URModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.6%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.5%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +8.6% median,
50% of the last 8 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 3
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.24%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.20 +3.5% · Seasonal tilt (8y) +0.0%
$40M/day volume
62% volatility
+66% 1-year
-52% from ATH
52-week range · 49% of the way up · -34% from the high
$16.50$50.81
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 0.09.
1-day std dev
9.4%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+21.9%
Biggest drop
-22.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 37 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.26 | -0.28 | -5.7% | +5.6% | +16.3% | +22.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | beat | -0.48 | -0.47 | +2.6% | +5.8% | +10.2% | +29.8% |
| 2026-03-02 | miss | -0.51 | -0.53 | -3.6% | -0.2% | -12.4% | -8.2% |
| 2025-11-06 | miss | -0.68 | -0.69 | -1.1% | -5.3% | +21.9% | +23.9% |
| 2025-08-07 | miss | -0.83 | -1.05 | -26.7% | -3.4% | -7.1% | +0.3% |
| 2025-05-12 | miss | -0.79 | -0.92 | -15.7% | -4.6% | +7.3% | -23.2% |
| 2025-03-10 | miss | -0.72 | -0.80 | -11.1% | -7.2% | +1.0% | +16.6% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.82 | -0.55 | +32.7% | +8.5% | +0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2024-08-13 | miss | -0.83 | -0.91 | -9.4% | -2.3% | +3.1% | +3.4% |
| 2024-05-13 | miss | -0.87 | -0.97 | -12.0% | -14.4% | +2.6% | +1.3% |
| 2024-03-14 | miss | -0.68 | -0.72 | -5.9% | -4.0% | -18.0% | -14.5% |
| 2023-11-14 | beat | -0.87 | -0.68 | +21.6% | +3.5% | -0.7% | +7.7% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | -1.14 | -1.03 | +9.4% | +2.3% | +2.5% | -11.0% |
| 2023-05-11 | miss | -1.24 | -1.30 | -4.8% | +1.5% | +8.0% | +3.0% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | -1.12 | -1.22 | -8.9% | +1.7% | -3.1% | -13.2% |
| 2022-11-10 | beat | -1.14 | -1.13 | +0.9% | -1.5% | -16.3% | -28.3% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | -1.33 | -1.18 | +11.4% | -6.2% | -6.5% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-10 | miss | -1.25 | -1.25 | -0.3% | -0.3% | +6.0% | -5.2% |
| 2022-03-21 | miss | -1.11 | -1.27 | -14.4% | +5.4% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2021-11-15 | miss | -1.33 | -1.35 | -1.2% | -3.8% | -22.9% | -35.8% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | -1.09 | -1.17 | -7.7% | -1.9% | -2.6% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-13 | beat | -1.25 | -1.17 | +6.2% | +0.1% | -15.3% | +2.2% |
| 2021-03-18 | beat | -1.44 | -1.38 | +4.3% | +5.8% | -7.4% | -0.8% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | -1.47 | -1.31 | +11.1% | +9.4% | +5.0% | -3.2% |
| 2020-08-10 | beat | -1.52 | -1.44 | +5.2% | +5.8% | +14.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | -1.58 | -1.79 | -13.2% | +0.0% | -0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2020-03-02 | miss | -1.70 | -1.86 | -9.6% | -2.8% | +2.8% | -0.9% |
| 2019-11-12 | beat | -1.28 | -1.06 | +17.4% | +7.3% | +13.6% | +16.3% |
| 2019-08-09 | beat | -1.20 | -1.08 | +9.9% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | -1.26 | -1.11 | +12.2% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +2.7% |
| 2019-02-28 | miss | -1.27 | -1.46 | -14.5% | +0.0% | +3.8% | -5.6% |
| 2018-11-12 | miss | -1.11 | -1.28 | -15.3% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +0.4% |
| 2018-08-14 | miss | -0.93 | -1.14 | -22.6% | -0.6% | -3.8% | -4.6% |
| 2018-05-15 | miss | -0.63 | -0.88 | -39.7% | -0.4% | -2.5% | +0.4% |
| 2018-03-15 | miss | -0.64 | -0.74 | -16.2% | -0.1% | -2.0% | -5.6% |
| 2017-11-14 | miss | 0.11 | -0.02 | -118.2% | +0.6% | -2.5% | -5.4% |
| 2017-08-14 | miss | -0.68 | -0.70 | -2.4% | -3.7% | -2.8% | -3.8% |
Not investment advice.
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