TSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.0%
Next 1 week
+5.5%
Next 1 month
+9.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.5% median,
77% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 49
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 3.27 +9.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$484M/day volume
83% volatility
+134% 1-year
-71% from ATH
52-week range · 45% of the way up · -41% from the high
$80.63$319.94
Congressional trades in TSEM Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 2 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Sep 23, 2016.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, before open, in 3 days) · EPS est. 1.07.
1-day std dev
8.4%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+22.6%
Biggest drop
-21.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +16.1% | -3.8% | +2.2% | +6.5% |
| 2026-05-13 | beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +15.7% | +15.0% | +22.6% | +19.8% |
| 2026-02-11 | beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +14.2% | +5.5% | -1.6% | -7.8% |
| 2025-11-10 | beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.4% | +3.5% | +16.7% | +13.4% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.6% | +4.0% | +14.1% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-14 | beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +19.1% | -2.1% | +5.1% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +10.5% | -5.4% | -3.5% | -1.1% |
| 2024-11-13 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +8.2% | +8.5% | +12.3% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +17.8% | -4.9% | +4.2% | -1.2% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +17.2% | +4.1% | +6.4% | +7.9% |
| 2024-02-14 | beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.3% | +3.6% | +11.4% | +17.1% |
| 2023-11-13 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.0% | -7.5% | +3.9% | +13.4% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.8% | +11.4% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2023-05-15 | beat | 0.41 | 0.64 | +54.8% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +0.6% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.57 | 0.91 | +59.3% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +0.7% |
| 2022-11-14 | beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.4% | +3.8% | +3.0% | +4.5% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +2.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2022-05-16 | beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +7.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2022-02-17 | beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +17.0% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.9% |
| 2021-11-08 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | +4.5% | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| 2021-08-02 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.0% | +5.5% | +5.3% | +5.6% |
| 2021-05-12 | miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.6% | -5.7% | -8.3% | -3.8% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| 2020-11-12 | beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +0.9% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -4.8% | -6.7% | -11.6% | -6.2% |
| 2020-05-13 | beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +7.2% | +8.2% | -1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2020-02-18 | miss | 0.26 | 0.22 | -13.8% | -6.2% | -9.5% | -18.6% |
| 2019-11-13 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +2.0% | -9.0% | +0.8% | -4.3% |
| 2019-07-29 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.5% | +10.1% | +10.6% | +1.7% |
| 2019-05-15 | beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.9% | +0.7% | +3.9% | -8.6% |
| 2019-02-19 | miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -1.6% | +2.1% | +12.7% | +13.9% |
| 2018-10-29 | miss | 0.40 | 0.37 | -8.3% | -16.1% | -21.2% | -11.0% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.5% | -9.5% | -14.5% | -11.7% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | 0.41 | 0.31 | -23.6% | -17.9% | -9.2% | -9.0% |
| 2018-02-22 | beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +6.2% | -7.1% | -10.2% | -15.4% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | 0.52 | 0.59 | +14.3% | -3.5% | -2.9% | +2.3% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +7.6% | +1.1% | -5.0% | -3.5% |
| 2017-05-08 | beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.4% | +6.1% | +12.4% | +16.4% |
| 2017-02-13 | beat | 0.48 | 0.52 | +8.9% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +4.5% |
| 2016-11-15 | beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +23.6% | +3.8% | +5.7% | +10.7% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +15.6% | +5.0% | +11.6% | +9.4% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.67 | 0.34 | -49.1% | +5.8% | +6.4% | -3.2% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.64 | 0.88 | +37.9% | +0.4% | +2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2015-11-11 | beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +7.8% | +0.8% | +5.9% | +12.9% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | 0.52 | 0.70 | +34.0% | +7.5% | +7.2% | +9.5% |
| 2015-05-13 | beat | 0.44 | 0.78 | +78.3% | +3.2% | -6.9% | -6.5% |
| 2015-02-23 | beat | 0.51 | 0.83 | +64.0% | +8.3% | +15.1% | +22.6% |
| 2014-11-13 | beat | 0.34 | 0.58 | +69.3% | +3.0% | +6.0% | +13.1% |
| 2014-08-04 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.6% | +6.7% | +7.3% | +1.6% |
| 2014-05-15 | beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +12.9% | +5.6% | +1.8% | +12.2% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.2% | -1.7% | +9.5% | +16.4% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.43 | 0.22 | -48.2% | -2.9% | -5.5% | -3.9% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +35.9% | -5.0% | -3.0% | -6.2% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.24 | 0.13 | -46.6% | -4.7% | +2.1% | -4.9% |
| 2013-02-14 | miss | 0.55 | 0.45 | -18.2% | -2.2% | -6.5% | -13.5% |
| 2012-11-15 | miss | 1.07 | 0.65 | -39.2% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +13.7% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | 1.07 | 2.08 | +94.4% | -23.4% | -14.1% | -23.4% |
| 2012-05-17 | beat | 1.35 | 1.50 | +11.1% | -4.2% | -12.6% | -11.6% |
| 2012-02-16 | beat | 1.50 | 1.61 | +7.0% | -1.1% | +0.0% | -11.4% |
| 2011-11-15 | miss | 2.15 | 2.10 | -2.3% | -5.1% | -1.3% | -15.4% |
Not investment advice.
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