VNModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.8%
Next 1 week
+1.7%
Next 1 month
+1.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -0.6% median,
47% of the last 19 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 58
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.41%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.72 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$4M/day volume
82% volatility
-29% 1-year
52-week range · 3% of the way up · -60% from the high
$3.79$9.94
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-17 (Wednesday, after close, in 111 days) · EPS est. -0.49.
1-day std dev
9.5%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+26.8%
Biggest drop
-21.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 59 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | beat | -0.68 | -0.37 | +45.8% | — | — | — |
| 2026-08-05 | miss | -0.59 | -1.04 | -77.0% | -8.8% | +0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2026-05-06 | miss | -0.69 | -0.82 | -19.3% | -5.8% | -14.1% | -14.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | miss | -1.32 | -2.39 | -80.4% | -3.8% | -17.6% | -22.5% |
| 2025-10-29 | beat | -0.45 | -0.38 | +16.2% | -7.9% | -20.1% | -18.5% |
| 2025-07-31 | miss | -0.36 | -0.46 | -29.0% | -5.1% | -8.8% | -10.1% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.60 | -0.50 | +16.2% | +1.1% | -3.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-02-13 | beat | -0.11 | -0.08 | +27.3% | -2.6% | -6.0% | -7.4% |
| 2024-11-06 | beat | -0.16 | -0.09 | +44.9% | -1.8% | +2.7% | +4.3% |
| 2024-07-31 | beat | -0.21 | -0.08 | +61.9% | +0.3% | -3.4% | -9.1% |
| 2024-05-09 | miss | 0.05 | -0.07 | -240.0% | -3.9% | -6.5% | +4.1% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +55.6% | +0.3% | +11.8% | +20.1% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.04 | — | +100.0% | -3.5% | -21.9% | -21.9% |
| 2023-07-27 | beat | -0.13 | 0.03 | +123.1% | -1.9% | -8.0% | -9.3% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +50.0% | +11.7% | +0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | 0.09 | 0.06 | -33.3% | -4.6% | -1.7% | +4.9% |
| 2022-08-03 | miss | 0.12 | 0.05 | -58.3% | -1.0% | -4.6% | -4.6% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -0.01 | -0.11 | -1000.0% | -4.6% | -2.0% | +2.1% |
| 2022-02-23 | beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +41.2% | -15.6% | -2.6% | -15.8% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -22.2% | -7.0% | -14.0% | -14.1% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 0.11 | 0.17 | +54.5% | +1.6% | -8.5% | -18.0% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +7.1% | -0.2% | +5.6% | +11.0% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +10.2% | +5.2% | +21.2% | +21.3% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +6.9% | +10.7% | +8.9% | +17.4% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +189.5% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +7.8% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +775.0% | -1.5% | -3.9% | -3.5% |
| 2020-02-25 | miss | 0.25 | 0.15 | -40.0% | -11.9% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.07 | 1.91 | +2629.4% | +8.4% | +10.6% | +17.9% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.05 | 0.28 | +460.0% | +24.5% | +26.8% | +20.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -14.3% | -5.1% | -1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2019-02-13 | beat | 0.13 | 0.26 | +108.0% | +6.4% | +9.2% | +12.9% |
| 2018-11-07 | beat | 0.01 | 0.20 | +1900.0% | +5.8% | +14.7% | +16.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.02 | 0.14 | +500.1% | +7.0% | +5.1% | +4.4% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | -0.04 | 0.14 | +423.1% | +2.2% | +12.2% | +15.1% |
| 2018-02-14 | beat | -0.05 | 0.03 | +154.6% | +7.3% | +6.6% | +18.0% |
| 2017-11-07 | beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +40.0% | -5.0% | -12.4% | -14.0% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | -0.20 | 0.03 | +115.0% | +2.3% | +7.4% | -0.3% |
| 2017-05-02 | beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +18.5% | -7.7% | +0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2017-02-15 | beat | -0.12 | -0.01 | +92.0% | +4.5% | +0.0% | -4.8% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | -0.06 | -0.01 | +84.6% | +3.1% | -4.9% | +15.3% |
| 2016-07-27 | beat | -0.22 | -0.11 | +50.0% | -2.1% | +1.9% | +6.4% |
| 2016-05-04 | miss | -0.21 | -0.29 | -34.9% | +2.3% | +5.0% | -1.1% |
| 2016-02-10 | miss | -0.27 | -0.35 | -29.6% | -9.9% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | -0.15 | -0.22 | -46.7% | +0.0% | -6.1% | -8.8% |
| 2015-07-29 | beat | -0.31 | -0.13 | +58.1% | +2.3% | +8.3% | +9.5% |
| 2015-05-06 | beat | -0.34 | -0.24 | +29.4% | +1.5% | +4.6% | +6.6% |
| 2015-02-19 | beat | -0.23 | -0.21 | +8.7% | -7.6% | -13.7% | -15.7% |
| 2014-10-27 | beat | -0.40 | -0.04 | +90.0% | +11.8% | -0.6% | +10.5% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | -0.70 | -0.64 | +8.6% | +4.4% | -5.7% | -0.1% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | -0.26 | -0.49 | -88.5% | -3.6% | -20.5% | -22.7% |
| 2014-02-13 | miss | -0.16 | -0.23 | -43.8% | -4.5% | +6.7% | +11.0% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | -0.37 | -0.17 | +54.0% | +2.6% | -9.5% | +102.2% |
| 2013-07-31 | beat | -0.23 | -0.11 | +52.2% | -2.4% | +0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2013-05-09 | beat | -0.30 | -0.15 | +50.0% | +0.0% | +3.3% | +12.2% |
| 2013-02-12 | miss | -0.21 | -0.23 | -7.0% | +0.0% | +1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2012-08-02 | miss | -0.27 | -0.28 | -3.7% | +0.0% | +2.5% | +4.5% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | -0.16 | -0.28 | -75.0% | -1.4% | +0.7% | -2.5% |
| 2012-02-14 | miss | -0.19 | -0.20 | -5.3% | +0.4% | -6.1% | -9.8% |
| 2011-11-04 | beat | -0.12 | -0.11 | +8.3% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -6.7% |
| 2011-08-04 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +28.6% | -2.9% | -5.2% | -21.0% |
Not investment advice.
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