TCModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.3%
Next 1 month
+2.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +12.5% median,
67% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.19%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.72 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt (9y) +0.1%
$4M/day volume
63% volatility
+59% 1-year
-69% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -37% from the high
$14.84$37.77
Congressional trades in TCMD Full tracker →
2 members · 3 buys / 2 sells · $351K–$865K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2024.
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.34.
1-day std dev
14.6%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+40.6%
Biggest drop
-29.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | beat | 0.17 | 0.36 | +111.8% | -19.9% | -17.1% | -18.2% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | -0.04 | — | +106.9% | -4.5% | +7.2% | +4.9% |
| 2026-02-17 | beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +3.4% | +27.4% | +17.8% | +5.6% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.21 | 0.36 | +75.6% | +35.1% | +40.6% | +59.2% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -3.5% | +35.4% | +26.8% | +27.1% |
| 2025-05-05 | miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -69.7% | -33.6% | -29.0% | -29.1% |
| 2025-02-18 | beat | 0.28 | 0.40 | +43.3% | -17.7% | -13.3% | -18.7% |
| 2024-11-04 | beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +44.8% | -8.9% | -11.1% | +4.2% |
| 2024-08-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.20 | +46.1% | +5.3% | +13.9% | +10.8% |
| 2024-05-06 | miss | -0.01 | -0.05 | -255.3% | -2.6% | +1.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-02-20 | beat | 0.22 | 0.37 | +74.3% | -14.2% | -3.2% | +8.9% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | 0.02 | 0.85 | +5555.3% | -12.6% | -21.2% | -12.8% |
| 2023-08-07 | beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +278.8% | +0.3% | -12.8% | -8.4% |
| 2023-05-08 | beat | -0.20 | -0.03 | +84.6% | +8.1% | +13.3% | +10.1% |
| 2023-02-21 | beat | 0.14 | 0.29 | +114.4% | +6.1% | -7.6% | +3.1% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -0.05 | 0.09 | +268.2% | +10.1% | +16.8% | +21.4% |
| 2022-08-01 | miss | -0.07 | -0.15 | -94.0% | -3.0% | +14.1% | +17.1% |
| 2022-05-02 | miss | -0.20 | -0.42 | -106.8% | +0.5% | -3.5% | -34.5% |
| 2022-02-22 | miss | 0.05 | -0.28 | -613.7% | +1.6% | +16.7% | +46.3% |
| 2021-11-08 | miss | 0.12 | -0.17 | -241.7% | -21.0% | -23.0% | -24.1% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +250.0% | +3.2% | -8.0% | -13.5% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | -0.19 | -0.12 | +35.7% | -7.9% | -9.6% | -7.0% |
| 2021-02-23 | beat | 0.26 | 0.55 | +111.5% | -4.9% | -5.7% | -14.3% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | -0.06 | 0.12 | +300.0% | +5.6% | +3.7% | +9.5% |
| 2020-08-03 | miss | -0.23 | -0.72 | -208.6% | -3.8% | -17.9% | -12.0% |
| 2020-05-04 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -169.2% | -6.2% | -0.2% | +5.5% |
| 2020-02-26 | miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -3.8% | +4.6% | -2.6% | -13.1% |
| 2019-11-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.1% | +0.7% | +4.6% | +10.5% |
| 2019-08-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +79.5% | +7.4% | -10.6% | -8.0% |
| 2019-05-06 | beat | -0.06 | 0.08 | +229.0% | +4.3% | +0.3% | -7.4% |
| 2019-02-28 | beat | 0.15 | 0.25 | +65.0% | -9.2% | -4.0% | -5.1% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +12.5% | -6.4% | -6.3% | -6.8% |
| 2018-08-06 | beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +198.8% | +4.7% | +18.2% | +19.0% |
| 2018-05-07 | beat | -0.14 | — | +100.0% | +2.4% | +17.1% | +22.9% |
| 2018-02-26 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +33.3% | -7.6% | +3.9% | +1.5% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +40.0% | +7.8% | -8.4% | -0.7% |
| 2017-08-07 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +320.0% | +6.1% | +12.3% | +14.4% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | -0.16 | -0.09 | +43.8% | +5.9% | +12.0% | +19.5% |
| 2017-02-27 | beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +160.0% | +6.3% | +17.2% | +13.3% |
| 2016-11-10 | 0.01 | 0.01 | — | +5.3% | +1.1% | +0.9% | |
| 2016-09-07 | beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +50.0% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +17.7% |
Not investment advice.
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