VGModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.5%
Next 1 week
+2.7%
Next 1 month
+4.9%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -2.2% median,
37% of the last 41 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 29
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.96%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 2.44 +6.4% · Seasonal tilt -1.4%
$6M/day volume
80% volatility
+52% 1-year
52-week range · 68% of the way up · -18% from the high
$1.43$3.13
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days).
1-day std dev
3.3%
Finished up
29%
Biggest pop
+8.4%
Biggest drop
-5.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 21 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-23 | miss | -0.02 | -0.08 | -300.0% | +1.2% | -1.2% | +2.4% |
| 2021-10-27 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | +0.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +50.0% | +1.1% | -1.1% | -4.4% |
| 2021-04-30 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -50.0% | -1.8% | -2.8% | +4.6% |
| 2021-02-24 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -20.0% | -1.0% | -5.0% | -7.9% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | -0.02 | 0.05 | +350.0% | -1.0% | +4.2% | +16.7% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.03 | 0.02 | +166.7% | -2.5% | -2.5% | +12.5% |
| 2020-05-04 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | +0.0% | +2.6% | -3.8% | |
| 2020-02-25 | beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +66.7% | +1.2% | -3.7% | -14.8% |
| 2019-10-23 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | +0.0% | +1.3% | -2.6% | |
| 2019-07-30 | miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -50.0% | +1.1% | -3.3% | +5.5% |
| 2019-05-06 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | +1.7% | +0.0% | -1.7% | |
| 2019-02-21 | miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -100.0% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -14.0% |
| 2018-10-29 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | -3.6% | -1.8% | -10.7% | |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +6.8% | -0.6% | +3.9% | -14.8% |
| 2013-03-13 | miss | -0.11 | -0.24 | -111.7% | +0.5% | -1.0% | +12.1% |
| 2012-11-02 | beat | -0.11 | -0.05 | +56.0% | +1.2% | -3.1% | -1.2% |
| 2012-08-07 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | +0.0% | -4.1% | -1.9% | |
| 2012-05-08 | beat | -0.09 | -0.09 | +9.6% | -2.3% | +8.4% | -6.1% |
| 2012-03-14 | miss | -0.08 | -0.16 | -97.5% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -2.9% |
| 2011-11-09 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -28.8% | +2.1% | -3.1% | -7.9% |
Not investment advice.
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