XPModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.0%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 27): +8.6% median,
64% of the last 22 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 76
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.31%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.18 +3.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.6%
$21.9B market cap (#647 US)
$182M/day volume
42% volatility
+49% 1-year
-19% from ATH
52-week range · 60% of the way up · -19% from the high
$121.48$232.05
Congressional trades in XPO Full tracker →
4 members · 9 buys / 6 sells · $176K–$515K disclosed · latest filing Sep 12, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K | |
| SELL | $50K–$100K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $50K–$100K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-10-29 (Thursday, before open, in 1 day) · EPS est. 1.57.
1-day std dev
7.3%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+18.9%
Biggest drop
-14.0%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 58 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | beat | 1.47 | 1.70 | +15.5% | +4.2% | -0.1% | -1.5% |
| 2026-04-30 | beat | 0.88 | 1.01 | +14.4% | -0.8% | +1.6% | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +15.3% | +11.4% | +3.4% | +5.7% |
| 2025-10-30 | beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.6% | +7.1% | +9.0% | +9.2% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +6.2% | -1.7% | -9.1% | -9.0% |
| 2025-04-30 | beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +12.1% | +6.7% | +8.9% | +12.4% |
| 2025-02-06 | beat | 0.63 | 0.89 | +41.6% | +10.0% | +7.8% | +5.2% |
| 2024-10-30 | beat | 0.90 | 1.02 | +13.3% | +5.6% | +11.4% | +26.2% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +11.3% | +2.0% | +0.8% | -0.2% |
| 2024-05-03 | beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +20.0% | +12.0% | +3.3% | +5.0% |
| 2024-02-07 | beat | 0.62 | 0.77 | +23.8% | +10.0% | +18.9% | +22.7% |
| 2023-10-30 | beat | 0.64 | 0.88 | +36.6% | +8.8% | +15.1% | +18.0% |
| 2023-08-04 | beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +16.7% | +4.3% | +4.2% | +6.9% |
| 2023-05-04 | beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +20.8% | +5.0% | +3.4% | +5.9% |
| 2023-02-08 | beat | 0.84 | 0.98 | +16.4% | +0.0% | -14.0% | -14.6% |
| 2022-10-31 | beat | 1.35 | 1.45 | +7.5% | -0.7% | +2.1% | +19.7% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 1.51 | 1.81 | +19.8% | -2.6% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2022-05-09 | beat | 0.93 | 1.25 | +34.8% | +6.1% | +4.1% | +4.6% |
| 2022-02-08 | beat | 0.98 | 1.34 | +36.4% | +6.7% | +8.3% | +11.0% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +0.7% | -9.4% | -7.6% | -12.0% |
| 2021-07-28 | beat | 1.69 | 1.86 | +10.3% | -0.6% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2021-05-03 | beat | 0.99 | 1.46 | +47.8% | -3.5% | +0.4% | +5.0% |
| 2021-02-10 | beat | 0.67 | 1.19 | +77.5% | -0.2% | -4.0% | -2.5% |
| 2020-11-05 | beat | 0.40 | 0.84 | +109.2% | -0.3% | -2.2% | +6.1% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -0.79 | -0.63 | +20.6% | -2.6% | -13.4% | -6.6% |
| 2020-05-04 | beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +9.8% | +8.2% | +8.0% | +1.7% |
| 2020-02-10 | beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +10.6% | +2.2% | -2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2019-10-28 | beat | 1.02 | 1.18 | +15.3% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +4.1% |
| 2019-08-01 | beat | 1.04 | 1.28 | +22.6% | +6.2% | +11.0% | +4.3% |
| 2019-05-01 | beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +25.1% | -0.3% | -4.5% | -8.5% |
| 2019-02-14 | miss | 0.82 | 0.72 | -12.4% | -16.3% | -12.7% | -14.1% |
| 2018-10-31 | miss | 0.99 | 0.89 | -9.7% | -2.0% | -2.7% | -7.0% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 0.98 | 0.98 | +0.4% | -3.6% | +0.5% | +5.3% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 0.51 | 0.61 | +19.5% | -1.3% | +6.8% | +15.9% |
| 2018-02-07 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.2% | +2.0% | -5.5% | +2.2% |
| 2017-11-01 | beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +4.2% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +1.9% |
| 2017-08-02 | beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.0% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -6.7% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 0.14 | 0.30 | +110.4% | +3.2% | +8.0% | +12.1% |
| 2017-02-21 | beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +17.9% | +9.1% | +1.3% | +8.6% |
| 2016-11-02 | beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.9% | +7.1% | +6.4% | +21.7% |
| 2016-08-03 | beat | 0.20 | 0.42 | +107.2% | +13.9% | +14.0% | +25.8% |
| 2016-05-03 | beat | -0.18 | -0.08 | +55.6% | +2.1% | -7.5% | -7.4% |
| 2016-02-24 | miss | -0.07 | -0.21 | -185.2% | -2.0% | -6.3% | -11.3% |
| 2015-11-04 | beat | -0.16 | -0.15 | +5.8% | +5.8% | +12.6% | +13.4% |
| 2015-08-05 | miss | -0.15 | -0.16 | -9.5% | +5.3% | -4.6% | -14.0% |
| 2015-05-04 | beat | -0.26 | -0.13 | +50.6% | +2.0% | +2.6% | +0.7% |
| 2015-02-18 | beat | -0.13 | -0.10 | +23.9% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +5.1% |
| 2014-11-05 | beat | -0.17 | -0.13 | +24.6% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -5.4% |
| 2014-07-29 | beat | -0.25 | -0.22 | +10.7% | +10.5% | +18.9% | +17.8% |
| 2014-05-01 | miss | -0.27 | -0.37 | -36.9% | -1.3% | -2.7% | -12.7% |
| 2014-02-24 | miss | -0.31 | -0.37 | -20.8% | +5.6% | +9.4% | +11.2% |
| 2013-11-04 | miss | -0.42 | -0.55 | -28.9% | +6.0% | +1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2013-07-30 | miss | -0.61 | -1.00 | -63.7% | -4.8% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2013-05-07 | miss | -0.73 | -0.85 | -17.1% | -4.8% | -5.5% | -0.2% |
| 2013-02-27 | miss | -0.49 | -0.57 | -15.9% | -0.2% | -0.6% | -3.1% |
| 2012-11-06 | beat | -0.50 | -0.38 | +23.5% | +1.0% | +0.4% | -0.6% |
| 2012-08-06 | beat | -0.21 | -0.17 | +18.4% | +9.2% | +9.2% | +14.9% |
| 2012-05-09 | beat | -0.37 | -0.36 | +2.7% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
Not investment advice.
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