AB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 2.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 2.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.5% | 67% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | -0.2% | 5.0% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.3% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 0.83 | 0.83 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +0.9% | +5.0% | -3.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.4% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -4.3% | -10.5% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.0% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +1.1% | +0.4% |
| 2025-07-24 miss | 0.77 | 0.76 | -1.8% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -4.6% | -6.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +2.9% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +7.9% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.86 | 1.05 | +22.4% | +2.8% | -9.7% | -0.2% | +2.1% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.72 | 0.77 | +6.6% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -3.4% | -7.2% |
| 2024-07-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +6.6% | +0.1% | +1.6% | -2.3% | -0.1% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.73 | 0.73 | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.2% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +22.2% | +3.5% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.62 | 0.65 | +4.5% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.66 | 0.61 | -7.3% | +0.5% | -1.1% | -2.9% | -4.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +5.3% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -4.9% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.57 | 0.70 | +22.8% | +0.7% | +0.6% | +2.0% | -10.0% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +11.1% | +0.0% | +4.9% | -1.7% | +8.3% |
| 2022-07-29 | 0.71 | 0.71 | — | -0.5% | +3.6% | -0.2% | -1.1% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.1% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.2% | +6.9% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 1.00 | 1.29 | +28.4% | +3.1% | -0.3% | -8.4% | -12.8% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +1.8% | -4.9% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.82 | 0.91 | +11.0% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +5.3% | +8.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +7.4% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +8.9% | +5.9% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.81 | 0.97 | +20.3% | +3.8% | +4.3% | -4.3% | +2.0% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.4% | -1.0% | -0.5% | -7.1% | -1.5% |
| 2020-07-23 miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.4% | -3.3% | -1.3% | +2.0% | +0.2% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +7.6% | +4.5% | +5.6% | +0.2% | +13.6% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.70 | 0.85 | +20.6% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -31.0% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.6% | +0.6% | +3.9% | +0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -4.8% | -0.1% | -2.1% | +0.8% | -5.0% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 0.54 | 0.49 | -10.0% | -1.3% | -3.1% | +1.5% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.