WSModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+1.3%
Next 1 month
+2.4%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.3% median,
55% of the last 42 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 28
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.22%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.13 +2.9% · Seasonal tilt -0.6%
$31.6B market cap (#618 US)
$278M/day volume
33% volatility
+30% 1-year
-4% from ATH
52-week range · 88% of the way up · -4% from the high
$165.51$261.11
Congressional trades in WSM Full tracker →
5 members · 6 buys / 7 sells · $13K–$195K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-18 (Wednesday, before open, in 20 days) · EPS est. 2.18.
1-day std dev
8.8%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+27.5%
Biggest drop
-13.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | beat | 2.06 | 2.84 | +37.9% | -4.6% | +1.1% | -5.5% |
| 2026-05-21 | beat | 1.80 | 1.93 | +7.3% | +1.1% | +6.5% | +12.9% |
| 2026-03-18 | beat | 2.90 | 3.04 | +4.8% | +2.1% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2025-11-19 | beat | 1.87 | 1.96 | +4.9% | -0.4% | -3.4% | +0.2% |
| 2025-08-27 | beat | 1.79 | 2.00 | +11.6% | +3.1% | -2.9% | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-22 | beat | 1.75 | 1.85 | +5.5% | -6.8% | -4.5% | -3.7% |
| 2025-03-19 | beat | 2.94 | 3.28 | +11.5% | -8.4% | -3.5% | -4.0% |
| 2024-11-20 | beat | 1.76 | 1.96 | +11.1% | +25.3% | +27.5% | +24.9% |
| 2024-08-22 | beat | 1.60 | 1.74 | +8.6% | -7.9% | -9.3% | -7.6% |
| 2024-05-22 | beat | 1.37 | 1.74 | +27.2% | +9.9% | -11.0% | -8.3% |
| 2024-03-13 | beat | 2.58 | 2.72 | +5.5% | +9.2% | +17.8% | +22.4% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 1.67 | 1.83 | +9.7% | -0.2% | +6.2% | +13.7% |
| 2023-08-23 | beat | 1.36 | 1.56 | +14.6% | +5.1% | +13.5% | +13.8% |
| 2023-05-23 | miss | 1.19 | 1.18 | -1.7% | +4.0% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
| 2023-03-16 | miss | 2.75 | 2.64 | -3.9% | +2.1% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2022-11-17 | miss | 1.87 | 1.86 | -0.5% | -10.4% | -6.2% | -10.7% |
| 2022-08-24 | beat | 1.75 | 1.94 | +10.4% | +3.4% | +2.2% | -9.6% |
| 2022-05-25 | beat | 1.44 | 1.75 | +21.1% | +9.5% | +13.1% | +8.1% |
| 2022-03-16 | beat | 2.41 | 2.71 | +12.4% | +9.8% | +5.4% | -3.7% |
| 2021-11-18 | beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.0% | -3.7% | -1.5% | -5.9% |
| 2021-08-25 | beat | 1.29 | 1.61 | +24.2% | +16.9% | +9.3% | +6.6% |
| 2021-05-26 | beat | 0.96 | 1.45 | +51.7% | +1.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 2021-03-17 | beat | 1.65 | 1.98 | +19.9% | +16.6% | +18.5% | +26.3% |
| 2020-11-19 | beat | 0.76 | 1.28 | +68.5% | +10.5% | +6.6% | +8.3% |
| 2020-08-26 | beat | 0.47 | 0.85 | +81.1% | -6.7% | -7.9% | -13.4% |
| 2020-05-28 | beat | 0.03 | 0.37 | +982.2% | +5.6% | +13.9% | +17.1% |
| 2020-03-18 | beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.4% | +4.3% | +24.8% | +43.3% |
| 2019-11-21 | beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0.5% | -3.5% | -1.9% | -1.1% |
| 2019-08-28 | beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.4% | -3.3% | -6.7% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-30 | miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -3.4% | +12.3% | +13.4% | +10.1% |
| 2019-03-20 | miss | 0.97 | 0.97 | -0.6% | +2.6% | +4.2% | +0.7% |
| 2018-11-15 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +7.9% | -11.3% | -11.2% | -8.7% |
| 2018-08-22 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +12.8% | +8.3% | +16.5% | +9.1% |
| 2018-05-23 | miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -6.0% | +10.0% | +5.7% | +11.1% |
| 2018-03-14 | miss | 0.80 | 0.56 | -29.8% | +2.8% | +2.5% | -5.5% |
| 2017-11-16 | beat | 0.42 | 0.42 | +0.3% | -12.8% | -13.4% | -13.2% |
| 2017-08-23 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +4.0% | +6.0% | +3.6% | +6.0% |
| 2017-05-24 | miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.2% | +8.4% | -1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2017-03-15 | beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.0% | +2.9% | +2.3% | +0.8% |
| 2016-11-17 | beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +1.4% | -5.2% | -1.3% | +1.9% |
| 2016-08-24 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.9% | -3.8% |
| 2016-05-25 | miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -11.4% | +4.5% | -0.2% | +2.2% |
| 2016-03-16 | miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -2.2% | -6.2% | -6.3% | -8.8% |
| 2015-11-19 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +6.4% | -2.7% | -3.4% | -4.3% |
| 2015-08-26 | beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +1.0% | -6.6% | -7.7% | -8.2% |
| 2015-05-20 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.1% | +4.0% | +0.9% | +0.9% |
| 2015-03-18 | beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.1% | -2.6% | -1.9% | -4.7% |
| 2014-11-19 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.1% | +6.6% | +8.4% | +7.4% |
| 2014-08-27 | miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.6% | -10.2% | -12.0% | -14.0% |
| 2014-05-21 | beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.9% | +6.2% | +8.2% | +5.0% |
| 2014-03-12 | beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +2.0% | +7.3% | +9.8% | +12.3% |
| 2013-11-20 | beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +6.4% | +5.9% | +7.6% | +6.5% |
| 2013-08-28 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.1% | -1.3% | -0.2% | -3.0% |
| 2013-05-23 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +12.5% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -5.4% |
| 2013-03-19 | beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.7% | +6.0% | +10.3% | +12.8% |
| 2012-11-14 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +8.5% | -1.2% | -3.7% | +0.8% |
| 2012-08-21 | beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +5.7% | +8.6% | +11.6% | +8.9% |
| 2012-05-22 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +7.0% | +5.5% | +3.3% | +3.2% |
| 2012-03-08 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.5% | -4.1% | -5.9% | -2.3% |
| 2011-11-17 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +6.5% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -6.8% |
Posted about WSM
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TRACKER - Rick Larsen · Congress
long
240.80
Tue, 13 Oct
Rick Larsen's trade date was 8 October 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a size band,…
Not investment advice.
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