TGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.0% median,
61% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 12
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.21%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.67 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt +0.3%
$5M/day volume
37% volatility
-19% 1-year
-31% from ATH
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -31% from the high
$24.63$36.35
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 1 day) · EPS est. 0.65.
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+7.5%
Biggest drop
-7.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 41 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | miss | 0.77 | 0.59 | -22.7% | +0.1% | -3.4% | -9.8% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | 0.81 | 0.77 | -5.7% | -1.5% | -2.9% | -6.1% |
| 2026-03-03 | beat | 0.53 | 0.68 | +30.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +9.1% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 0.36 | 0.51 | +44.3% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -0.5% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 0.33 | 0.20 | -40.7% | +0.8% | +1.7% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-27 | beat | 0.50 | 0.81 | +62.2% | -1.6% | +2.4% | +1.1% |
| 2024-11-05 | miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -5.6% | -0.5% | -3.5% | +3.5% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.64 | 0.12 | -81.0% | +0.1% | -2.6% | +9.6% |
| 2024-05-05 | beat | 0.31 | 0.42 | +36.1% | +0.5% | -0.6% | -3.4% |
| 2024-03-04 | miss | 0.02 | -0.35 | -1850.0% | -0.1% | -5.2% | -8.1% |
| 2023-11-06 | beat | -0.07 | 0.09 | +232.4% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2023-08-22 | miss | 0.35 | 0.05 | -86.9% | -0.3% | +5.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | -0.04 | 0.17 | +532.3% | -0.7% | -7.2% | -1.2% |
| 2023-03-09 | beat | -0.24 | 0.18 | +174.0% | +0.3% | -4.3% | -16.0% |
| 2022-11-07 | beat | -0.17 | 0.20 | +217.2% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -1.4% |
| 2022-08-09 | beat | -0.01 | 0.26 | +2736.7% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +6.9% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.26 | 0.47 | +79.4% | +2.0% | +2.7% | +17.7% |
| 2021-03-08 | miss | 0.06 | -0.26 | -532.6% | +0.0% | -1.6% | +7.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | 0.11 | 0.03 | -70.4% | +1.3% | +2.9% | +4.0% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +96.4% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -15.3% |
| 2020-05-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.33 | +196.5% | -1.6% | +4.2% | +14.9% |
| 2019-11-11 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -175.4% | -0.2% | +1.7% | -4.8% |
| 2019-08-07 | beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +16.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -36.4% |
| 2019-05-12 | beat | -0.01 | 0.32 | +3423.7% | -0.4% | +1.1% | +7.1% |
| 2019-03-07 | beat | 0.65 | 1.14 | +73.4% | -0.1% | +4.6% | +9.0% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.39 | 0.13 | +134.8% | +0.6% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2018-08-08 | miss | 0.42 | 0.24 | -42.7% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -8.1% |
| 2018-05-08 | miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -4.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +10.4% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +5.6% | +2.2% | +2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -0.2% | +0.9% | +2.3% | -4.0% |
| 2016-11-07 | beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +58.6% | +0.7% | +0.1% | -5.3% |
| 2016-07-25 | beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +20.1% | -0.8% | +3.0% | +1.3% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +22.8% | -0.2% | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2016-02-26 | beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +87.8% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -7.1% |
| 2015-10-27 | miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -13.2% | -2.3% | +7.5% | +13.5% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +400.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +8.7% |
| 2014-02-13 | miss | 0.10 | 0.01 | -89.8% | +0.5% | +5.7% | +6.2% |
| 2013-10-22 | miss | -0.02 | -0.27 | -1294.9% | -7.0% | -4.8% | -14.3% |
| 2012-10-23 | — | 0.04 | — | -0.7% | -0.7% | +4.6% | |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | -0.01 | 0.03 | +391.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.6% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.11 | +277.6% | +12.2% | +5.0% | +9.2% |
Not investment advice.
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