TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Com $439.51 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.4%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+5.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +4.7% median, 61% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 90
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 2.15 +5.6% · Seasonal tilt -0.5%
$1.92T market cap (#8 US) $5.0B/day volume 39% volatility +47% 1-year -10% from ATH
52-week range · 78% of the way up · -10% from the high
$266.82$487.47

Congressional trades in TSM Full tracker →

31 members · 49 buys / 67 sells · $1.7M–$5.2M disclosed · latest filing Oct 22, 2026.

BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Oct 9, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Sep 22, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY RA Richard W. Allen · traded Aug 12, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Jul 10, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY RA Richard W. Allen · traded May 8, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Apr 9, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY JL Julia Letlow · traded Feb 2, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY RA Richard W. Allen · traded Feb 19, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 26, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Feb 9, 2026 $100K–$250K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Jan 30, 2026 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Jan 8, 2026 $1K–$15K
SELL JL Julia Letlow · traded Jan 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JL Julia Letlow · traded Oct 23, 2024 $15K–$50K
SELL JL Julia Letlow · traded Jul 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Dec 24, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Nov 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY JM Jared Moskowitz · traded Oct 10, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 31, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 30, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 14, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Oct 23, 2025 $100K–$250K
SELL VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Sep 23, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL SB Sheri Biggs · traded Mar 18, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY VH Valerie Hoyle · traded May 6, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Oct 29, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Aug 28, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Aug 13, 2025 $250K–$500K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Aug 15, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Aug 1, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Aug 13, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Aug 1, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 9, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 17, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Mar 11, 2024 $15K–$50K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Nov 7, 2024 $100K–$250K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 6, 2024 $15K–$50K
SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Oct 23, 2024 $50K–$100K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Jul 17, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY CF Cleo Fields · traded Jun 25, 2025 $100K–$250K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 9, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL BW Bruce Westerman · traded Apr 21, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY BW Bruce Westerman · traded Mar 3, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JJ Julie Johnson · traded Mar 11, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 4, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Mar 3, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 28, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 4, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 24, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Sep 23, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jul 5, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jun 21, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 12, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Feb 9, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Jan 18, 2024 $1K–$15K
SELL TC Thomas R Carper · traded Dec 11, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jul 10, 2023 $50K–$100K
BUY JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Mar 9, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY TT Thomas H Tuberville options · traded Mar 21, 2023 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 116 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-14 (Thursday, before open, in 77 days) · EPS est. 5.16.

