UFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.8%
Next 1 month
+2.6%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.4% median,
47% of the last 32 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 62
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.29 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt -1.1%
$31M/day volume
49% volatility
+48% 1-year
-20% from ATH
52-week range · 72% of the way up · -13% from the high
$173.86$338.71
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 2.69.
1-day std dev
6.4%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+25.2%
Biggest drop
-12.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 2.56 | 2.92 | +14.2% | +14.0% | +25.2% | +20.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 2.31 | 2.48 | +7.4% | -5.2% | +10.3% | +14.6% |
| 2026-02-24 | beat | 2.24 | 2.44 | +9.2% | +2.9% | -0.2% | -15.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | 2.17 | 2.39 | +10.0% | +4.6% | +12.1% | +23.4% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | 2.25 | 2.50 | +11.1% | +2.1% | +6.4% | -2.9% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 2.01 | 2.47 | +22.9% | +10.4% | +11.2% | +25.5% |
| 2025-02-25 | beat | 2.13 | 2.46 | +15.2% | +5.8% | +9.4% | -11.6% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 1.86 | 2.39 | +28.5% | +0.1% | +18.6% | +23.8% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | 1.54 | 1.86 | +20.8% | +1.2% | +1.5% | -5.5% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 1.17 | 1.66 | +42.5% | +3.3% | +14.5% | +22.3% |
| 2024-02-21 | beat | 1.12 | 1.54 | +37.5% | -0.8% | +8.5% | +7.5% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 1.49 | 1.52 | +2.0% | -1.4% | -12.3% | -10.4% |
| 2023-08-01 | beat | 1.42 | 1.57 | +10.9% | +0.4% | -1.7% | -6.4% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 1.12 | 1.57 | +40.4% | +5.9% | +3.3% | +3.4% |
| 2023-03-07 | beat | 0.90 | 1.16 | +28.7% | +0.0% | +6.3% | +6.8% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.2% | +1.3% | +12.7% | +19.7% |
| 2022-08-02 | miss | 0.79 | 0.57 | -27.6% | +0.2% | +10.8% | +10.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.45 | 0.72 | +59.2% | +3.7% | +4.5% | +4.2% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.9% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -13.3% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.59 | 0.51 | -13.2% | -3.0% | -1.6% | +7.8% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 0.52 | 0.62 | +19.3% | +2.9% | +7.2% | +4.9% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.36 | 0.55 | +52.8% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +11.8% |
| 2021-03-04 | beat | 0.42 | 0.57 | +37.1% | +0.9% | +1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2020-11-03 | beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +25.0% | +0.1% | +10.8% | +30.4% |
| 2020-08-04 | beat | 0.20 | 0.34 | +69.2% | -1.1% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2020-05-05 | miss | 0.54 | 0.52 | -3.7% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2020-03-04 | beat | 0.60 | 0.77 | +28.3% | +1.9% | +4.4% | -11.4% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | 0.56 | 0.75 | +33.9% | +0.2% | +2.2% | +4.8% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 0.56 | 0.62 | +10.7% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +0.1% |
| 2019-05-07 | beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +25.0% | -0.7% | +2.5% | +6.2% |
| 2019-03-06 | beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +1.9% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2018-11-01 | beat | 0.55 | 0.56 | +1.8% | +6.7% | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.0% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +7.9% |
| 2018-05-04 | beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +50.0% | -4.9% | +0.3% | -3.5% |
| 2018-03-01 | beat | 0.23 | 0.37 | +60.9% | +1.2% | -3.0% | +0.2% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.36 | 0.23 | -36.1% | -1.0% | -9.3% | -11.3% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.6% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -3.3% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.23 | 0.30 | +29.1% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +0.8% |
| 2017-03-02 | miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -2.6% | -0.6% | -1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2016-11-02 | miss | 0.48 | 0.22 | -54.6% | -1.3% | +0.0% | -2.1% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 0.19 | 0.38 | +100.0% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +0.8% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | 0.29 | 0.15 | -48.3% | -2.4% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2016-03-01 | miss | 0.28 | 0.23 | -17.9% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +2.2% |
| 2015-11-04 | miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.5% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -2.5% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +45.5% | +1.7% | +8.2% | +8.6% |
| 2015-05-05 | miss | 0.26 | 0.23 | -11.5% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| 2015-03-03 | miss | 0.29 | 0.22 | -24.1% | -0.5% | -6.9% | -12.5% |
| 2014-11-04 | beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +13.7% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +6.2% |
| 2014-08-05 | miss | 0.40 | 0.28 | -30.4% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -4.9% |
| 2014-05-06 | miss | 0.38 | 0.29 | -23.0% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -3.3% |
| 2014-02-27 | beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +11.9% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -2.0% |
| 2013-11-05 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +11.8% | -1.0% | +10.1% | +10.5% |
| 2013-08-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.8% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 2013-05-03 | miss | 0.36 | 0.30 | -16.4% | +0.0% | -3.5% | +0.0% |
| 2013-02-28 | beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +11.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.5% |
| 2012-11-01 | beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +4.2% | +0.2% | +3.7% | -4.2% |
| 2012-08-02 | beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.4% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +4.4% |
| 2012-05-03 | beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.5% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -8.8% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +12.6% | -0.3% | +2.8% | +15.2% |
| 2011-11-03 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +4.5% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +5.4% |
Not investment advice.
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