UMModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
-0.1%
Next 1 month
-0.2%
Seasonality
No real seasonal tilt
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +0.2% median,
50% of the last 40 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 53
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.05 +0.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.4%
$8M/day volume
20% volatility
+5% 1-year
-45% from ATH
52-week range · 45% of the way up · -9% from the high
$13.93$16.77
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.03.
1-day std dev
3.2%
Finished up
60%
Biggest pop
+7.8%
Biggest drop
-11.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | beat | 0.02 | 0.05 | +155.5% | +1.7% | +3.4% | +9.1% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +275.0% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +1.7% |
| 2026-02-25 | miss | 0.04 | -0.01 | -123.5% | -0.1% | -2.8% | -8.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | 0.05 | 0.05 | -7.4% | -1.4% | -0.9% | +4.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -21.1% | +3.0% | +0.2% | -1.5% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 0.04 | — | -100.0% | -3.0% | +0.1% | -2.8% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +5.7% | -0.8% | +2.9% | +1.4% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +38.0% | +3.4% | +0.2% | +3.2% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +92.3% | -0.4% | -4.3% | +0.4% |
| 2024-02-28 | — | — | — | +2.2% | +7.8% | +13.0% | |
| 2023-11-08 | miss | -0.02 | -0.09 | -360.0% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -3.3% |
| 2023-08-08 | miss | -0.03 | -0.06 | -115.0% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -7.3% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | -0.03 | -0.04 | -31.4% | -0.9% | +0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2023-02-28 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -45.9% | -1.2% | -7.2% | -7.2% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.02 | -0.15 | -661.0% | -2.7% | -2.5% | -0.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | -0.03 | -0.25 | -727.7% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -6.2% |
| 2022-05-04 | miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -200.0% | -2.0% | -7.1% | -15.9% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +29.5% | +0.2% | +3.0% | +7.7% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | -0.02 | -0.07 | -200.0% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +27.0% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +1.5% |
| 2021-05-06 | beat | -0.05 | 0.16 | +420.0% | +0.2% | +1.7% | -2.7% |
| 2021-03-10 | beat | -0.07 | 0.38 | +606.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% | +2.6% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | -0.08 | -0.31 | -264.7% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.12 | 0.25 | +308.3% | +0.8% | +5.5% | +9.9% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -0.77 | -1.04 | -34.2% | +2.7% | +5.5% | -9.8% |
| 2020-03-05 | miss | -0.04 | -0.08 | -100.0% | -1.9% | +1.3% | -10.4% |
| 2019-11-07 | beat | -0.01 | 0.14 | +1500.0% | +3.4% | +2.5% | +1.0% |
| 2019-08-08 | miss | -0.07 | -0.15 | -114.3% | -0.7% | -4.9% | -2.5% |
| 2019-05-02 | miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -16.7% | +1.4% | +0.4% | -4.2% |
| 2019-03-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.88 | -2100.0% | -1.8% | -2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-01 | miss | -0.02 | -0.31 | -1140.0% | -1.7% | -6.7% | -7.0% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.03 | 0.40 | +1433.3% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +3.5% |
| 2018-05-09 | miss | -0.04 | -0.76 | -1800.0% | -1.7% | +0.3% | -3.2% |
| 2018-03-08 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | +0.0% | +1.1% | +6.7% | |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -100.0% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +1.0% |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +50.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% | -5.7% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -25.0% | -3.1% | +3.8% | -0.2% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +71.4% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +2.5% |
| 2016-11-08 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.3% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +6.3% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +33.3% | +2.3% | +2.3% | +1.1% |
| 2016-05-09 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +40.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -2.1% |
| 2016-03-09 | miss | -0.05 | -0.10 | -100.0% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +10.5% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +25.0% | +0.2% | +1.3% | -4.8% |
| 2015-08-06 | miss | -0.04 | -0.06 | -50.0% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | -0.01 | -0.05 | -733.3% | +1.4% | +1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2015-03-11 | beat | -0.04 | -0.01 | +77.5% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +6.3% |
| 2014-11-03 | beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +2.5% | -0.3% | -0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | -0.06 | -0.02 | +69.2% | -0.4% | +1.2% | -0.6% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +28.1% | -0.4% | +1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2014-03-12 | miss | -0.02 | -0.14 | -775.0% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 2013-11-07 | miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -300.4% | +0.9% | +0.4% | -5.0% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +54.8% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2013-03-11 | miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -433.3% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -1.7% |
| 2012-11-13 | miss | 0.15 | 0.01 | -93.4% | -2.5% | -2.6% | -0.2% |
| 2012-08-08 | miss | 0.14 | 0.07 | -51.4% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2012-05-09 | miss | 0.09 | 0.07 | -19.5% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -4.9% |
| 2012-03-15 | miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -114.7% | +0.7% | -2.8% | +0.7% |
| 2011-11-08 | miss | 0.08 | — | -100.0% | -0.9% | -3.2% | -8.7% |
| 2011-08-09 | miss | 0.07 | — | -104.0% | -1.9% | -11.5% | -9.3% |
| 2011-05-09 | beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +70.5% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -1.6% |
Not investment advice.
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