VTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+1.5%
Next 1 month
+1.1%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -5.0% median,
42% of the last 12 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 96
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.49 +1.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.3%
$9M/day volume
32% volatility
+9% 1-year
-39% from ATH
52-week range · 46% of the way up · -16% from the high
$35.03$50.38
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 1.33.
1-day std dev
8.2%
Finished up
63%
Biggest pop
+13.2%
Biggest drop
-11.7%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 19 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 0.84 | 1.28 | +52.6% | -4.9% | -7.3% | -3.8% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | 1.10 | 0.55 | -49.6% | -6.5% | -11.7% | -13.9% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.4% | -2.5% | +2.8% | -4.6% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 0.80 | 1.72 | +115.0% | +0.3% | -6.1% | -8.5% |
| 2025-08-05 | miss | 0.76 | 0.68 | -10.5% | +5.1% | +8.9% | +9.2% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | 0.58 | 0.77 | +31.9% | -2.5% | -5.8% | +1.9% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | 0.59 | 1.51 | +158.5% | +2.6% | +9.2% | -7.2% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | 0.70 | 0.83 | +17.9% | +8.1% | +9.4% | +6.4% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 0.52 | 1.15 | +121.2% | +15.4% | +11.7% | +9.8% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | 0.39 | 0.63 | +62.5% | +0.2% | +13.2% | +26.3% |
| 2024-03-05 | miss | 0.52 | -0.13 | -125.5% | -2.9% | -4.6% | -6.0% |
| 2023-11-01 | miss | 0.49 | 0.41 | -17.0% | +0.1% | +9.8% | +0.9% |
| 2023-08-02 | beat | 0.27 | 0.32 | +16.8% | -0.2% | +2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2023-05-03 | beat | 0.18 | 0.27 | +51.9% | -1.3% | -4.6% | -0.9% |
| 2022-02-03 | miss | 0.41 | 0.16 | -60.1% | -9.8% | -10.4% | -7.6% |
| 2021-11-03 | miss | 0.38 | 0.07 | -81.1% | +0.6% | +3.2% | -0.8% |
| 2021-08-04 | miss | 0.51 | 0.38 | -24.8% | -0.3% | +3.8% | +11.4% |
| 2020-11-04 | miss | 0.54 | 0.47 | -13.0% | +0.6% | +11.7% | +4.4% |
| 2020-08-07 | beat | -0.17 | 0.53 | +409.6% | -2.7% | +6.8% | +17.7% |
Not investment advice.
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