AAPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.5% | 4.0% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 2.0% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.3% | 5.5% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.89 | 2.02 | +6.7% | -8.6% | -7.4% | +1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.94 | 2.01 | +3.5% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +4.7% | +12.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.67 | 2.84 | +6.2% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +7.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.77 | 1.85 | +4.5% | +2.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +5.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.43 | 1.57 | +9.5% | +1.6% | -2.5% | +13.3% | +13.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.62 | 1.65 | +1.7% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -3.3% | -1.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.35 | 2.40 | +2.3% | +4.0% | -0.7% | -3.5% | +0.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | -2.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.34 | 1.40 | +4.4% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.5% | +7.9% | +6.0% | -0.2% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.10 | 2.18 | +3.7% | -3.7% | -0.5% | +1.6% | -8.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.39 | 1.46 | +4.8% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +5.5% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.19 | 1.26 | +5.7% | -3.0% | -4.8% | -2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.3% | +3.1% | +4.7% | -0.6% | +3.2% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 1.95 | 1.88 | -3.8% | -1.8% | +2.4% | -2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.27 | 1.29 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +7.6% | -11.1% | -9.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +3.9% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.5% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -0.2% | -5.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.89 | 2.10 | +11.2% | +4.1% | +7.0% | +1.2% | -4.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.2% | -3.5% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +10.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.