TRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.5% median,
50% of the last 48 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.48%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.54 +4.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$11M/day volume
47% volatility
+17% 1-year
-39% from ATH
52-week range · 80% of the way up · -10% from the high
$50.23$100.00
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.45.
1-day std dev
8.6%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+17.9%
Biggest drop
-16.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 43 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 0.38 | 0.51 | +35.1% | -5.2% | +2.0% | +6.4% |
| 2026-05-26 | beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.5% | -2.2% | +5.1% | +18.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | miss | 0.32 | 0.26 | -17.5% | +1.7% | +11.5% | +23.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | 0.49 | 0.44 | -10.2% | -2.2% | -11.7% | -19.9% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.40 | 0.59 | +49.0% | +6.3% | +2.7% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-19 | beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +12.3% | +10.4% | +16.2% | +10.1% |
| 2025-01-27 | miss | 0.50 | 0.45 | -10.0% | -12.2% | -12.7% | -20.0% |
| 2024-10-28 | miss | 0.65 | 0.52 | -19.4% | -7.0% | -16.8% | -16.4% |
| 2024-07-29 | miss | 0.78 | 0.68 | -12.3% | -3.8% | -13.5% | -18.4% |
| 2024-05-21 | miss | 0.66 | 0.66 | -0.5% | +8.7% | +14.3% | +2.9% |
| 2024-01-29 | beat | 0.45 | 0.56 | +23.5% | +0.2% | +6.7% | +6.2% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +12.2% | -0.7% | -3.5% | -3.2% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 0.39 | 0.52 | +33.3% | -1.0% | +4.3% | +13.2% |
| 2023-05-22 | beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +16.6% | +2.8% | +3.2% | -4.5% |
| 2023-01-30 | beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +8.2% | +2.3% | +2.9% | +7.9% |
| 2022-10-31 | 0.44 | 0.44 | — | -6.2% | -12.8% | -7.8% | |
| 2022-08-01 | beat | 0.28 | 0.54 | +92.9% | +1.6% | +5.8% | +15.0% |
| 2022-05-23 | miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -11.1% | +1.4% | -6.4% | -5.6% |
| 2022-02-01 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -13.9% | -3.4% | -12.9% | -20.0% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +9.6% | +1.4% | +7.0% | +17.2% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 0.26 | 0.49 | +88.5% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +7.3% |
| 2021-05-18 | beat | 0.32 | 0.45 | +40.8% | +6.8% | +17.9% | +14.2% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +26.3% | +1.1% | +7.8% | +13.7% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 0.17 | 0.27 | +58.8% | -2.2% | +8.3% | +10.3% |
| 2020-07-21 | beat | -0.04 | 0.15 | +485.2% | +1.3% | +4.2% | +7.1% |
| 2020-05-19 | beat | 0.26 | 0.33 | +29.4% | +3.0% | +4.0% | -3.0% |
| 2020-02-04 | miss | 0.24 | 0.20 | -14.9% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 0.19 | 0.32 | +68.4% | +6.9% | +11.1% | +18.2% |
| 2019-07-23 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.0% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2019-05-21 | beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +45.8% | +3.2% | +4.1% | +3.3% |
| 2019-02-04 | miss | 0.26 | 0.21 | -19.2% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +0.0% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +21.2% | -0.8% | -2.5% | -3.8% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +11.8% | -2.9% | -2.9% | +1.6% |
| 2018-05-22 | beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +17.4% | +3.8% | +4.9% | +7.4% |
| 2018-01-29 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +10.5% | +5.0% | +12.1% | +9.2% |
| 2017-10-24 | 0.11 | 0.11 | — | +1.1% | -1.5% | -5.3% | |
| 2014-07-29 | miss | 0.13 | 0.06 | -53.9% | -0.4% | -8.9% | -17.4% |
| 2014-05-20 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +20.0% | +1.6% | -2.8% | -2.3% |
| 2014-01-27 | miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -15.4% | -0.1% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2013-10-28 | miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -23.1% | -2.8% | -2.6% | -10.9% |
| 2013-07-30 | beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +28.6% | +0.3% | +3.6% | +5.0% |
| 2013-05-21 | beat | 0.14 | 0.24 | +71.4% | +10.8% | +16.9% | +11.5% |
| 2013-01-28 | miss | 0.15 | 0.10 | -33.3% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -12.5% |
Not investment advice.
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