
| 2017-02-03 | beat | 0.96 | 1.01 | +5.2% | -2.4% | +6.8% | +3.3% |
| 2016-10-28 | miss | 1.25 | 1.11 | -10.8% | -5.7% | -5.7% | -12.0% |
| 2016-08-25 | miss | 1.35 | 1.31 | -2.6% | -3.0% | -8.8% | -8.2% |
| 2016-05-03 | miss | 1.05 | 0.93 | -11.2% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +2.7% |
| 2016-02-02 | beat | 1.00 | 1.02 | +2.5% | -0.7% | -4.1% | -7.2% |
| 2015-10-29 | beat | 1.24 | 1.34 | +8.1% | -0.6% | +4.2% | +8.4% |
| 2015-08-25 | beat | 1.25 | 1.31 | +4.4% | +6.2% | +9.8% | +8.5% |
| 2015-05-01 | miss | 1.05 | 1.02 | -2.9% | -0.9% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2015-02-03 | miss | 1.09 | 0.97 | -10.6% | -2.2% | +1.3% | -0.6% |
| 2014-10-31 | beat | 1.20 | 1.25 | +4.0% | +2.6% | +4.5% | -3.7% |
| 2014-08-27 | miss | 1.28 | 1.24 | -3.1% | +0.5% | +2.9% | +4.4% |
| 2014-05-02 | beat | 0.74 | 0.93 | +25.2% | +1.5% | +16.4% | +24.8% |
| 2014-02-03 | miss | 1.01 | 0.88 | -13.3% | -2.0% | -4.5% | -5.2% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 1.09 | 1.02 | -6.5% | +1.6% | +0.2% | -2.8% |
| 2013-08-27 | miss | 1.11 | 1.02 | -8.3% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -10.5% |
| 2013-04-30 | beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.9% | +0.6% | -0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2013-02-01 | beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | +1.3% | -0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.97 | 1.02 | +5.3% | +0.0% | +9.8% | +1.8% |
| 2012-08-28 | beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +4.4% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +0.3% |
| 2012-05-01 | beat | 0.56 | 0.63 | +11.9% | -0.1% | -1.0% | +2.8% |
| 2012-02-13 | miss | 0.80 | 0.79 | -1.4% | -1.7% | -2.8% | -4.5% |
| 2011-10-27 | beat | 0.88 | 0.94 | +7.0% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +2.4% |
Not investment advice.
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