VKModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.5%
Next 1 week
+1.1%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +6.5% median,
60% of the last 10 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 75
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.41%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.15 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt (10y) -0.2%
$141M/day volume
69% volatility
-29% 1-year
-74% from ATH
52-week range · 8% of the way up · -41% from the high
$23.82$43.15
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-10 (Wednesday, after close, in 104 days) · EPS est. -1.09.
1-day std dev
9.0%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+28.3%
Biggest drop
-11.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 46 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | miss | -1.06 | -1.55 | -46.2% | — | — | — |
| 2026-07-29 | beat | -1.21 | -1.10 | +8.8% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | -0.91 | -1.37 | -50.5% | -2.7% | -0.5% | +0.8% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | -0.90 | -1.38 | -53.1% | +18.2% | +6.8% | +8.7% |
| 2025-10-22 | miss | -0.67 | -0.81 | -20.1% | +12.8% | +8.0% | +21.5% |
| 2025-07-23 | miss | -0.44 | -0.58 | -31.6% | -5.7% | +0.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-23 | miss | -0.31 | -0.41 | -31.7% | +1.2% | -0.5% | +11.0% |
| 2025-02-05 | miss | -0.27 | -0.32 | -19.7% | -7.4% | -6.1% | -11.9% |
| 2024-10-23 | beat | -0.24 | -0.22 | +8.1% | +8.9% | +21.2% | +20.1% |
| 2024-07-24 | beat | -0.27 | -0.20 | +25.0% | +17.0% | +28.3% | +8.4% |
| 2024-04-24 | beat | -0.28 | -0.26 | +6.0% | -3.2% | +5.8% | +16.4% |
| 2024-02-07 | miss | -0.25 | -0.25 | -1.8% | +5.2% | +18.0% | +30.1% |
| 2023-10-25 | miss | -0.22 | -0.23 | -5.8% | -15.7% | -9.4% | -8.3% |
| 2023-07-26 | beat | -0.20 | -0.19 | +3.4% | -4.7% | -4.0% | -5.5% |
| 2023-04-26 | miss | -0.24 | -0.25 | -4.7% | +4.4% | +0.3% | +10.8% |
| 2023-02-08 | miss | -0.23 | -0.26 | -11.4% | +0.6% | +11.7% | +19.7% |
| 2022-10-26 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +9.1% | +3.6% | -2.9% | +6.0% |
| 2022-07-27 | miss | -0.21 | -0.23 | -9.5% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-04-27 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -11.8% | -0.5% | +10.0% | +10.5% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | -0.19 | -0.16 | +14.8% | +2.7% | +8.6% | -5.9% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | -0.21 | -0.17 | +18.7% | +1.5% | +2.1% | -5.2% |
| 2021-07-28 | miss | -0.20 | -0.20 | -1.9% | +2.0% | +3.4% | +4.9% |
| 2021-04-28 | miss | -0.17 | -0.19 | -10.7% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -9.3% |
| 2021-02-17 | beat | -0.15 | -0.15 | +1.5% | +0.0% | -8.9% | -16.8% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +13.3% | +3.8% | +5.3% | +16.3% |
| 2020-07-29 | beat | -0.14 | -0.13 | +9.6% | +1.4% | +14.1% | +10.3% |
| 2020-04-30 | miss | -0.12 | -0.13 | -5.4% | -2.8% | -5.4% | +13.2% |
| 2020-02-26 | beat | -0.13 | -0.10 | +21.1% | -3.5% | -4.3% | -3.0% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +33.3% | +3.7% | +19.2% | +24.2% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | -0.09 | -0.11 | -27.5% | -2.2% | -4.4% | -5.8% |
| 2019-05-02 | beat | -0.09 | -0.07 | +19.7% | -1.2% | +3.8% | +3.6% |
| 2019-03-13 | beat | -0.10 | -0.07 | +30.0% | -2.3% | -6.4% | +12.5% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.11 | +4.3% | -2.1% | -6.4% | -18.8% |
| 2018-08-09 | miss | -0.12 | -0.13 | -11.4% | -1.7% | +4.8% | +5.7% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | -0.12 | -0.08 | +36.0% | +2.6% | +8.5% | +25.2% |
| 2018-03-07 | beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +21.4% | -0.2% | -6.2% | -11.3% |
| 2017-11-08 | miss | -0.20 | -0.22 | -8.2% | +2.3% | +1.9% | +28.4% |
| 2017-08-09 | miss | -0.19 | -0.21 | -9.1% | -2.7% | +8.1% | +7.0% |
| 2017-05-10 | miss | -0.18 | -0.23 | -27.8% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -10.9% |
| 2017-03-21 | beat | -0.22 | -0.18 | +18.2% | -2.4% | -4.0% | +5.6% |
| 2016-11-10 | beat | -0.23 | -0.20 | +11.5% | +0.0% | -5.2% | -0.9% |
| 2016-08-10 | miss | -0.22 | -0.22 | -1.1% | -1.5% | -3.8% | -3.8% |
| 2016-05-10 | beat | -0.43 | -0.40 | +6.2% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| 2016-03-08 | miss | -0.51 | -0.56 | -9.8% | +2.3% | -10.7% | -16.7% |
| 2015-11-05 | miss | -0.32 | -0.53 | -63.1% | -2.8% | -11.2% | -16.6% |
| 2015-08-13 | miss | -0.13 | -1.07 | -723.1% | +2.9% | +17.9% | +12.7% |
| 2015-06-12 | miss | 0.28 | -1.40 | -600.0% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -14.4% |
Not investment advice.
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