TKC (Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

-0.2%

Next 1 week

+0.6%

Next 1 month

+2.8%

Seasonality

Mildly positive window

Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +6.9% median, 56% of the last 25 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Neutral — RSI(2) at 44

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.75 +2.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.8%

$10M/day volume 28% volatility -23% 1-year

52-week range · 7% of the way up · -35% from the high

$4.46$7.18

Congressional trades in TKC Full tracker →

1 member · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing May 12, 2023.

SELL	MS Michael K. Simpson · traded Jan 13, 2021	$1K–$15K
SELL	MS Michael K. Simpson · traded Jan 11, 2021	$1K–$15K
BUY	MS Michael K. Simpson · traded Jul 1, 2014	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-09 (Monday, after close, in 11 days).

1-day std dev

4.4%

Finished up

45%

Biggest pop

+5.3%

Biggest drop

-10.2%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 11 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2023-03-09	miss	3.09	2.14	-30.6%	-2.8%	+2.3%	+1.2%
2022-11-03	beat	2.55	2.75	+7.7%	-7.3%	-4.3%	+9.6%
2022-08-18	beat	2.09	2.25	+7.5%	+1.2%	+4.0%	+19.3%
2022-04-28	miss	1.70	0.93	-45.7%	-0.3%	-2.3%	-7.8%
2021-11-04	beat	1.49	1.63	+9.3%	+0.7%	+5.3%	+6.5%
2013-10-25	beat	0.69	0.80	+15.6%	-1.1%	-0.2%	-4.9%
2011-02-23	miss	0.48	0.45	-5.7%	-9.3%	-10.2%	-13.5%
2010-11-03	beat	0.51	0.59	+14.6%	+3.9%	+3.3%	+2.4%
2010-08-04	miss	0.57	0.51	-11.6%	+0.6%	+0.8%	-2.8%
2010-03-10	miss	0.43	0.29	-32.4%	-1.1%	-1.3%	-0.9%
2009-11-12	miss	0.60	0.22	-62.4%	-0.9%	-0.5%	-5.5%