VAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+2.2%
Next 1 month
+1.9%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -2.3% median,
48% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.02%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.10 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.9%
$49.3B market cap (#291 US)
$531M/day volume
34% volatility
+0% 1-year
-74% from ATH
52-week range · 2% of the way up · -36% from the high
$11.33$17.94
Congressional trades in VALE Full tracker →
5 members · 4 buys / 6 sells · $9K–$135K disclosed · latest filing Nov 21, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $115 | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.42.
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+8.0%
Biggest drop
-6.3%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | miss | 0.49 | 0.36 | -26.2% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 0.50 | 0.44 | -11.7% | -3.7% | -6.3% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | 0.63 | 0.34 | -45.2% | +0.9% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 0.52 | 0.64 | +22.9% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +2.2% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.36 | 0.50 | +37.9% | +3.8% | +1.9% | +7.2% |
| 2025-04-24 | miss | 0.41 | 0.35 | -14.5% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2025-02-18 | miss | 0.52 | 0.20 | -61.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.5% |
| 2024-10-23 | miss | 0.45 | 0.37 | -16.6% | -0.1% | +0.8% | +2.8% |
| 2024-07-25 | miss | 0.53 | 0.43 | -17.9% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-23 | miss | 0.53 | 0.42 | -19.3% | +1.7% | +1.3% | -0.1% |
| 2024-02-22 | miss | 0.93 | 0.67 | -28.3% | +1.8% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2023-10-26 | beat | 0.67 | 0.67 | +0.3% | +1.3% | +3.5% | +11.5% |
| 2023-07-27 | miss | 0.58 | 0.23 | -60.5% | -1.8% | -3.7% | -6.5% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | 0.56 | 0.38 | -31.2% | -0.5% | +3.2% | -3.8% |
| 2023-02-16 | beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +19.4% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -4.6% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 0.60 | 1.05 | +75.1% | -4.6% | -5.5% | +7.6% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 0.83 | 0.94 | +13.8% | -2.7% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | 0.87 | 0.80 | -7.5% | +0.0% | +3.7% | -2.4% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.81 | 1.46 | +80.5% | -4.8% | -1.2% | +14.9% |
| 2021-10-28 | beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +17.3% | -2.5% | -3.6% | -12.0% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 1.45 | 1.59 | +9.3% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -8.5% |
| 2021-04-26 | beat | 1.05 | 1.13 | +7.8% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +2.2% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 1.01 | 1.27 | +25.8% | +1.3% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2020-10-28 | miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -3.6% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +7.6% |
| 2020-07-29 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.5% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -4.6% |
| 2020-04-28 | miss | 0.21 | 0.09 | -57.1% | +2.0% | +8.0% | -4.1% |
| 2020-02-20 | miss | 0.47 | 0.36 | -22.7% | -3.5% | -3.6% | -17.1% |
| 2019-10-24 | miss | 0.53 | 0.37 | -30.1% | +3.0% | +4.6% | +5.5% |
| 2019-07-31 | miss | 0.57 | 0.29 | -49.1% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -7.9% |
| 2019-05-09 | beat | 0.37 | 0.65 | +76.3% | +0.6% | +1.8% | -5.4% |
| 2019-03-27 | beat | 0.54 | 0.79 | +46.1% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +6.3% |
| 2018-10-24 | miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -5.4% | +3.0% | +1.5% | +7.0% |
| 2018-07-25 | beat | 0.33 | 0.40 | +22.4% | +1.8% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2018-04-25 | miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.6% | +0.3% | +2.3% | +1.5% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +14.3% | -0.8% | -5.2% | -9.3% |
| 2017-10-26 | miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -1.0% | -0.3% | -4.4% | -0.7% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -12.9% | -0.2% | +0.2% | +4.6% |
| 2017-04-27 | miss | 0.46 | 0.41 | -11.5% | +0.5% | -3.6% | -8.9% |
| 2017-02-23 | beat | 0.34 | 0.53 | +56.6% | +1.4% | -4.4% | -11.4% |
| 2016-10-27 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +16.0% | +1.6% | +0.6% | -2.2% |
| 2016-07-28 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +30.2% | -0.2% | -0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2016-04-28 | beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +35.0% | +3.9% | +0.5% | -17.2% |
| 2016-02-25 | miss | 0.01 | -0.20 | -2572.2% | -1.4% | -4.4% | +40.3% |
| 2015-10-22 | miss | -0.06 | -0.19 | -240.4% | +4.0% | +4.9% | -7.1% |
| 2015-07-30 | beat | 0.04 | 0.18 | +350.7% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +1.7% |
| 2015-04-30 | beat | -0.23 | -0.13 | +42.3% | -2.8% | +5.8% | +8.0% |
| 2015-02-26 | miss | 0.19 | -0.05 | -125.8% | -3.2% | -4.8% | -15.3% |
| 2014-10-30 | miss | 0.32 | 0.13 | -59.5% | -2.2% | -2.7% | -10.4% |
| 2014-07-31 | miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -6.8% | -0.6% | -0.2% | -4.1% |
| 2014-04-30 | miss | 0.54 | 0.40 | -25.4% | -2.8% | -1.0% | +1.4% |
| 2014-02-27 | miss | 0.66 | 0.62 | -6.2% | +1.7% | +3.0% | -1.2% |
| 2013-11-06 | beat | 0.63 | 0.72 | +14.1% | -0.7% | -5.2% | -8.6% |
| 2013-08-07 | beat | 0.45 | 0.64 | +40.8% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +11.8% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 0.51 | 0.62 | +20.8% | +2.1% | +1.8% | -1.7% |
| 2013-02-27 | miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -12.2% | +1.5% | +2.5% | +3.1% |
| 2012-10-24 | miss | 0.50 | 0.42 | -15.6% | +4.3% | +5.2% | +7.2% |
| 2012-07-25 | miss | 0.75 | 0.60 | -20.4% | -0.2% | +1.4% | +2.4% |
| 2012-04-25 | miss | 0.77 | 0.68 | -11.7% | -2.7% | +1.0% | -1.3% |
| 2012-02-16 | miss | 1.01 | 0.93 | -7.9% | -1.7% | +0.3% | +1.7% |
| 2011-10-26 | miss | 1.24 | 0.93 | -24.8% | +4.9% | +6.4% | +3.5% |
Posted about VALE
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TRACKER - Jim Cramer Calls
long
13.11
Mon, 19 Oct
Said on CNBC’s Mad Money on 19 October 2026. The price shown is where VALE closed that day, for reference — an on-air call, not a disclosed position.…
Not investment advice.
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