UAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+3.5%
Next 1 month
+6.3%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +5.0% median,
63% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 78
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.25 +6.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$34.6B market cap (#448 US)
$539M/day volume
48% volatility
+11% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 38% of the way up · -24% from the high
$84.64$138.77
Congressional trades in UAL Full tracker →
9 members · 11 buys / 6 sells · $130K–$525K disclosed · latest filing Mar 9, 2026.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $100K–$250K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-01-26 (Tuesday, after close, in 88 days) · EPS est. 1.38.
1-day std dev
6.0%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+17.4%
Biggest drop
-12.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | miss | 2.57 | 2.54 | -1.3% | -0.3% | +4.0% | +5.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | beat | 1.85 | 1.99 | +7.6% | -3.6% | -1.8% | -4.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | beat | 1.08 | 1.19 | +10.0% | -1.2% | -5.6% | -8.8% |
| 2026-01-20 | beat | 2.94 | 3.10 | +5.4% | +3.1% | +2.2% | -3.4% |
| 2025-10-15 | beat | 2.68 | 2.78 | +3.8% | -1.1% | -5.6% | -8.0% |
| 2025-07-16 | beat | 3.81 | 3.87 | +1.5% | +3.9% | +3.1% | +1.4% |
| 2025-04-15 | beat | 0.74 | 0.91 | +23.8% | +3.9% | +0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2025-01-21 | beat | 3.03 | 3.26 | +7.6% | +4.8% | -2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-10-15 | beat | 3.17 | 3.33 | +5.0% | +2.1% | +12.4% | +14.7% |
| 2024-07-17 | beat | 3.93 | 4.14 | +5.4% | +2.1% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
| 2024-04-16 | beat | -0.57 | -0.15 | +73.7% | +7.1% | +17.4% | +26.9% |
| 2024-01-22 | beat | 1.70 | 2.00 | +17.4% | +6.7% | +5.3% | +8.3% |
| 2023-10-17 | beat | 3.41 | 3.65 | +7.1% | -5.1% | -9.7% | -13.1% |
| 2023-07-19 | beat | 4.06 | 5.03 | +23.8% | +1.9% | +3.2% | -2.8% |
| 2023-04-18 | beat | -0.73 | -0.63 | +14.2% | +1.3% | +7.5% | -2.2% |
| 2023-01-17 | beat | 2.14 | 2.46 | +14.8% | +3.7% | -4.6% | -1.8% |
| 2022-10-18 | beat | 2.28 | 2.81 | +23.1% | +5.6% | +5.0% | +14.0% |
| 2022-07-20 | miss | 1.90 | 1.43 | -24.8% | -6.9% | -10.2% | -11.9% |
| 2022-04-20 | miss | -4.22 | -4.24 | -0.5% | +8.4% | +9.3% | +11.4% |
| 2022-01-19 | beat | -2.10 | -1.60 | +23.8% | -0.1% | -3.4% | -7.8% |
| 2021-10-19 | beat | -1.68 | -1.02 | +39.1% | +1.5% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2021-07-20 | miss | -3.86 | -3.91 | -1.2% | +1.7% | +3.8% | +6.1% |
| 2021-04-19 | miss | -7.12 | -7.50 | -5.3% | -2.8% | -8.5% | -2.7% |
| 2021-01-20 | miss | -6.46 | -7.00 | -8.3% | -3.1% | -5.7% | -5.8% |
| 2020-10-14 | miss | -7.55 | -8.16 | -8.0% | -1.2% | -3.8% | +4.6% |
| 2020-07-21 | miss | -9.25 | -9.31 | -0.7% | -0.8% | -4.2% | -1.5% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | -3.04 | -2.57 | +15.5% | -5.0% | -10.0% | -14.1% |
| 2020-01-21 | beat | 2.64 | 2.67 | +1.0% | +1.1% | -2.9% | -12.3% |
| 2019-10-15 | beat | 3.96 | 4.07 | +2.8% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.3% |
| 2019-07-16 | beat | 4.12 | 4.21 | +2.2% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 2019-04-16 | beat | 0.96 | 1.15 | +20.1% | +3.3% | +4.8% | +2.0% |
| 2019-01-15 | beat | 2.06 | 2.41 | +17.2% | +7.0% | +6.4% | +3.5% |
| 2018-10-16 | miss | 3.07 | 3.06 | -0.3% | +5.4% | +6.0% | -1.6% |
| 2018-07-17 | beat | 3.07 | 3.23 | +5.1% | +4.1% | +8.8% | +10.9% |
| 2018-04-17 | beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.3% | +3.2% | +4.8% | +1.7% |
| 2018-01-23 | beat | 1.34 | 1.40 | +4.6% | -8.4% | -11.4% | -13.0% |
| 2017-10-18 | beat | 2.16 | 2.22 | +2.9% | -2.4% | -12.1% | -11.8% |
| 2017-07-18 | beat | 2.66 | 2.75 | +3.4% | -3.4% | -5.9% | -11.0% |
| 2017-04-17 | beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.8% | +0.3% | -4.3% | +0.3% |
| 2017-01-17 | beat | 1.73 | 1.78 | +2.8% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2016-10-17 | beat | 3.06 | 3.11 | +1.6% | -0.9% | +1.2% | +3.0% |
| 2016-07-19 | beat | 2.56 | 2.61 | +1.9% | +0.9% | +0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2016-04-20 | beat | 1.18 | 1.23 | +4.2% | -5.6% | -10.0% | -18.0% |
| 2016-01-21 | miss | 2.58 | 2.54 | -1.4% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +2.2% |
| 2015-10-22 | miss | 4.56 | 4.53 | -0.7% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +10.4% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 3.31 | 3.31 | +0.1% | +2.9% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.7% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -6.7% |
| 2015-01-22 | miss | 1.21 | 1.20 | -0.8% | +2.6% | +4.5% | +6.2% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 2.68 | 2.75 | +2.5% | -4.9% | +0.7% | +5.5% |
| 2014-07-24 | beat | 2.19 | 2.34 | +7.0% | +6.4% | -2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2014-04-24 | beat | -1.37 | -1.33 | +2.8% | -4.1% | -9.8% | -11.2% |
| 2014-01-23 | beat | 0.65 | 0.78 | +20.2% | -2.2% | -1.5% | -5.6% |
| 2013-10-24 | miss | 1.54 | 1.51 | -1.7% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +9.7% |
| 2013-07-25 | miss | 1.42 | 1.35 | -4.6% | +0.3% | -1.9% | +1.0% |
| 2013-04-25 | beat | -1.06 | -0.98 | +7.6% | -0.7% | -1.6% | +3.9% |
| 2013-01-24 | beat | -0.58 | -0.58 | +0.7% | +1.3% | +2.2% | -3.4% |
| 2012-10-25 | miss | 1.50 | 1.35 | -9.8% | -3.0% | -5.0% | -0.1% |
| 2012-07-26 | miss | 1.69 | 1.41 | -16.8% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -11.0% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | -1.05 | -0.87 | +17.3% | +0.8% | -3.7% | -6.1% |
| 2012-01-26 | beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +53.5% | +4.5% | +6.3% | +18.0% |
Not investment advice.
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