ZTModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+0.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +0.4% median,
56% of the last 9 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 20
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.14 +0.4% · Seasonal tilt (9y) -0.0%
$15.9B market cap (#577 US)
$40M/day volume
24% volatility
+2% 1-year
-49% from ATH
52-week range · 20% of the way up · -25% from the high
$18.18$26.20
Congressional trades in ZTO Full tracker →
1 member · 2 buys / 1 sells · $3K–$45K disclosed · latest filing Jun 11, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-17 (Tuesday, after close, in 19 days) · EPS est. 3.21.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+10.2%
Biggest drop
-11.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 40 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | beat | 3.41 | 3.79 | +11.3% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -7.8% |
| 2026-05-19 | miss | 3.08 | 2.95 | -4.1% | -3.7% | -1.4% | -5.6% |
| 2026-03-17 | beat | 3.15 | 3.31 | +5.2% | +4.8% | +7.5% | +2.5% |
| 2025-11-19 | beat | 2.51 | 3.06 | +22.0% | +3.7% | -0.1% | +8.9% |
| 2025-08-19 | miss | 2.86 | 2.48 | -13.4% | +0.6% | -1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2025-05-20 | miss | 2.90 | 2.71 | -6.5% | +0.0% | -2.7% | +2.1% |
| 2025-03-18 | miss | 3.28 | 3.24 | -1.3% | +2.8% | +2.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-11-19 | beat | 2.84 | 2.91 | +2.4% | -2.5% | -4.9% | -8.7% |
| 2024-08-20 | beat | 3.24 | 3.38 | +4.3% | +3.1% | +6.1% | +5.0% |
| 2024-05-15 | beat | 2.35 | 2.68 | +14.3% | +10.0% | +10.2% | +14.6% |
| 2024-03-19 | miss | 2.70 | 2.67 | -1.0% | +4.2% | +4.4% | -1.8% |
| 2023-11-16 | beat | 2.75 | 2.83 | +3.0% | -6.2% | -6.2% | -7.2% |
| 2023-08-29 | beat | 2.77 | 3.07 | +11.0% | -6.0% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| 2023-05-17 | beat | 1.78 | 2.33 | +30.9% | +4.7% | +2.0% | -4.3% |
| 2023-03-15 | beat | 2.59 | 2.60 | +0.3% | +0.0% | +7.9% | +10.0% |
| 2022-11-21 | beat | 1.92 | 2.34 | +21.6% | -0.3% | +3.6% | +16.5% |
| 2022-08-17 | beat | 1.83 | 2.23 | +22.2% | +3.5% | +0.4% | -4.9% |
| 2022-05-25 | miss | 1.47 | 1.34 | -9.0% | -2.6% | -1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2022-03-16 | beat | 2.06 | 2.18 | +6.0% | -10.6% | -4.8% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-17 | beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +1.0% | +15.4% | +9.6% | +7.0% |
| 2021-08-18 | beat | 1.50 | 1.56 | +4.0% | -1.2% | -3.0% | -1.6% |
| 2021-05-19 | miss | 1.06 | 0.94 | -11.7% | +4.3% | +3.1% | -0.7% |
| 2021-03-17 | miss | 1.77 | 1.55 | -12.2% | -7.6% | -10.6% | -13.1% |
| 2020-11-18 | beat | 1.49 | 1.53 | +2.5% | -7.2% | -8.0% | -9.5% |
| 2020-08-12 | miss | 1.93 | 1.85 | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -13.7% |
| 2020-05-20 | beat | 0.71 | 0.82 | +16.2% | -9.3% | -5.3% | -4.8% |
| 2020-03-16 | beat | 1.86 | 2.10 | +12.7% | +0.5% | +3.5% | -2.4% |
| 2019-11-18 | beat | 1.53 | 1.69 | +10.5% | -1.1% | -6.2% | -5.3% |
| 2019-08-15 | beat | 1.61 | 1.74 | +7.9% | +1.2% | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2019-05-15 | beat | 1.18 | 1.23 | +4.3% | -1.8% | +3.8% | -4.1% |
| 2019-03-12 | beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.6% | -5.8% | -3.6% | -8.4% |
| 2018-11-14 | beat | 1.30 | 1.34 | +3.1% | +1.9% | +5.0% | +2.5% |
| 2018-08-08 | beat | 1.39 | 1.52 | +8.7% | +6.3% | +6.5% | -2.2% |
| 2018-05-09 | beat | 0.92 | 1.06 | +15.4% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +3.9% |
| 2018-03-08 | miss | 1.60 | 1.37 | -14.2% | -8.1% | -9.6% | -11.2% |
| 2017-11-20 | beat | 1.02 | 1.02 | +0.4% | -2.6% | +0.2% | -6.4% |
| 2017-08-22 | beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +7.7% | -5.5% | -6.2% | -2.9% |
| 2017-05-17 | beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +3.7% | -4.6% | -5.3% | +1.5% |
| 2017-02-27 | miss | 1.09 | 1.07 | -1.7% | -7.3% | -11.5% | -15.6% |
| 2016-11-28 | beat | 0.74 | 0.85 | +14.8% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -14.1% |
Not investment advice.
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