TPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.6% median,
58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 16
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.42 +1.2% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$7.5B market cap (#424 US)
$97M/day volume
49% volatility
+8% 1-year
-44% from ATH
52-week range · 21% of the way up · -40% from the high
$269.23$547.20
Congressional trades in TPL Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Sep 12, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 2.10.
1-day std dev
6.7%
Finished up
54%
Biggest pop
+10.4%
Biggest drop
-10.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 24 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 2.18 | 2.23 | +2.1% | +3.2% | -6.9% | -9.1% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | 2.02 | 2.07 | +2.5% | +1.3% | -4.9% | -7.4% |
| 2026-02-18 | miss | 3.60 | 1.79 | -50.2% | -2.4% | +10.4% | +16.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | miss | 1.92 | 1.76 | -8.7% | -0.2% | +10.0% | +7.6% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 2.32 | 1.68 | -27.4% | +0.8% | -8.7% | -4.0% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 1.79 | 1.66 | -7.1% | +1.4% | +7.1% | +7.2% |
| 2024-05-08 | beat | 1.45 | 1.66 | +14.5% | +3.5% | +9.2% | +8.0% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 1.50 | 1.64 | +9.1% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +3.5% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 1.56 | 1.53 | -2.3% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -10.0% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 1.25 | 1.45 | +16.3% | +2.0% | +10.0% | +24.1% |
| 2023-05-03 | miss | 1.54 | 1.25 | -18.8% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -4.8% |
| 2023-02-22 | miss | 1.59 | 1.44 | -9.4% | -1.3% | -1.1% | +1.3% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 1.84 | 1.87 | +1.4% | -1.0% | +2.8% | +15.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 1.76 | 1.71 | -3.0% | -0.1% | -7.2% | -1.4% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 1.32 | 1.40 | +6.3% | -4.9% | -1.5% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | miss | 1.30 | 1.13 | -13.0% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +21.3% |
| 2021-11-04 | beat | 1.06 | 1.20 | +13.5% | +3.1% | +10.3% | +4.6% |
| 2021-08-05 | beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +1.9% | +1.4% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.6% | +1.0% | +9.0% | +5.0% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.49 | 0.64 | +31.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +7.9% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.40 | 0.66 | +66.3% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +19.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | 0.69 | 0.40 | -43.0% | -1.7% | -3.9% | +5.3% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +2.9% | -9.6% | -10.8% | -8.4% |
| 2020-01-30 | beat | 0.82 | 1.02 | +24.0% | -0.8% | +4.0% | +10.4% |
Posted about TPL
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TRACKER - Jim Cramer Calls
long
366.10
Thu, 10 Sep
Said on CNBC’s Mad Money on 10 September 2026. The price shown is where TPL closed that day, for reference — an on-air call, not a disclosed…
Not investment advice.
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