A chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 5.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.6% | 7.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 1.49 | 1.62 | +9.0% | +2.8% | +1.7% | -4.9% | — |
| 2026-05-27 beat | 1.41 | 1.49 | +5.8% | +14.8% | +16.9% | +2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 1.37 | 1.36 | -0.6% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -2.4% | -8.9% |
| 2025-11-24 beat | 1.58 | 1.59 | +0.4% | -1.8% | +2.3% | -5.1% | -12.0% |
| 2025-08-27 beat | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.2% | +0.1% | +5.3% | +3.0% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.31 | +3.6% | +5.5% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 1.27 | 1.31 | +3.0% | -4.2% | -5.5% | -0.4% | -8.2% |
| 2024-11-25 beat | 1.41 | 1.46 | +3.9% | -5.6% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +0.9% |
| 2024-08-21 beat | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.9% | +3.9% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -0.3% |
| 2024-05-29 beat | 1.19 | 1.22 | +2.4% | -13.9% | -9.7% | +1.1% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.7% | +5.5% | +3.4% | +6.7% | +6.2% |
| 2023-11-20 beat | 1.34 | 1.38 | +3.0% | +6.6% | +8.7% | +3.0% | +12.1% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 1.37 | 1.43 | +4.5% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -1.8% | -4.5% |
| 2023-05-23 beat | 1.26 | 1.27 | +0.6% | -10.4% | -5.9% | -3.9% | -2.2% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.5% | -2.4% | -3.1% | +2.5% | -2.2% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 1.39 | 1.53 | +10.3% | +4.7% | +8.1% | -1.2% | -5.0% |
| 2022-08-16 beat | 1.21 | 1.34 | +11.0% | +12.1% | +7.2% | -6.1% | -8.7% |
| 2022-05-24 beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +1.3% | +2.3% | -3.2% | +7.2% | +0.2% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +2.7% | -0.5% | -3.4% | +5.7% | +8.3% |
| 2021-11-22 beat | 1.18 | 1.21 | +2.9% | -4.2% | -4.9% | -4.2% | +2.0% |
| 2021-08-17 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +10.6% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +6.3% | +6.7% |
| 2021-05-25 beat | 0.83 | 0.97 | +16.3% | +2.3% | +0.0% | +2.3% | +10.5% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | 0.90 | 1.06 | +17.7% | +3.8% | +1.7% | -3.9% | -5.8% |
| 2020-11-23 beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +4.5% | +6.0% | +2.2% | -0.1% | +2.3% |
| 2020-08-18 beat | 0.67 | 0.78 | +16.9% | -2.7% | +0.1% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2020-05-21 beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +16.4% | +5.3% | +5.2% | +5.8% | +5.1% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | -8.5% | -23.0% |
| 2019-11-25 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +4.0% | -2.1% | +0.9% | +0.0% | +5.5% |
| 2019-08-14 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.3% | +9.7% | +6.1% | +3.1% | +10.9% |
| 2019-05-14 miss | 0.72 | 0.71 | -0.9% | -11.4% | -11.0% | +0.5% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.