WPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.8%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): -2.0% median,
45% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.93 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt -1.3%
$57.0B market cap (#414 US)
$185M/day volume
50% volatility
+34% 1-year
-24% from ATH
52-week range · 46% of the way up · -24% from the high
$92.57$165.76
Congressional trades in WPM Full tracker →
5 members · 6 buys / 5 sells · $88K–$320K disclosed · latest filing Sep 10, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-05 (Thursday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.90.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
58%
Biggest pop
+11.8%
Biggest drop
-16.9%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | 1.16 | 1.19 | +3.2% | +6.4% | +7.1% | +7.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +4.8% | +0.0% | +5.5% | -0.9% |
| 2026-03-12 | beat | 1.09 | 1.22 | +11.5% | -0.1% | -4.0% | -21.3% |
| 2025-11-06 | beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +2.9% | +8.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.8% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -4.4% |
| 2025-05-08 | beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.3% | +1.9% | +4.0% | -4.8% |
| 2025-03-13 | miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -1.3% | +2.4% | +1.5% | +3.1% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -8.9% |
| 2024-08-07 | miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -10.4% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +8.2% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +18.1% | +2.2% | -1.5% | +2.2% |
| 2024-03-14 | beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.9% | +1.0% | -1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2023-11-10 | beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.8% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +6.5% |
| 2023-08-10 | beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +15.4% | -0.5% | +2.8% | -6.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.5% | -1.9% | +1.3% | -2.1% |
| 2023-03-09 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -7.4% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +16.0% |
| 2022-11-03 | miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.7% | +5.2% | +11.8% | +23.9% |
| 2022-08-11 | beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +3.5% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -5.1% |
| 2022-05-05 | beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -10.5% |
| 2022-03-10 | miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -5.0% | -3.6% | -2.1% | -2.8% |
| 2021-11-04 | miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -8.3% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +10.7% |
| 2021-08-12 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.5% | +1.1% | +3.5% | -0.7% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.8% | +1.5% | +0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2021-03-11 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -2.1% | -1.8% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 2020-11-09 | beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.0% | +1.2% | -5.1% | -4.5% |
| 2020-08-12 | beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +14.0% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +6.3% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -0.3% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +4.7% |
| 2020-03-11 | beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +1.4% | -19.2% | -4.3% | -14.4% |
| 2019-11-14 | miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -1.5% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +3.4% |
| 2019-08-08 | beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +2.2% | -2.1% | +0.7% | -3.9% |
| 2019-05-08 | beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +5.0% | -0.2% | -1.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-03-20 | beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +59.5% | +0.9% | +5.3% | +6.1% |
| 2018-11-14 | miss | 0.10 | 0.08 | -16.3% | -1.1% | -3.6% | -0.9% |
| 2018-08-14 | beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +20.0% | -2.0% | -8.1% | -8.8% |
| 2018-05-10 | beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +3.9% | -0.5% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2018-03-21 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.5% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +2.6% |
| 2017-11-09 | miss | 0.15 | 0.15 | -0.2% | -0.8% | -3.7% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-10 | beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +4.0% | -0.5% | -4.5% | -5.2% |
| 2017-05-09 | beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +3.0% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +11.1% |
| 2017-03-21 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.6% | +0.4% | +7.4% | +2.9% |
| 2016-11-09 | miss | 0.22 | 0.19 | -11.9% | -2.0% | -16.9% | -20.3% |
| 2016-08-10 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +4.3% | +0.1% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -15.9% | -3.3% | -6.7% | -0.1% |
| 2016-03-16 | beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +8.6% | +1.6% | -0.4% | -3.2% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -6.1% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -9.6% |
| 2015-08-11 | miss | 0.13 | 0.13 | -2.0% | +2.7% | +7.1% | +5.2% |
| 2015-05-07 | miss | 0.15 | 0.13 | -12.6% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2015-03-18 | miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -2.2% | -0.3% | +2.2% | +3.7% |
| 2014-11-12 | miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -1.9% | +0.3% | +1.7% | +10.6% |
| 2014-08-13 | miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -9.9% | -1.1% | -5.0% | -8.6% |
| 2014-05-08 | beat | 0.22 | 0.22 | +0.1% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -2.0% |
| 2014-03-20 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +7.7% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -7.9% |
| 2013-11-11 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.8% | -1.9% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2013-08-14 | miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -18.8% | -0.8% | +7.9% | +7.7% |
| 2013-05-10 | miss | 0.39 | 0.37 | -4.5% | -1.2% | -3.5% | -4.7% |
| 2013-03-21 | beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2012-11-05 | miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -14.5% | -2.5% | -1.3% | +0.0% |
| 2012-08-09 | beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +6.4% | -0.2% | +0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2012-05-14 | miss | 0.43 | 0.41 | -4.2% | -2.9% | -7.8% | -3.2% |
| 2012-03-22 | beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.5% | +2.0% | +5.1% | +3.8% |
| 2011-11-09 | miss | 0.50 | 0.38 | -24.1% | -3.8% | -3.7% | -4.7% |
Posted about WPM
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long
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