AB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.4% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.5% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -1.6% | 5.6% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.3% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 0.83 | 0.83 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +5.0% | -3.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.4% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -10.5% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.0% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +1.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -1.8% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -4.6% | -6.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +2.9% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +7.9% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.86 | 1.05 | +22.4% | +2.8% | -9.7% | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.72 | 0.77 | +6.6% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -3.4% | -7.2% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.6% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.