A chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 7.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 0.9% | 20% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | -0.5% | 8.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 1.49 | 1.62 | +9.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% | -4.9% | — |
| 2026-05-27 beat | 1.41 | 1.49 | +5.8% | +14.8% | +16.9% | +2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 1.37 | 1.36 | -0.6% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -2.4% | -8.9% |
| 2025-11-24 beat | 1.58 | 1.59 | +0.4% | -1.8% | +2.3% | -5.1% | -12.0% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.2% | +0.1% | +5.3% | +3.0% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.31 | +3.6% | +5.5% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.27 | 1.31 | +3.0% | -4.2% | -5.5% | -0.4% | -8.2% |
| 2024-11-25 beat | 1.41 | 1.46 | +3.9% | -5.6% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +0.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.9% | +3.9% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-29 beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.4% | -13.9% | -9.7% | +1.1% | -3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.