ULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc. $648.28 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.7%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +6.6% median, 78% of the last 18 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 87
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.07%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.52 +1.5% · Seasonal tilt +0.4%
$30.5B market cap (#586 US) $268M/day volume 36% volatility +25% 1-year -9% from ATH
52-week range · 75% of the way up · -9% from the high
$443.60$714.97

Congressional trades in ULTA Full tracker →

15 members · 13 buys / 19 sells · $187K–$855K disclosed · latest filing Apr 21, 2026.

BUY MS Maria Elvira Salazar · traded Mar 19, 2026 $15K–$50K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Dec 11, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL VH Valerie Hoyle · traded Sep 23, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL GL Greg Landsman · traded Aug 14, 2024 $1K–$15K
BUY GL Greg Landsman · traded May 29, 2024 $15K–$50K
BUY MG Michael Patrick Guest · traded Nov 13, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Sep 8, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Daniel S Sullivan · traded Aug 22, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Daniel S Sullivan · traded Aug 22, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL MM Markwayne Mullin other · traded Jan 5, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Mar 17, 2023 $1K–$15K
BUY DN Dan Newhouse · traded Mar 8, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL DN Dan Newhouse · traded Sep 20, 2022 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 16, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL DS Daniel S Sullivan · traded Jan 10, 2023 $1K–$15K
SELL JC John Curtis · traded Aug 5, 2022 $1K–$15K
BUY JC John Curtis · traded Nov 8, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL SL Susie Lee · traded Jun 23, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY SL Susie Lee · traded May 8, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL CB Cheri Bustos · traded Oct 18, 2019 $15K–$50K
SELL LS Lamar Smith · traded Oct 11, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL BS Bradley S. Schneider · traded Aug 22, 2018 $100K–$250K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Apr 3, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL JG Josh Gottheimer · traded Oct 18, 2017 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel sT · traded May 16, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY LS Lamar Smith · traded Mar 28, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Mar 8, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY LS Lamar Smith · traded Feb 22, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY LS Lamar Smith · traded Jan 11, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Sep 12, 2016 $1K–$15K
BUY CB Cheri Bustos · traded May 26, 2016 $15K–$50K
BUY KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Feb 9, 2015 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-12-03 (Thursday, after close, in 34 days) · EPS est. 5.61.

