VAC

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporati $115.75 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.1%
Next 1 month
+3.7%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.6% median, 57% of the last 14 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.04%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.37 +3.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$37M/day volume 59% volatility +69% 1-year -39% from ATH
52-week range · 82% of the way up · -12% from the high
$44.58$131.34

Congressional trades in VAC Full tracker →

3 members · 6 buys / 5 sells · $356K–$965K disclosed · latest filing May 19, 2023.

SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Apr 10, 2023 $15K–$50K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Mar 6, 2023 $15K–$50K
SELL GG Greg Gianforte · traded Nov 16, 2020 $50K–$100K
SELL RW Ron L Wyden · traded Aug 3, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY RW Ron L Wyden · traded May 26, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY RW Ron L Wyden · traded May 27, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY RW Ron L Wyden · traded May 26, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY RW Ron L Wyden · traded May 27, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY GG Greg Gianforte · traded Jan 23, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY GG Greg Gianforte · traded Dec 31, 2018 $100K–$250K
SELL GG Greg Gianforte · traded Nov 19, 2018 $100K–$250K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 2.59.

1-day std dev
7.9%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+22.6%
Biggest drop
-26.4%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-06 beat 2.00 2.31 +15.4% +8.9% +22.6% +19.2%
2026-05-05 miss 1.71 1.24 -27.3% -3.1% +5.0% +3.1%
2026-02-25 beat 1.71 1.86 +9.0% +21.4% +16.7% +24.1%
2025-11-05 beat 1.60 1.69 +5.6% -16.3% -26.4% -31.5%
2025-08-04 beat 1.73 1.96 +13.2% +2.3% -1.8% -1.0%
2025-05-07 beat 1.43 1.66 +15.8% +6.5% +10.5% +22.7%
2025-02-26 beat 1.56 1.86 +19.2% -3.3% -9.3% -16.0%
2024-11-06 beat 1.62 1.80 +11.3% +4.7% +13.2% +9.5%
2024-07-31 miss 2.05 1.10 -46.4% -7.5% -7.9% -16.2%
2024-05-06 beat 1.73 1.80 +4.2% +1.5% +1.7% +3.2%
2024-02-21 beat 1.78 1.88 +5.7% +3.8% +9.6% +6.4%
2023-11-01 miss 2.14 1.20 -44.0% -3.3% -7.2% -14.0%
2023-08-02 miss 2.87 2.19 -23.6% -10.2% -10.7% -9.1%
2023-05-03 beat 2.03 2.54 +25.4% +1.5% -3.5% -7.6%
2023-02-22 beat 2.74 2.74 +0.2% -1.0% -1.7% -0.8%
2022-10-31 beat 2.53 3.02 +19.4% +2.2% -1.4% -5.7%
2022-08-08 beat 2.27 2.87 +26.6% +1.9% +2.6% +9.6%
2022-05-05 beat 1.53 1.70 +11.4% +2.2% +1.0% +0.7%
2022-02-23 beat 2.11 2.38 +13.1% -3.7% -2.2% -5.7%
2021-11-08 beat 1.41 1.60 +13.2% +0.9% -1.4% -0.6%
2021-07-28 miss 0.89 0.85 -4.5% -1.4% -3.8% -7.3%
2021-05-05 miss -0.30 -0.49 -61.3% +0.4% -1.5% -2.9%
2021-02-24 miss -0.02 -0.05 -145.9% +0.8% -4.3% -2.6%
2020-11-04 miss -0.67 -0.81 -20.2% +0.9% +9.9% +21.1%
2020-07-29 miss -1.16 -1.76 -51.4% -3.6% -3.2% -1.0%
2020-05-22 miss 2.15 -0.75 -134.9% +5.3% +2.7% +6.0%
2020-02-26 miss 2.58 2.43 -5.7% +4.5% +1.1% -6.0%
2019-11-04 miss 2.02 1.97 -2.4% +0.7% +1.4% +2.8%
2019-07-31 beat 1.77 1.99 +12.3% +0.0% -5.4% -12.5%
2019-05-07 miss 1.66 1.45 -12.7% -2.6% -5.5% -8.3%
2019-02-28 beat 1.32 1.49 +12.6% +5.9% -0.2% -1.6%
2018-11-07 miss 1.79 1.42 -20.6% -5.3% -4.7% -20.6%
2018-08-02 miss 1.81 1.59 -12.1% -0.2% +4.6% +0.7%
2018-05-03 miss 1.54 1.39 -9.4% -2.4% -3.2% -3.8%
2018-02-27 beat 1.16 1.56 +34.9% +2.5% -2.8% +2.5%
2017-11-02 beat 1.20 1.41 +17.9% +2.5% +4.1% +1.8%
2017-08-03 beat 1.27 1.60 +26.1% +3.3% +1.8% -4.2%
2017-05-04 beat 1.18 1.22 +3.6% -1.1% +5.9% -0.7%
2017-02-23 beat 1.74 1.83 +5.3% +3.0% +8.3% +5.1%
2016-10-13 miss 1.14 0.96 -16.1% -12.8% -8.9% -4.4%
2016-07-21 beat 1.02 1.08 +6.1% +6.9% +10.2% +11.5%
2016-04-28 miss 0.96 0.87 -9.2% -2.5% -7.4% -11.9%
2016-02-25 beat 0.92 1.11 +20.6% +6.6% +13.4% +15.3%
2015-10-15 miss 0.87 0.82 -6.1% -6.4% -15.2% -14.6%
2015-07-23 beat 0.87 0.91 +4.5% +0.4% -8.9% -9.9%
2015-04-30 beat 0.71 0.85 +20.4% +4.1% +4.7% +7.6%
2015-02-26 beat 0.61 0.69 +13.5% +0.4% -1.8% +0.7%
2014-10-16 beat 0.80 0.81 +1.0% -2.7% +6.2% +12.3%
2014-07-24 beat 0.75 0.87 +15.6% +1.8% +2.0% +0.8%
2014-04-29 miss 0.56 0.56 -0.6% -2.8% +3.2% +4.3%
2014-02-27 miss 0.39 0.32 -17.8% -1.8% +3.0% +7.3%
2013-10-10 beat 0.39 0.72 +84.6% +6.2% +5.6% +10.4%
2013-07-18 beat 0.48 0.73 +53.4% +1.7% -2.5% -4.8%
2013-04-25 beat 0.44 0.54 +21.7% +4.3% +3.9% +1.6%
2013-02-21 beat 0.46 0.54 +17.4% +0.5% -11.7% -9.8%
2012-10-18 miss 0.25 0.23 -9.1% +0.2% -1.6% -1.7%
2012-07-26 beat 0.30 0.33 +8.9% +3.3% +8.1% +6.0%
2012-05-03 beat 0.22 0.27 +23.4% +0.5% +1.5% +5.1%
2012-03-15 miss 0.42 0.09 -79.2% +1.7% +3.1% -0.4%
2011-12-07 beat 0.14 2.64 +1726.0% -0.6% +0.2% +6.9%

Not investment advice.