TKO (TKO Group Holdings, Inc.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

-0.0%

Next 1 week

+0.5%

Next 1 month

+1.1%

Seasonality

Bullish window historically

Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +2.6% median, 58% of the last 26 years finished up.

Mean reversion

Neutral — RSI(2) at 67

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.01%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.46 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%

$29.7B market cap (#542 US) $167M/day volume 32% volatility -7% 1-year -23% from ATH

52-week range · 7% of the way up · -23% from the high

$170.14$226.94

Congressional trades in TKO Full tracker →

2 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Dec 15, 2025.

BUY	GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Nov 26, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	JJ John James · traded Sep 4, 2024	$1K–$15K
BUY	JJ John James · traded Nov 10, 2023	$1K–$15K

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 6 days) · EPS est. 0.83.

1-day std dev

4.4%

Finished up

33%

Biggest pop

+8.0%

Biggest drop

-5.8%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 12 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-08-03	beat	1.09	1.34	+23.3%	+5.2%	+0.3%	+5.9%
2026-05-06	miss	0.85	0.57	-32.1%	+0.5%	-1.6%	+1.1%
2026-02-25	miss	0.09	0.02	-80.8%	+5.0%	+8.0%	+2.2%
2025-11-05	beat	0.22	0.39	+77.0%	-0.7%	-3.3%	-2.5%
2025-08-06	miss	1.67	0.61	-63.6%	+1.4%	+3.3%	+22.7%
2025-05-08	beat	0.82	0.95	+16.1%	+1.6%	-5.5%	-3.2%
2025-02-26	beat	0.16	0.39	+141.3%	-3.7%	-5.8%	-7.9%
2024-11-06	miss	0.58	0.28	-51.3%	-1.5%	-1.9%	-2.0%
2024-08-08	beat	0.88	1.08	+21.8%	+2.6%	+6.8%	+6.9%
2024-05-08	beat	0.36	2.66	+628.8%	+1.8%	-0.1%	+6.5%
2024-02-27	miss	0.55	0.26	-52.1%	-3.5%	-3.9%	-8.1%
2023-11-07	beat	0.54	0.78	+44.8%	+1.2%	-1.2%	-8.9%