TRModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
-0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +11.4% median,
91% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 84
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.06 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt (11y) +0.4%
$10M/day volume
48% volatility
-30% 1-year
-81% from ATH
52-week range · 35% of the way up · -36% from the high
$21.16$46.98
Congressional trades in TRUP Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 12 sells · $1.2M–$2.6M disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2022.
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| EXCHANGE | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| SELL | $250K–$500K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 1.01.
1-day std dev
11.6%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+23.2%
Biggest drop
-35.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 49 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.94 | 0.86 | -8.6% | +13.1% | +15.5% | +27.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | miss | 0.88 | 0.78 | -11.8% | +6.3% | +1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -19.6% | -6.1% | -13.0% | -15.5% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | 0.89 | 0.77 | -13.8% | +6.7% | -8.3% | -10.3% |
| 2025-08-07 | beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +8.4% | +16.9% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.7% | +1.2% | -0.4% | +20.4% |
| 2025-02-19 | miss | 0.84 | 0.34 | -59.2% | -14.9% | -25.5% | -29.3% |
| 2024-10-30 | miss | 0.68 | 0.22 | -67.9% | -5.0% | -0.6% | -11.2% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -35.1% | +3.9% | +9.3% | +21.4% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | 0.07 | 0.01 | -82.7% | +0.9% | -16.5% | +8.5% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +19.1% | -23.4% | -35.1% | -31.6% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | -0.11 | 0.06 | +154.4% | +11.5% | +14.3% | -5.2% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | 0.41 | -0.18 | -143.2% | +12.6% | +6.0% | +3.5% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -0.08 | -0.21 | -163.4% | -33.2% | -19.7% | -41.1% |
| 2023-02-15 | beat | -0.10 | -0.01 | +86.2% | -4.5% | -4.9% | -10.2% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -44.7% | -7.1% | +3.3% | +47.4% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | -0.03 | -0.12 | -300.0% | -13.2% | -4.3% | +11.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | miss | -0.01 | -0.04 | -149.3% | -8.7% | -7.8% | -7.5% |
| 2022-02-16 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -119.3% | -13.6% | -17.0% | -3.1% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -63.0% | -4.4% | +11.9% | +15.3% |
| 2021-08-05 | miss | -0.01 | -0.07 | -605.0% | -3.3% | -12.7% | -14.9% |
| 2021-04-30 | miss | -0.01 | -0.10 | -944.0% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -7.0% |
| 2021-02-09 | miss | 0.03 | -0.01 | -140.0% | +1.7% | +0.2% | -13.3% |
| 2020-10-30 | miss | 0.01 | — | -135.0% | +1.3% | +9.3% | +19.1% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.02 | 0.10 | +545.3% | +4.1% | +22.7% | +13.7% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -1.0% | +0.1% | -5.8% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-13 | beat | 0.03 | 0.05 | +80.7% | -5.2% | -18.9% | -10.1% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.07 | +610.3% | +9.2% | +23.2% | +30.9% |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | 0.01 | — | -129.0% | -3.8% | -0.8% | -4.1% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.01 | — | -64.0% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -3.8% |
| 2019-02-13 | beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +20.0% | -6.0% | -3.6% | +4.5% |
| 2018-11-08 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +244.1% | -0.5% | +3.7% | -3.1% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +211.0% | +16.0% | -0.6% | -3.4% |
| 2018-05-01 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +46.0% | -3.7% | +0.5% | -3.0% |
| 2018-02-13 | miss | 0.01 | -0.02 | -300.0% | -5.6% | -0.4% | -8.4% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +477.0% | +7.3% | +13.4% | +8.0% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | -0.02 | 0.04 | +300.0% | +7.3% | +2.4% | -3.0% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | -0.04 | -0.02 | +31.4% | -5.0% | -0.5% | +0.5% |
| 2017-02-14 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -71.0% | -12.3% | +2.8% | -2.1% |
| 2016-11-01 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +14.3% | -6.8% | -4.0% | -0.7% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +88.0% | +7.4% | -4.3% | -4.8% |
| 2016-05-05 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +21.2% | +2.9% | +12.9% | +23.5% |
| 2016-02-11 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +29.8% | -0.8% | +15.2% | +9.7% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | -0.13 | -0.14 | -3.7% | +2.9% | +7.5% | +4.0% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +20.4% | +1.1% | +10.8% | +12.9% |
| 2015-05-05 | beat | -0.18 | -0.15 | +16.3% | -11.2% | +0.8% | +0.0% |
| 2015-02-24 | beat | -0.16 | -0.13 | +19.1% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +3.0% |
| 2014-10-31 | miss | -0.14 | -0.31 | -117.7% | -8.8% | -5.0% | -6.7% |
| 2014-08-28 | beat | -0.19 | -0.10 | +47.3% | +1.0% | -2.1% | -4.9% |
Not investment advice.
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