1-day std dev
9.6%
Finished up
55%
Biggest pop
+17.9%
Biggest drop
-29.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-27 beat 6.20 6.55 +5.6% +0.4% -4.2% +4.4%
2026-06-02 beat 6.89 7.74 +12.3% -3.3% -4.8% -4.9%
2026-03-12 miss 8.03 8.01 -0.2% -9.4% -14.2% -15.2%
2025-12-04 beat 4.61 5.14 +11.5% +8.4% +12.7% +12.7%
2025-08-28 beat 5.10 5.78 +13.2% -0.7% -7.1% -2.0%
2025-05-29 beat 5.80 6.70 +15.5% +11.0% +11.8% +10.4%
2025-03-13 beat 7.14 8.46 +18.4% +8.8% +13.7% +11.5%
2024-12-05 beat 4.52 5.14 +13.6% +9.0% +9.0% +8.0%
2024-08-29 miss 5.47 5.30 -3.0% -6.4% -4.0% +3.8%
2024-05-30 beat 6.28 6.47 +3.0% +9.2% +2.5% -0.8%
2024-03-14 beat 7.54 8.08 +7.2% -10.9% -5.2% -8.0%
2023-11-30 beat 4.97 5.07 +1.9% +11.6% +10.8% +13.2%
2023-08-24 beat 5.85 6.02 +2.9% +0.6% -3.7% -1.6%
2023-05-25 beat 6.83 6.88 +0.7% -10.1% -13.4% -13.2%
2023-03-09 beat 5.60 6.68 +19.2% +0.4% +0.2% -2.6%
2022-12-01 beat 4.15 5.34 +28.6% -1.2% -0.3% -0.2%
2022-08-25 beat 4.99 5.70 +14.3% +2.5% -1.9% +0.9%
2022-05-26 beat 4.48 6.30 +40.7% +10.5% +12.5% +9.5%
2022-03-10 beat 4.54 5.41 +19.0% +1.5% -2.9% +3.1%
2021-12-02 beat 2.46 3.94 +60.3% +4.9% -1.3% +5.2%
2021-08-25 beat 2.56 4.56 +78.1% +5.4% -0.3% -2.2%
2021-05-27 beat 1.97 4.10 +108.5% +4.5% +5.2% +1.4%
2021-03-11 beat 2.37 3.41 +43.8% -8.7% -8.4% -7.4%
2020-12-03 miss 1.56 1.32 -15.3% -3.2% -3.5% -8.3%
2020-08-27 beat 0.15 0.73 +383.9% +13.4% +5.8% +7.4%
2020-05-28 miss 0.67 -1.13 -267.2% -1.1% +0.3% +3.6%
2020-03-12 beat 3.73 3.89 +4.2% +14.4% +4.3% -25.4%
2019-12-05 beat 2.13 2.25 +5.7% +8.8% +11.1% +7.4%
2019-08-29 miss 2.80 2.76 -1.4% -25.1% -29.6% -33.0%
2019-05-30 beat 3.07 3.26 +6.3% -4.0% +1.5% +3.0%
2019-03-14 beat 3.56 3.61 +1.4% +4.9% +8.3% +5.8%
2018-12-06 beat 2.16 2.18 +0.9% -7.3% -13.1% -15.7%
2018-08-30 beat 2.41 2.46 +2.2% +1.1% +6.4% +17.0%
2018-05-31 beat 2.48 2.70 +8.9% -4.4% -0.7% +2.5%
2018-03-15 miss 2.78 2.75 -1.2% +2.0% +7.6% -1.9%
2017-11-30 beat 1.66 1.70 +2.4% -6.2% -4.1% +1.3%
2017-08-24 beat 1.78 1.83 +2.9% -7.8% -9.1% -5.1%
2017-05-25 beat 1.80 2.05 +13.8% +4.3% +3.2% +7.1%
2017-03-09 beat 2.13 2.24 +5.1% -1.0% +4.6% +5.5%
2016-12-01 beat 1.37 1.40 +1.9% +5.6% -1.6% -2.4%
2016-08-25 beat 1.40 1.43 +2.3% -0.5% -6.1% -9.2%
2016-05-26 beat 1.29 1.45 +12.1% +8.0% +9.1% +10.8%
2016-03-10 beat 1.54 1.69 +9.9% +14.2% +17.3% +17.1%
2015-12-03 beat 1.05 1.11 +5.6% +6.9% +12.8% +11.8%
2015-08-27 beat 1.12 1.15 +2.4% +2.8% -0.8% -1.6%
2015-05-28 beat 0.93 1.04 +11.6% +1.9% -2.3% +0.0%
2015-03-12 beat 1.28 1.33 +3.9% +7.1% +3.6% +5.0%
2014-12-04 beat 0.85 0.91 +7.2% +5.6% +3.2% +2.3%
2014-09-11 beat 0.83 0.94 +13.8% +17.5% +17.9% +23.5%
2014-06-10 beat 0.74 0.77 +3.8% +12.7% +13.8% +11.2%
2014-03-13 beat 1.06 1.09 +3.0% +7.1% +6.4% +12.7%
2013-12-05 miss 0.74 0.72 -3.2% -21.8% -20.5% -22.1%
2013-09-12 beat 0.66 0.70 +5.5% +13.9% +17.3% +17.4%
2013-06-11 beat 0.62 0.65 +5.0% +13.3% +14.9% +13.0%
2013-03-14 beat 0.98 1.00 +2.0% -14.0% -16.1% -12.3%
2012-11-29 beat 0.56 0.59 +6.0% +5.2% +7.7% +7.8%
2012-09-06 beat 0.51 0.54 +5.6% +7.9% +6.6% +5.9%
2012-06-05 beat 0.53 0.54 +1.9% +4.8% +8.4% +4.9%
2012-03-08 beat 0.68 0.73 +8.1% +1.3% +0.0% -0.8%
2011-12-01 beat 0.38 0.42 +9.7% +2.9% +8.3% +8.1%

Not investment advice.