TW (Tradeweb Markets Inc.) — Congressional Trades, Short Interest & Seasonality

Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast

Next 1 day

+0.0%

Next 1 week

-0.3%

Next 1 month

+0.9%

Seasonality

Not enough history

Mean reversion

Oversold — RSI(2) at 15

RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.13%/day.

1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.22 -0.6% · Seasonal tilt (6y) +1.5%

$28.1B market cap (#401 US) $183M/day volume 31% volatility +10% 1-year -22% from ATH

52-week range · 76% of the way up · -7% from the high

$91.42$127.69

Congressional trades in TW Full tracker →

4 members · 6 buys / 4 sells · $11K–$165K disclosed · latest filing Jan 13, 2026.

BUY	JL Julia Letlow · traded Jul 29, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	JL Julia Letlow · traded Oct 1, 2025	$1K–$15K
BUY	BD Byron Donalds · traded Oct 9, 2025	$1K–$15K
SELL	BD Byron Donalds · traded Sep 4, 2025	$1K–$15K
BUY	BD Byron Donalds · traded Mar 20, 2025	$1K–$15K
EXCHANGE	LS Lamar Smith · traded Jan 5, 2016	$1K–$15K
BUY	LS Lamar Smith · traded Aug 4, 2015	$1K–$15K
SELL	TM Thomas MacArthur · traded May 27, 2015	$1K–$15K
SELL	LS Lamar Smith · traded Mar 9, 2015	$1K–$15K
BUY	LS Lamar Smith · traded Dec 2, 2014	$1K–$15K
BUY	LS Lamar Smith · traded Oct 16, 2014	$1K–$15K

No scheduled report date yet.

1-day std dev

4.0%

Finished up

39%

Biggest pop

+8.6%

Biggest drop

-9.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 31 reports. History, not a forecast.

Reported		Est.	Actual	Surprise	Gap	Day 1	Day 5
2026-10-29		1.01	—	—	-1.4%	-0.8%	—
2026-07-30	beat	0.95	0.97	+2.5%	-7.6%	-9.6%	-4.5%
2026-04-29	beat	1.06	1.08	+1.5%	-4.0%	+5.1%	-2.6%
2026-02-05	beat	0.84	0.87	+3.0%	+0.2%	+8.6%	+15.1%
2025-10-30	beat	0.83	0.87	+4.9%	-0.9%	-1.2%	+1.4%
2025-07-30	beat	0.86	0.87	+1.3%	+0.1%	+5.6%	-0.9%
2025-04-30	beat	0.86	0.86	+0.4%	-1.9%	+0.7%	+4.6%
2025-02-06	beat	0.74	0.76	+2.4%	+2.1%	-1.4%	+2.5%
2024-10-30	miss	0.76	0.75	-1.2%	+0.6%	-2.0%	-2.4%
2024-07-25	beat	0.69	0.70	+0.8%	-3.2%	-2.9%	+2.4%
2024-04-25	beat	0.71	0.71	+0.5%	-0.8%	-0.8%	+2.5%
2024-02-06	beat	0.63	0.64	+1.1%	-1.6%	-0.3%	+4.2%
2023-10-25	miss	0.55	0.55	-0.0%	-2.9%	+5.4%	+9.8%
2023-07-27	beat	0.50	0.52	+3.5%	+2.0%	+7.8%	+10.0%
2023-04-27	beat	0.54	0.54	+0.9%	+2.6%	-0.6%	+0.2%
2023-02-02	beat	0.46	0.49	+6.5%	+1.2%	-5.6%	-3.4%
2022-10-27	beat	0.43	0.45	+3.6%	+1.4%	+0.7%	+3.3%
2022-08-03	beat	0.46	0.47	+2.6%	-0.3%	-1.7%	+2.7%
2022-04-28	miss	0.49	0.48	-1.1%	-3.0%	-3.3%	-15.6%
2022-02-03	beat	0.42	0.42	+0.1%	-0.2%	-0.5%	+1.0%
2021-10-28	miss	0.39	0.39	-0.0%	-2.8%	+0.5%	+7.3%
2021-07-29	miss	0.39	0.39	-0.6%	-0.1%	-0.3%	+1.4%
2021-04-29	beat	0.43	0.43	+0.9%	-1.9%	+1.6%	+3.4%
2021-02-04	beat	0.34	0.34	+1.2%	-0.5%	-1.6%	+5.4%
2020-10-28	beat	0.29	0.30	+2.8%	-3.0%	-4.9%	-1.1%
2020-07-30	beat	0.30	0.30	+1.6%	-0.5%	-1.9%	-1.8%
2020-04-20	beat	0.35	0.37	+4.9%	-3.0%	-2.0%	+1.8%
2020-02-12	beat	0.26	0.26	+1.8%	+0.0%	+1.5%	+11.9%
2019-10-15	beat	0.26	0.27	+4.8%	+1.9%	+5.9%	+1.3%
2019-08-08	beat	0.23	0.25	+6.8%	+2.9%	-3.5%	-1.9%
2019-05-09	beat	0.22	0.23	+4.6%	+3.9%	+3.0%	+10.3%