WTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.6%
Next 1 week
-2.5%
Next 1 month
-4.5%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -7.8% median,
30% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 22
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.27%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -1.56 -4.5% · Seasonal tilt -0.1%
$14M/day volume
82% volatility
+89% 1-year
52-week range · 71% of the way up · -21% from the high
$1.50$5.08
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, after close, in 0 days) · EPS est. -0.05.
1-day std dev
8.8%
Finished up
47%
Biggest pop
+19.2%
Biggest drop
-22.2%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -42.8% | +6.5% | +2.8% | +11.4% |
| 2026-05-07 | miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -4.5% | -2.9% | +24.3% |
| 2026-03-09 | miss | -0.12 | -0.14 | -20.7% | +14.6% | -1.6% | -1.3% |
| 2025-11-05 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +29.9% | +0.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 2025-08-04 | beat | -0.17 | -0.08 | +52.9% | -2.9% | +0.0% | +1.2% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | -0.15 | -0.13 | +13.3% | +0.0% | +7.8% | +34.5% |
| 2025-03-03 | beat | -0.19 | -0.18 | +7.7% | +5.9% | -1.3% | -4.6% |
| 2024-11-07 | beat | -0.22 | -0.17 | +24.4% | +0.0% | -12.6% | -18.7% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | -0.05 | -0.05 | +9.1% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-10 | miss | -0.03 | -0.05 | -50.0% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2024-03-05 | miss | 0.01 | -0.06 | -999.5% | -1.8% | -8.1% | -10.5% |
| 2023-11-07 | miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -80.0% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2023-08-01 | miss | -0.06 | -0.08 | -33.3% | -3.9% | -8.6% | -2.8% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -33.3% | -4.7% | -1.4% | -4.5% |
| 2023-03-07 | beat | 0.03 | 0.10 | +233.3% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -18.4% |
| 2022-11-08 | beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.9% | -6.0% | -18.5% | -14.0% |
| 2022-08-08 | beat | 0.37 | 1.32 | +261.6% | +9.8% | +16.7% | +23.0% |
| 2022-05-03 | beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +16.7% | +2.8% | +19.2% | +3.0% |
| 2022-03-08 | beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +17.6% | -3.6% | -9.5% | -27.9% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | -0.09 | — | +101.1% | -2.7% | +0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2021-08-03 | miss | 0.09 | 0.02 | -76.5% | -8.4% | -22.2% | -18.0% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 0.05 | 0.11 | +120.0% | +3.9% | +2.4% | +7.7% |
| 2021-03-03 | beat | -0.13 | -0.05 | +62.5% | +0.9% | +10.8% | +22.8% |
| 2020-11-04 | beat | -0.24 | -0.14 | +42.5% | +3.3% | -7.2% | +8.6% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.20 | -0.02 | +89.8% | -2.4% | -5.9% | -1.6% |
| 2020-06-22 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +71.5% | +3.9% | +0.4% | -10.9% |
| 2020-03-04 | beat | 0.01 | 0.17 | +1175.3% | +2.5% | -7.9% | -41.7% |
| 2019-10-30 | beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +15.6% | +0.7% | -1.5% | +9.5% |
| 2019-07-31 | beat | 0.09 | 0.25 | +170.3% | +4.0% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 0.11 | 0.05 | -52.4% | -5.3% | -12.3% | -14.2% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 0.15 | 0.22 | +46.7% | +2.8% | +3.4% | -2.0% |
| 2018-10-31 | beat | 0.21 | 0.30 | +42.9% | +3.9% | +8.6% | -4.5% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.19 | 0.29 | +50.6% | +7.7% | +5.0% | -4.9% |
| 2018-05-02 | 0.19 | 0.19 | — | -2.1% | -5.3% | +10.7% | |
| 2018-02-28 | beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +13.3% | -0.3% | -8.5% | -6.7% |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.04 | 0.04 | — | -7.3% | -7.3% | -3.6% | |
| 2017-08-03 | beat | 0.01 | 0.22 | +4300.0% | +3.1% | +7.3% | +2.6% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +77.8% | +7.4% | -1.1% | +11.1% |
| 2017-03-01 | beat | -0.11 | 0.06 | +152.9% | +6.5% | +6.5% | +2.3% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | -0.47 | -0.24 | +49.4% | -1.5% | +0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2016-08-04 | beat | -0.60 | -0.47 | +21.7% | +0.0% | +6.5% | +10.9% |
| 2016-05-04 | beat | -1.01 | -0.95 | +5.6% | +1.8% | +4.5% | +2.3% |
| 2016-03-08 | beat | -0.89 | -0.44 | +50.4% | +14.0% | +12.2% | -4.7% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | -0.94 | -0.82 | +12.7% | +0.6% | +12.5% | -2.4% |
| 2015-08-05 | beat | -0.77 | -0.54 | +29.6% | -2.8% | +15.3% | +6.2% |
| 2015-05-06 | miss | -0.79 | -1.13 | -42.5% | -2.3% | -7.4% | -9.9% |
| 2015-03-04 | miss | -0.41 | -0.53 | -30.1% | -3.1% | +6.9% | -4.8% |
| 2014-11-05 | miss | -0.08 | -0.11 | -35.8% | +1.3% | -0.5% | +7.4% |
| 2014-08-06 | beat | 0.12 | 0.24 | +105.1% | +5.3% | +14.2% | +3.9% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +13.5% | -3.3% | -12.8% | -18.0% |
| 2014-03-06 | miss | 0.05 | -0.09 | -280.0% | -4.3% | -0.6% | -0.3% |
| 2013-11-06 | miss | 0.24 | 0.20 | -18.2% | -5.2% | -5.3% | -0.8% |
| 2013-08-07 | miss | 0.23 | 0.20 | -11.3% | -3.2% | +1.0% | -1.4% |
| 2013-05-07 | beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +20.2% | +2.0% | +15.4% | +9.7% |
| 2013-02-26 | beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +10.7% | -0.1% | -4.1% | -8.9% |
| 2012-10-30 | beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.6% | +1.8% | +7.4% | -1.8% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +8.5% | +6.3% | +12.3% | +5.7% |
| 2012-05-08 | miss | 0.47 | 0.40 | -14.0% | -6.5% | -9.4% | -20.4% |
| 2012-02-23 | beat | 0.42 | 0.69 | +65.2% | +7.3% | +8.3% | -6.1% |
| 2011-10-31 | miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -1.5% | -5.4% | -7.5% | +3.3% |
Not investment advice.
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