XEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.2%
Next 1 week
-0.2%
Next 1 month
+2.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +2.0% median,
64% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 95
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.67%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.77 +2.2% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.1%
$52M/day volume
68% volatility
-12% 1-year
-48% from ATH
52-week range · 11% of the way up · -48% from the high
$33.38$72.66
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. -1.15.
1-day std dev
5.7%
Finished up
31%
Biggest pop
+12.8%
Biggest drop
-17.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 48 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | beat | -1.16 | -1.11 | +4.4% | -2.4% | -1.8% | -3.4% |
| 2026-05-07 | beat | -1.20 | -1.17 | +2.3% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-26 | miss | -1.21 | -1.31 | -8.7% | +1.1% | -3.8% | -6.6% |
| 2025-11-03 | beat | -1.16 | -1.15 | +1.2% | -3.4% | -4.9% | -2.9% |
| 2025-08-11 | miss | -0.99 | -1.07 | -8.4% | +5.5% | +5.5% | +9.5% |
| 2025-05-12 | beat | -0.90 | -0.83 | +7.5% | -8.5% | -17.4% | -12.3% |
| 2025-02-27 | miss | -0.84 | -0.84 | -0.1% | -3.4% | -3.4% | -4.7% |
| 2024-11-12 | miss | -0.79 | -0.81 | -2.5% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -9.3% |
| 2024-08-08 | miss | -0.68 | -0.75 | -10.7% | -10.0% | -3.2% | -7.6% |
| 2024-05-09 | beat | -0.65 | -0.62 | +4.7% | -4.1% | -4.6% | -6.3% |
| 2024-02-29 | beat | -0.76 | -0.64 | +16.1% | +5.3% | -0.8% | -2.0% |
| 2023-11-08 | beat | -0.75 | -0.73 | +2.6% | +4.0% | -6.7% | -10.7% |
| 2023-08-09 | miss | -0.67 | -0.72 | -7.6% | +2.2% | +8.3% | -1.1% |
| 2023-05-09 | miss | -0.60 | -0.63 | -4.2% | -4.0% | -5.5% | -5.1% |
| 2023-03-01 | beat | -0.59 | -0.57 | +3.8% | -0.9% | -7.4% | -12.1% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | -0.53 | -0.57 | -8.4% | -2.5% | -6.6% | -6.6% |
| 2022-08-09 | miss | -0.50 | -0.55 | -10.3% | +1.7% | +0.8% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-10 | beat | -0.41 | -0.35 | +14.3% | -5.3% | -5.7% | +2.3% |
| 2022-03-01 | miss | -0.32 | -0.48 | -48.7% | -9.5% | +3.1% | -3.1% |
| 2021-11-10 | beat | -0.44 | -0.36 | +18.2% | -0.9% | -6.2% | -13.3% |
| 2021-08-11 | miss | -0.49 | -0.51 | -4.8% | +0.5% | -4.4% | -12.3% |
| 2021-05-11 | miss | -0.39 | -0.42 | -8.8% | -0.9% | -2.8% | -0.5% |
| 2021-03-01 | beat | -0.40 | -0.34 | +15.0% | +5.9% | +12.8% | +11.8% |
| 2020-11-05 | miss | -0.17 | -0.25 | -47.1% | +0.0% | -7.4% | -1.7% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | -0.20 | — | +100.0% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2020-05-21 | beat | -0.31 | -0.22 | +29.6% | +5.9% | +7.4% | -5.5% |
| 2020-03-08 | miss | 0.12 | -0.41 | -441.7% | +2.0% | +6.1% | -17.6% |
| 2019-11-05 | beat | -0.46 | -0.33 | +28.3% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | -0.45 | -0.37 | +18.4% | +1.2% | -2.2% | -3.8% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | -0.37 | -0.42 | -13.5% | -4.4% | -2.2% | -4.2% |
| 2019-03-06 | beat | -0.36 | -0.29 | +19.4% | +0.1% | +5.9% | +12.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | miss | -0.40 | -0.63 | -57.5% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -19.4% |
| 2018-08-07 | beat | -0.49 | -0.45 | +8.2% | +4.5% | +10.6% | +17.6% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | -0.48 | -0.46 | +5.0% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +5.0% |
| 2018-03-07 | miss | -0.44 | -0.45 | -2.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +9.3% |
| 2017-11-07 | miss | -0.39 | -0.43 | -10.3% | +0.0% | -17.5% | -30.2% |
| 2017-08-03 | miss | -0.39 | -0.41 | -6.0% | -6.2% | -6.2% | -15.6% |
| 2017-05-09 | miss | -0.38 | -0.42 | -9.6% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -3.6% |
| 2017-03-08 | beat | -0.42 | -0.32 | +23.2% | -3.0% | +0.6% | -1.8% |
| 2016-11-03 | miss | -0.44 | -0.51 | -15.2% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | -0.50 | -0.42 | +16.0% | +1.8% | +0.7% | +6.4% |
| 2016-05-10 | miss | -0.21 | -0.23 | -9.5% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -0.7% |
| 2016-03-08 | miss | -0.26 | -0.27 | -3.9% | +3.7% | +0.4% | -2.9% |
| 2015-11-10 | miss | -0.03 | -0.27 | -800.0% | +9.0% | -3.3% | +1.0% |
| 2015-08-10 | beat | -0.30 | 0.08 | +126.7% | -4.6% | -4.8% | +10.1% |
| 2015-05-12 | miss | 0.28 | -0.30 | -207.1% | -4.3% | -6.6% | -16.1% |
| 2015-03-12 | beat | 0.08 | 0.13 | +62.5% | +3.8% | +1.0% | +2.3% |
| 2014-12-15 | beat | 0.05 | 1.69 | +3280.0% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
Posted about XENE
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TRACKER - Insider Clusters
long
38.31
Thu, 01 Oct
2 different insiders at Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc. just bought XENE. The cluster: 2 people, $1,681,140 between them in the last 30 days, each paying…
Not investment advice.
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