TSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+5.5%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +3.9% median,
67% of the last 15 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.25 +5.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$1.30T market cap (#9 US)
$14.1B/day volume
45% volatility
-11% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 53% of the way up · -19% from the high
$297.38$498.83
Congressional trades in TSLA Full tracker →
47 members · 145 buys / 135 sells · $5.2M–$17.3M disclosed · latest filing Oct 27, 2026.
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Showing the 60 most recent filings of 280 — full tracker.
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-27 (Wednesday, after close, in 90 days) · EPS est. 0.50.
1-day std dev
9.1%
Finished up
48%
Biggest pop
+24.4%
Biggest drop
-14.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +6.4% | -3.2% | -3.1% | — |
| 2026-07-22 | miss | 0.54 | 0.33 | -39.1% | -8.8% | -14.5% | -17.4% |
| 2026-04-22 | beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +17.1% | -3.2% | -3.6% | -1.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.0% | +1.5% | -3.5% | -7.9% |
| 2025-10-22 | miss | 0.56 | 0.50 | -10.5% | -4.3% | +2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2025-07-23 | miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -1.1% | -6.8% | -8.2% | -7.3% |
| 2025-04-22 | miss | 0.41 | 0.27 | -34.9% | +7.1% | +5.4% | +18.6% |
| 2025-01-29 | miss | 0.77 | 0.73 | -5.1% | +5.6% | +2.9% | -3.8% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | 0.60 | 0.72 | +20.5% | +14.5% | +21.9% | +16.9% |
| 2024-07-23 | miss | 0.62 | 0.52 | -16.1% | -8.5% | -12.3% | -5.8% |
| 2024-04-23 | miss | 0.49 | 0.45 | -8.1% | +12.6% | +12.1% | +24.4% |
| 2024-01-24 | miss | 0.74 | 0.71 | -3.5% | -8.7% | -12.1% | -9.1% |
| 2023-10-18 | miss | 0.73 | 0.66 | -9.8% | -6.9% | -9.3% | -15.2% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | 0.82 | 0.91 | +11.1% | -4.0% | -9.7% | -12.2% |
| 2023-04-19 | miss | 0.85 | 0.85 | -0.4% | -8.0% | -9.7% | -11.3% |
| 2023-01-25 | beat | 1.11 | 1.19 | +7.2% | +10.8% | +11.0% | +30.4% |
| 2022-10-19 | beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +5.2% | -6.2% | -6.6% | +1.4% |
| 2022-07-20 | beat | 0.60 | 0.76 | +26.9% | +3.1% | +9.8% | +13.5% |
| 2022-04-20 | beat | 0.75 | 1.07 | +42.3% | +10.0% | +3.2% | -10.2% |
| 2022-01-26 | beat | 0.79 | 0.85 | +6.9% | -0.4% | -11.6% | -4.9% |
| 2021-10-20 | beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +15.2% | -1.1% | +3.3% | +24.4% |
| 2021-07-26 | beat | 0.32 | 0.48 | +49.9% | +0.9% | -2.0% | +7.9% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.4% | -2.7% | -4.5% | -8.8% |
| 2021-01-27 | miss | 0.35 | 0.27 | -23.9% | -5.1% | -3.3% | -1.6% |
| 2020-10-21 | beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +25.8% | +4.6% | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2020-07-22 | beat | -0.01 | 0.15 | +1460.8% | +5.4% | -5.0% | -6.6% |
| 2020-04-29 | beat | -0.01 | 0.08 | +650.3% | +6.8% | -2.3% | -2.6% |
| 2020-01-29 | beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +17.8% | +8.9% | +10.3% | +28.9% |
| 2019-10-23 | beat | -0.02 | 0.12 | +903.1% | +17.2% | +17.7% | +23.7% |
| 2019-07-24 | miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -182.3% | -11.8% | -13.6% | -11.7% |
| 2019-04-24 | miss | -0.06 | -0.19 | -209.6% | -1.4% | -4.3% | -5.6% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -6.5% | -2.5% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2018-10-24 | beat | — | 0.19 | +12034.0% | +10.0% | +9.1% | +19.3% |
| 2018-08-01 | miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -8.5% | +9.2% | +16.2% | +17.2% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.24 | -0.22 | +5.0% | -7.4% | -5.5% | +1.3% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | -0.21 | -0.20 | +3.4% | -0.5% | -8.6% | -3.2% |
| 2017-11-01 | miss | -0.15 | -0.19 | -27.5% | -6.5% | -6.8% | -5.6% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | -0.13 | -0.09 | +30.7% | +6.0% | +6.5% | +9.1% |
| 2017-05-03 | miss | -0.05 | -0.09 | -65.9% | -1.2% | -5.0% | +3.9% |
| 2017-02-22 | miss | -0.03 | -0.05 | -40.6% | -3.5% | -6.4% | -8.4% |
| 2016-10-26 | beat | — | 0.05 | +3034.4% | +4.5% | +0.9% | -7.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -70.2% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -0.4% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +15.2% | +2.7% | -5.0% | -6.9% |
| 2016-02-10 | miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -670.3% | +5.8% | +4.7% | +15.9% |
| 2015-11-03 | beat | -0.04 | -0.04 | +1.9% | +8.9% | +11.2% | +5.1% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +22.2% | -7.6% | -8.9% | -10.2% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +26.7% | -4.1% | +2.8% | +5.9% |
| 2015-02-11 | miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -141.1% | -9.0% | -4.7% | +2.0% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | — | — | +575.0% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +9.0% |
| 2014-07-31 | beat | — | 0.01 | +192.0% | +1.2% | +4.5% | +11.1% |
| 2014-05-09 | beat | — | 0.01 | +90.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +7.6% |
| 2014-02-19 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +54.9% | +11.0% | +8.4% | +30.4% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +23.5% | -12.4% | -14.5% | -21.5% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +221.1% | +15.0% | +14.3% | +4.0% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | — | 0.01 | +272.1% | +25.7% | +24.4% | +65.4% |
| 2013-02-20 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -24.5% | -5.3% | -8.8% | -9.6% |
| 2012-11-05 | miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -1.6% | +3.1% | +8.9% | +7.4% |
| 2012-07-25 | beat | -0.06 | -0.06 | +3.7% | +3.3% | -2.8% | -9.8% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | -0.05 | -0.05 | -9.7% | +9.7% | +9.6% | -4.9% |
| 2012-02-15 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -10.4% | -0.3% | +1.7% | +0.4% |
Short interest — low Full report →
Crowding
12/100
Squeeze risk
39/100
2.0% of float short
2.2 days to cover
shorts -2% last read
95th %ile of its history
as of 2026-10-15
Posted about TSLA
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