UFCS

United Fire Group Inc $56.99 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.2%
Next 1 month
+0.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.2% median, 58% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 56
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.03%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.01 +0.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.1%
$6M/day volume 31% volatility +86% 1-year -7% from ATH
52-week range · 96% of the way up · -2% from the high
$29.85$58.20

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 1.19.

1-day std dev
8.8%
Finished up
51%
Biggest pop
+24.1%
Biggest drop
-21.7%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 57 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-03 beat 0.70 1.30 +87.0% +2.8% +3.0% +3.6%
2026-05-05 beat 0.79 1.15 +45.6% +9.0% +7.9% +22.2%
2026-02-10 beat 0.91 1.50 +65.8% +4.1% +7.2% +5.4%
2025-11-04 beat 0.72 1.50 +108.3% +4.3% +14.7% +19.8%
2025-08-05 beat 0.56 0.90 +60.7% +11.9% +7.2% +14.9%
2025-05-06 beat 0.61 0.70 +14.8% -2.2% -4.6% -2.3%
2025-02-11 beat 0.66 1.25 +89.4% +13.0% +2.2% +4.5%
2024-11-05 beat 0.21 0.81 +285.7% +10.0% +24.1% +27.6%
2024-08-06 miss -0.04 -0.07 -75.0% -5.2% -8.7% -6.1%
2024-05-07 beat 0.55 0.56 +1.8% +0.2% +0.9% -0.4%
2024-02-13 beat 0.53 0.65 +22.6% +7.5% +16.5% +10.1%
2023-11-01 beat -0.16 0.31 +293.8% +2.2% -3.8% -3.7%
2023-08-07 -2.27 -2.27 — -1.1% -4.3% -8.9%
2023-05-08 miss 0.53 0.08 -84.9% -5.0% -10.1% -13.7%
2023-02-15 miss 0.36 0.18 -50.0% -1.8% -6.0% +1.4%
2022-11-02 beat -0.48 -0.47 +2.1% -2.1% -2.3% +10.0%
2022-08-04 miss 0.49 0.24 -50.5% -1.1% -21.7% -9.1%
2022-05-05 beat 0.94 1.13 +20.9% +3.3% -1.1% -2.8%
2022-02-15 beat 0.51 1.69 +234.7% +14.7% +22.4% +18.7%
2021-11-04 -0.31 -0.31 — -3.4% -6.1% -6.1%
2021-08-04 beat -0.05 0.35 +736.4% +6.8% +4.0% +9.8%
2021-05-05 miss 0.09 -0.03 -135.3% +1.2% +5.6% +5.0%
2021-02-17 -1.30 -1.30 — -3.1% +0.9% +1.2%
2020-11-04 beat -1.55 -1.37 +11.6% -2.1% -11.2% +7.3%
2020-08-05 beat -0.27 -0.26 +3.7% -3.6% +5.9% +11.7%
2020-05-06 miss 0.08 0.05 -33.3% -1.2% -5.8% -11.4%
2020-02-18 beat -1.15 -1.04 +9.6% +4.9% -1.3% -5.9%
2019-11-06 miss -0.03 -0.40 -1233.3% -10.7% -3.8% -6.9%
2019-08-07 miss 0.01 -0.59 -6000.0% -9.0% -12.6% -13.2%
2019-05-08 beat 0.70 0.91 +30.0% +3.1% +6.1% +5.8%
2019-02-20 miss 0.02 -0.30 -1600.0% -9.1% -10.0% -12.3%
2018-11-07 miss 0.31 — -100.0% -1.6% -9.7% -11.9%
2018-08-08 miss 0.23 -0.03 -113.0% -5.0% -10.0% -9.2%
2018-05-09 beat 0.94 1.00 +6.4% +3.2% +4.6% +4.4%
2018-02-14 beat 0.47 0.92 +95.7% -5.0% +1.0% +8.9%
2017-11-08 miss -0.72 -0.73 -1.4% -4.9% +0.8% +0.7%
2017-08-02 miss 0.22 0.05 -77.3% +0.0% -2.0% -1.7%
2017-05-03 beat 0.75 0.77 +2.7% -5.0% -1.5% -1.5%
2015-05-05 beat 0.91 0.92 +1.1% +3.8% +2.2% +2.6%
2015-02-17 miss 1.35 1.34 -0.7% +1.6% +1.0% -1.7%
2014-11-04 miss 0.01 -0.01 -200.0% -2.9% -2.9% -7.5%
2014-08-05 beat 0.32 0.35 +9.4% -0.3% -0.1% +1.3%
2014-05-06 miss 0.71 0.47 -33.8% -2.1% -4.6% -0.9%
2014-02-18 beat 0.51 1.00 +96.1% +9.6% +15.1% +4.9%
2013-11-05 miss 0.54 0.42 -22.2% -1.2% -7.5% -9.6%
2013-08-06 beat 0.22 0.50 +127.3% +0.1% +1.9% +8.3%
2013-05-07 beat 0.60 0.84 +40.0% +3.1% +2.4% -0.5%
2013-02-19 -0.12 -0.12 — +0.0% +3.5% +4.0%
2012-11-05 miss 0.36 0.31 -13.9% -0.2% -6.8% -12.5%
2012-08-06 beat 0.27 0.56 +107.4% +3.2% +11.8% +13.7%
2012-05-07 beat 0.37 0.68 +83.8% +0.5% +13.5% +26.2%
2012-02-21 beat 0.23 0.62 +169.6% +0.5% +4.8% +7.5%
2011-11-07 miss -0.22 -0.23 -5.9% -0.5% -0.8% -0.3%
2011-02-14 beat 0.19 0.29 +52.6% -0.1% -0.5% -0.1%
2010-04-26 beat 0.24 0.67 +179.2% +1.4% +19.3% +19.7%
2010-02-16 miss 0.27 0.03 -88.9% +1.0% -0.3% +2.5%
2009-11-09 miss 0.48 -0.38 -179.2% +0.8% +1.3% +1.5%

Not investment advice.