AAPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.2% | 4.9% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 1.8% | 37% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.6% | 63% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.1% | 6.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.89 | 2.02 | +6.7% | -8.6% | -7.4% | +1.4% | +2.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.94 | 2.01 | +3.5% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +4.7% | +12.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.67 | 2.84 | +6.2% | -1.2% | +0.5% | +7.2% | +1.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.77 | 1.85 | +4.5% | +2.1% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +5.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.43 | 1.57 | +9.5% | +1.6% | -2.5% | +13.3% | +13.5% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.62 | 1.65 | +1.7% | -3.4% | -3.7% | -3.3% | -1.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.35 | 2.40 | +2.3% | +4.0% | -0.7% | -3.5% | +0.0% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +2.5% | -2.2% | -1.3% | +1.8% | +8.9% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.34 | 1.40 | +4.4% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.5% | +7.9% | +6.0% | -0.2% | +6.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.10 | 2.18 | +3.7% | -3.7% | -0.5% | +1.6% | -8.5% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.39 | 1.46 | +4.8% | -1.9% | -0.5% | +5.5% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 1.19 | 1.26 | +5.7% | -3.0% | -4.8% | -2.3% | +4.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.3% | +3.1% | +4.7% | -0.6% | +3.2% |
| 2023-02-02 miss | 1.95 | 1.88 | -3.8% | -1.8% | +2.4% | -2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.27 | 1.29 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +7.6% | -11.1% | -9.4% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +3.9% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.5% | -1.1% | -3.7% | -0.2% | -5.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.89 | 2.10 | +11.2% | +4.1% | +7.0% | +1.2% | -4.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.2% | -3.5% | -1.8% | +1.0% | +10.3% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.01 | 1.30 | +28.2% | -1.3% | -1.2% | +1.4% | +1.8% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.40 | +42.2% | +2.2% | -0.1% | -2.8% | -6.6% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.42 | 1.68 | +18.7% | -1.8% | -3.5% | +0.2% | -6.8% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.5% | -3.7% | -5.6% | +9.0% | +12.7% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.52 | 0.65 | +24.5% | +7.0% | +10.5% | +4.6% | +21.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +12.9% | -2.6% | -1.6% | +7.3% | +11.9% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.13 | 1.25 | +10.0% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -0.9% | -15.7% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.5% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +4.3% | +6.2% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.7% | +3.7% | +2.0% | -6.6% | -1.9% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.0% | +4.6% | +4.9% | -3.6% | -16.8% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 1.04 | 1.05 | +0.3% | +5.5% | +6.8% | +5.4% | +5.9% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.5% | -5.7% | -6.6% | -1.4% | -14.8% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +7.4% | +4.6% | +5.9% | +2.9% | +11.7% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +2.2% | +3.6% | +4.4% | +6.1% | +7.7% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 0.96 | 0.97 | +1.1% | -1.1% | -4.3% | -2.5% | +10.1% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +10.5% | +3.5% | +2.6% | +1.3% | -1.7% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.42 | +6.2% | +6.1% | +4.7% | +2.5% | +4.4% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | +4.2% | +5.7% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +4.2% | +4.7% | +6.1% | +2.6% | +8.6% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +0.8% | -3.3% | -2.2% | -3.5% | -3.3% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.7% | +7.9% | +6.5% | +2.8% | +4.5% |
| 2016-04-26 miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -5.1% | -8.0% | -6.3% | -3.7% | +2.6% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.7% | -3.9% | -6.6% | +3.1% | +3.7% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.7% | +2.1% | +4.1% | +2.3% | -1.2% |
| 2015-07-21 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.9% | -6.7% | -4.2% | -1.8% | -10.0% |
| 2015-04-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +7.9% | +1.4% | -1.6% | -3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2015-01-27 beat | 0.65 | 0.77 | +17.4% | +7.8% | +5.7% | +3.7% | +11.4% |
| 2014-10-20 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.6% | +3.3% | +2.7% | +4.2% | +11.9% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.8% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +1.0% | +3.5% |
| 2014-04-23 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +14.3% | +8.3% | +8.2% | +4.2% | +8.2% |
| 2014-01-27 beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +3.2% | -7.6% | -8.0% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2013-10-28 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +3.8% | +1.2% | -2.5% | +1.7% | +5.7% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +2.5% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +2.7% | +14.2% |
| 2013-04-23 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +0.9% | -3.1% | -0.2% | +8.3% | +9.0% |
| 2013-01-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.0% | -10.5% | -12.4% | +1.1% | -1.7% |
| 2012-10-25 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.8% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -3.5% | -2.4% |
| 2012-07-24 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.1% | -4.4% | -4.3% | +5.5% | +15.2% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 0.35 | 0.44 | +23.8% | +9.9% | +8.9% | -3.9% | -7.3% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 0.36 | 0.50 | +37.0% | +8.1% | +6.2% | +2.1% | +17.0% |
| 2011-10-18 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.1% | -4.9% | -5.6% | +0.5% | -5.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.