UTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.1%
Next 1 month
+0.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.2% median,
62% of the last 40 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 64
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.24 -0.7% · Seasonal tilt +0.9%
$6M/day volume
20% volatility
+10% 1-year
-16% from ATH
52-week range · 78% of the way up · -4% from the high
$46.91$57.26
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.05.
1-day std dev
2.8%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+6.6%
Biggest drop
-8.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.3% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +0.5% |
| 2026-05-04 | miss | 1.86 | 1.85 | -0.5% | +1.6% | -3.9% | -3.2% |
| 2026-02-09 | beat | 0.99 | 1.08 | +9.1% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +200.0% | +0.2% | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 0.29 | 0.25 | -13.8% | +0.0% | -6.0% | -2.5% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 1.75 | 1.74 | -0.3% | +0.4% | -3.4% | -12.0% |
| 2025-02-10 | beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.1% | +2.4% | +2.5% | +3.0% |
| 2024-11-04 | miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -76.0% | -5.1% | -0.6% | +4.8% |
| 2024-08-06 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -8.0% | -3.8% | -3.4% | -1.9% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 1.59 | 1.69 | +6.3% | -2.4% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2024-02-13 | beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.7% | -9.3% | -4.3% | +1.3% |
| 2023-11-07 | beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +92.8% | -2.2% | +2.5% | +4.6% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -12.3% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -3.8% |
| 2023-05-02 | beat | 1.46 | 1.51 | +3.4% | -0.3% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2023-02-14 | beat | 0.84 | 0.91 | +8.3% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +7.3% |
| 2022-11-01 | beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +500.0% | -4.5% | +4.1% | -4.0% |
| 2022-08-02 | beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +20.0% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 1.31 | 1.35 | +3.0% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +5.0% |
| 2022-02-01 | miss | 1.04 | 0.93 | -10.6% | +2.2% | +1.5% | +8.1% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | 0.03 | — | -100.0% | +0.6% | -1.0% | +1.9% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -10.0% | +1.9% | +2.7% | -4.5% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.15 | 1.26 | +9.6% | +3.0% | -2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.1% | +0.5% | -0.8% | +2.0% |
| 2020-10-29 | miss | 0.14 | 0.02 | -85.4% | -2.0% | -4.4% | -7.3% |
| 2020-07-30 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.5% | -2.1% | -3.4% | -11.2% |
| 2020-04-30 | beat | 1.16 | 1.22 | +5.2% | -4.4% | -8.5% | -12.7% |
| 2020-01-30 | miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -1.3% | -1.0% | +0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2019-10-24 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +7.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2019-07-25 | beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +0.7% | +1.8% | +2.1% | +0.8% |
| 2019-04-25 | miss | 1.25 | 1.12 | -10.4% | +0.6% | +2.8% | +3.3% |
| 2019-01-31 | beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +7.2% | +0.8% | +6.6% | +5.9% |
| 2018-10-25 | beat | 0.07 | 0.19 | +159.1% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -4.3% |
| 2018-07-26 | beat | 0.24 | 0.32 | +35.2% | -1.2% | +0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2018-04-26 | beat | 0.93 | 1.06 | +14.0% | +2.7% | +4.5% | +4.8% |
| 2018-02-01 | beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.6% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -3.6% |
| 2017-10-26 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +33.3% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2017-07-27 | beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.0% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -2.5% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +1.1% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2017-02-02 | beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +2.1% | -0.2% | +0.5% | -1.1% |
| 2016-10-20 | beat | 0.16 | 0.25 | +61.3% | +1.1% | +2.2% | +3.5% |
| 2016-07-21 | beat | 0.14 | 0.18 | +24.1% | +0.8% | +3.2% | +1.0% |
| 2016-04-21 | miss | 0.84 | 0.78 | -7.1% | -6.9% | -8.3% | -1.1% |
| 2016-01-28 | 0.67 | 0.67 | — | -1.4% | +1.4% | +6.7% | |
| 2015-10-22 | beat | 0.12 | 0.12 | +2.9% | -0.3% | +1.9% | -5.4% |
| 2015-07-23 | beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +16.1% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2015-04-23 | beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +4.3% | +2.5% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2015-01-28 | miss | 0.69 | 0.69 | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -1.0% |
| 2014-10-23 | beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +37.5% | +0.5% | +0.3% | +2.5% |
| 2014-07-23 | beat | 0.01 | 0.08 | +540.0% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -1.6% |
| 2014-04-23 | beat | 0.83 | 0.91 | +10.1% | +0.3% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2014-01-29 | beat | 0.68 | 0.75 | +9.9% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +0.5% |
| 2013-10-23 | — | 0.04 | — | +0.5% | +2.9% | +0.9% | |
| 2013-07-24 | miss | 0.01 | -0.01 | -231.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2013-04-24 | miss | 0.83 | 0.79 | -4.9% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2013-01-30 | beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +3.7% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2012-10-24 | beat | -0.06 | 0.03 | +147.6% | +0.5% | +1.2% | -3.8% |
| 2012-07-25 | miss | 0.11 | -0.03 | -127.3% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -2.7% |
| 2012-04-25 | miss | 0.88 | 0.83 | -5.1% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -1.1% |
| 2012-01-31 | beat | 0.62 | 0.92 | +48.4% | -1.6% | +0.7% | -1.6% |
| 2011-07-28 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +11.1% | -4.2% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
Not investment advice.
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