1-day std dev
3.6%
Finished up
57%
Biggest pop
+9.8%
Biggest drop
-5.7%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-15 beat 4.52 4.60 +1.7% -3.4% -1.8% -4.1%
2026-07-16 beat 3.89 4.31 +10.9% -3.4% -2.3% -0.9%
2026-04-15 beat 3.33 3.49 +4.7% -1.7% -3.1% +2.0%
2026-01-15 beat 2.98 3.14 +5.5% +4.8% +4.4% +2.4%
2025-10-15 beat 2.63 2.92 +11.2% +2.0% -1.6% -4.6%
2025-07-17 beat 2.31 2.47 +6.8% +3.5% +3.4% +1.7%
2025-04-17 beat 2.05 2.12 +3.2% +2.9% +0.0% +8.9%
2025-01-16 beat 2.22 2.24 +0.7% +5.8% +3.9% +7.3%
2024-10-17 beat 1.79 1.94 +8.4% +8.5% +9.8% +5.6%
2024-07-18 beat 1.42 1.48 +4.0% +2.5% +0.4% -6.4%
2024-04-18 beat 1.32 1.38 +4.5% -4.4% -4.9% -1.8%
2024-01-18 beat 1.37 1.44 +5.1% +8.0% +9.8% +13.2%
2023-10-18 beat 1.17 1.29 +10.3% +3.9% +3.7% -2.4%
2023-07-20 beat 1.08 1.14 +5.5% -4.4% -5.0% -3.6%
2023-04-20 beat 1.19 1.31 +10.2% +1.2% +2.4% -4.1%
2023-01-12 beat 1.76 1.82 +3.4% +3.9% +6.4% +11.3%
2022-10-13 beat 1.68 1.79 +6.3% -1.6% +3.9% -0.8%
2022-07-13 beat 1.50 1.55 +3.0% +2.0% +2.9% +8.0%
2022-04-14 beat 1.31 1.40 +6.9% +2.5% -3.1% -5.7%
2022-01-13 beat 1.12 1.15 +2.7% +6.4% +5.3% -5.8%
2021-10-14 beat 1.04 1.07 +3.4% +3.8% +2.3% +5.7%
2021-07-15 beat 0.92 0.93 +0.9% -3.4% -5.5% -6.3%
2021-04-15 beat 0.93 0.96 +2.8% +0.7% -2.1% -4.6%
2021-01-14 beat 0.94 0.97 +2.7% +3.5% +6.1% +8.3%
2020-10-14 beat 0.82 0.90 +9.9% -1.5% -0.5% -0.4%
2020-07-16 beat 0.71 0.78 +10.1% -1.0% +0.8% +2.0%
2020-04-16 beat 0.69 0.75 +9.0% +4.3% +5.5% +6.0%
2020-01-16 beat 0.71 0.75 +4.6% +1.4% +0.6% -1.1%
2019-10-17 beat 0.60 0.62 +2.6% +2.0% -0.8% +1.6%
2019-07-17 beat 0.41 0.41 +0.5% +2.1% +3.7% +4.8%
2019-04-18 beat 0.37 0.38 +1.4% -0.7% +2.3% -1.0%
2019-01-17 beat 0.62 0.63 +2.0% -2.0% +1.8% +7.0%
2018-10-18 beat 0.55 0.56 +1.4% +0.6% -2.6% -5.5%
2018-07-19 beat 0.46 0.47 +1.3% +2.7% +3.6% +6.3%
2018-04-19 miss 0.60 0.59 -2.1% -4.7% -5.7% -8.9%
2018-01-18 beat 0.63 0.64 +2.3% +1.7% +3.3% +4.6%
2017-10-19 beat 0.56 0.57 +1.5% -1.2% -1.0% -0.7%
2017-07-13 miss 0.43 0.42 -1.1% -0.6% +1.3% +1.1%
2017-04-13 beat 0.53 0.56 +4.7% -0.6% -1.4% -0.6%
2017-01-12 beat 0.59 0.61 +4.3% -2.8% -2.9% -0.3%
2016-10-13 beat 0.58 0.59 +2.6% -1.3% -2.6% -0.9%
2016-07-14 beat 0.41 0.43 +5.7% +0.4% +0.8% +2.2%
2016-04-13 beat 0.37 0.38 +2.2% -3.3% -3.3% -3.9%
2016-01-14 beat 0.40 0.43 +7.8% +1.2% +6.5% +7.1%
2015-10-15 beat 0.45 0.46 +3.4% +0.9% -1.7% +0.8%
2015-07-16 beat 0.44 0.50 +13.7% -2.3% +0.8% -1.1%
2015-04-16 beat 0.47 0.48 +1.6% +0.0% -1.1% +3.4%
2013-04-18 beat 0.25 0.26 +2.6% +6.2% +5.0% +9.4%
2013-01-17 miss 0.28 0.28 -0.3% +1.7% +2.6% -0.3%
2012-10-25 beat 0.31 0.32 +2.5% +1.7% +1.5% +4.8%
2012-07-19 miss 0.27 0.27 -0.3% +2.0% -2.1% +1.7%
2012-04-26 beat 0.19 0.22 +17.9% +2.3% +6.1% +5.3%
2012-01-18 beat 0.20 0.20 +1.3% +1.2% +2.7% +5.2%
2011-10-27 beat 0.19 0.20 +4.1% +3.6% +5.7% +5.3%
2011-07-28 beat 0.24 0.24 +0.4% -0.5% -2.0% -7.8%
2011-04-28 miss 0.24 0.24 -0.3% -0.8% +0.9% +2.0%
2011-01-27 beat 0.24 0.27 +11.0% +1.4% -1.5% +2.3%
2010-10-28 beat 0.24 0.28 +17.9% +2.1% +1.0% +5.7%
2010-07-30 beat 0.21 0.24 +14.3% -0.4% -0.8% -2.2%
2010-04-27 beat 0.19 0.20 +5.3% -0.9% -3.5% -8.2%
Posted about TSM See all ›
TRACKER - Cleo Fields · Congress long 412.29 6d ago Cleo Fields's trade date was 9 October 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,… TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress long 439.51 Tue, 13 Oct Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 22 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a… TRACKER - Richard W. Allen · Congress long 449.79 Wed, 23 Sep Richard W. Allen's trade date was 12 August 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size… TRACKER - Cleo Fields · Congress long 404.25 Fri, 31 Jul Cleo Fields's trade date was 10 July 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,… TRACKER - Richard W. Allen · Congress long 432.15 Wed, 17 Jun Richard W. Allen's trade date was 8 May 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size…

Not investment advice.