TXModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.2%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.2% median,
56% of the last 52 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 88
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.04 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$64M/day volume
5% volatility
+3% 1-year
-2% from ATH
52-week range · 77% of the way up · -2% from the high
$55.64$59.53
Congressional trades in TXNM Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing May 14, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 1.50.
1-day std dev
1.9%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+4.2%
Biggest drop
-6.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.6% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2026-05-01 | miss | 0.33 | 0.21 | -36.7% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| 2026-02-27 | miss | 0.64 | 0.48 | -24.4% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2025-10-31 | miss | 1.44 | 1.33 | -7.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-01 | miss | 0.41 | 0.25 | -39.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-05-09 | miss | 0.20 | 0.19 | -4.2% | -0.9% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-02-21 | beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.5% | +2.8% | +3.5% | +1.6% |
| 2024-11-01 | beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +0.4% | +4.0% | -2.9% | +2.7% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 0.55 | 0.60 | +9.5% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -3.7% |
| 2024-04-30 | beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +3.4% | -3.4% | +0.0% | +3.7% |
| 2024-02-06 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +29.2% | +0.0% | +4.2% | +4.4% |
| 2023-10-27 | beat | 1.38 | 1.54 | +11.7% | -0.5% | -1.9% | -3.1% |
| 2023-08-04 | miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -1.8% | -0.9% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2023-05-05 | beat | 0.41 | 0.55 | +34.7% | +1.9% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2023-02-24 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +7.8% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2022-11-04 | beat | 1.35 | 1.46 | +8.2% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +7.4% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 0.37 | 0.50 | +33.6% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -3.8% |
| 2022-02-03 | beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +34.4% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +0.8% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.22 | 1.37 | +12.5% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 2021-07-30 | beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +18.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2021-04-30 | beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +43.4% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2021-02-26 | miss | 0.17 | 0.15 | -9.8% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -1.5% |
| 2020-10-30 | beat | 1.20 | 1.40 | +16.3% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -1.1% |
| 2020-07-31 | beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +13.5% | -1.8% | +0.7% | +5.7% |
| 2020-04-13 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.9% | -1.9% | -6.0% | -12.8% |
| 2020-02-28 | beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.1% | -1.5% | -5.0% | +4.6% |
| 2019-11-01 | beat | 1.27 | 1.29 | +1.8% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -8.2% |
| 2019-08-02 | miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.5% | -1.6% | -2.6% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +14.5% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +0.6% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +11.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 1.04 | 1.08 | +3.7% | -0.5% | +1.0% | +6.3% |
| 2018-07-31 | beat | 0.43 | 0.53 | +22.7% | +2.0% | +3.3% | +4.3% |
| 2018-04-27 | beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +0.2% | -0.9% | +0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +23.8% | +0.7% | -2.2% | -2.6% |
| 2017-10-27 | beat | 0.85 | 0.93 | +9.6% | -2.0% | +2.6% | +0.6% |
| 2017-07-28 | beat | 0.45 | 0.49 | +8.5% | -0.6% | -0.5% | +4.4% |
| 2017-04-28 | beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +15.3% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2017-02-28 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +9.7% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2016-10-28 | beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +6.2% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +0.6% |
| 2016-08-08 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.3% | -0.3% | +0.9% | -2.2% |
| 2016-04-29 | miss | 0.14 | 0.13 | -4.9% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +4.1% |
| 2016-02-26 | beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +25.8% | -2.0% | -4.3% | -1.1% |
| 2015-10-30 | beat | 0.75 | 0.76 | +2.0% | +3.3% | +1.8% | -2.6% |
| 2015-07-31 | beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +7.7% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2015-05-01 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +17.8% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -3.4% |
| 2015-02-27 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.0% | -1.8% | +0.8% | -3.5% |
| 2014-10-31 | beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +5.1% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +1.8% |
| 2014-08-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.8% | +0.2% | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| 2014-05-02 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -9.2% | -0.9% | -3.5% | +2.7% |
| 2014-02-28 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +15.4% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.5% |
| 2013-11-01 | miss | 0.67 | 0.64 | -4.5% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -2.7% |
| 2013-08-02 | beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +16.6% | +0.2% | +2.2% | -0.5% |
| 2013-05-06 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -8.5% | +0.2% | -1.8% | -4.6% |
| 2013-03-01 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +9.6% | -0.7% | +0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +12.5% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -7.9% |
| 2012-08-03 | beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +12.2% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +1.0% |
| 2012-05-04 | beat | 0.11 | 0.17 | +50.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2012-02-29 | beat | 0.16 | 0.22 | +35.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +4.7% |
| 2011-11-03 | miss | 0.69 | 0.61 | -11.4% | +0.4% | +2.7% | +2.0% |
Not investment advice.
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